Brisk Wind Advisory 97, NWS Fairbanks, AK

901 
FZAK51 PAFG 242300
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
200 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-251400-
200 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM LONG THE WEST COAST TO
POINT LAY AND THEN WESTWARD TO WRANGEL ISLAND AND PERSIST THROUGH
THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-251400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
200 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-251400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
200 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-251400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
200 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-251400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
200 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-251400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
200 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RM/LTH FEB 16

881 
FZAK51 PAFG 251241
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
341 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-260015-
341 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM LONG THE WEST COAST TO
POINT LAY AND THEN WESTWARD TO WRANGEL ISLAND AND PERSIST THROUGH
THU NIGHT. A 967 MB LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 971 MB EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-260015-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
341 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-260015-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
341 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-260015-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
341 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-260015-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
341 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-260015-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
341 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

JK FEB 16

100 
FZAK51 PAFG 252159
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1259 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-261300-
1259 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1002 MB LOW 100 NM NORTH OF WAINWRIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
AND MOVE NORTHWEST AS A 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER BANKS ISLAND
DRIFTS SOUTHEAST. A 972 MB LOW 165 MILES SOUTH OF KING COVE WILL
MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARD ST PAUL ISLAND THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THIS LOW WILL PROGRESS WEST
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA.

$$

PKZ225-261300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
1259 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-261300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
1259 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-261300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
1259 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.SAT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-261300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
1259 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.SAT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-261300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
1259 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI...E WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.SAT...E WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 45 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

LTH/CCC FEB 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
346 PM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE DETERMINISTIC FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR ABOUT
THE FIRST 48 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 12Z MODELS
INITIALIZE WELL AGAINST OBSERVATIONS.

SURFACE...A 1010 MB LOW 250 NM NW OF CAPE LISBURNE WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN IN PLACE THOUGH 9 AM WED. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
COVERS MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR. THE AXIS OF THE
RIDGE CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM AMBLER TO CIRCLE TO EAGLE TO MAYO.
THE RIDGE AXES WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AN AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTH OF MACKENZIE BAY WILL SLIDE THROUGH
THE EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A 962 MB LOW 350 NM SE OF
CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 250 NM S OF SAND POINT BY 9 AM WED AT 960 MB AND
TO 225 NM SW OF BETHEL BY 9 AM THURSDAY AT 970 MB.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN FIRMLY OVER
THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE STATE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE
AXIS WILL SLIDE EAST A BIT DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PUSHES INTO BRISTOL BAY.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...THE BIGGEST STORY IN THE INTERIOR
WILL BE THE WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE ALASKA RANGE WEDNESDAY
MORNING. IN ISABEL PASS GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH WILL LIKELY BE
SEEN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. FURTHER WEST IN ZONE 225 EXPECT GUSTS TO
AROUND 60 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS IN THE ALASKA RANGE WILL
LIKELY DIE DOWN OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL RAMP UP AGAIN
THURSDAY MORNING. THE 18Z NAM IS BRINING A BIT OF LIGHT SNOW INTO
THE FAR EASTERN INTERIOR ON THURSDAY...HOWEVER...THE OTHER MODELS
ARE LESS CONFIDENT ABOUT THIS. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OVER
THE NORTH WEST COAST THIS EVENING AS A SFC LOW MOVES OFF TO THE
NORTH. NOT ANTICIPATING ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TONIGHT. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO PUSH INTO THE YUKON DELTA TOMORROW AS A
SHORTWAVE MOVES UP THE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THE
PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR THIS PRECIPITATION WILL BE
SNOW...ALTHOUGH SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE IN
ZONES212..214 AND 215 AT TIMES TOMORROW WHERE 850 HPA TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING. THE SHORTWAVE WILL QUICKLY MOVE
NORTHWARD...THUS PRECIPITATION TOTALS WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER ONE
INCH.

ARCTIC COAST...EXPECT SOME LIGHT SNOW THIS EVENING AS THE LOW
MOVES OFF TO THE NORTH...OTHERWISE NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ226.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

FEB 16