Brisk Wind Advisory 48, NWS Fairbanks, AK

354 
FZAK52 PAFG 262309
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
209 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-271415-
209 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 968 MB LOW CENTERED ABOUT 125 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL
MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL ISLAND AS A 970 MB LOW
BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER EASTERN
SIBERIA...MAINTAINING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
CHUKCHI SEA AND THE NORTHERN BERING SEA.


$$

PKZ200-271415-
NORTON SOUND-
209 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-271415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
209 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-271415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
209 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-271415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
209 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

RF/DA JAN 16

482 
FZAK52 PAFG 271316
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
416 AM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-280015-
416 AM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 972 MB LOW CENTERED ABOUT 150 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL
MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL ISLAND AS A 974 MB LOW BY
THIS AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH THIS EVENING. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER EASTERN SIBERIA...MAINTAINING A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA AND THE NORTHERN
BERING SEA.

$$

PKZ200-280015-
NORTON SOUND-
416 AM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-280015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
416 AM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 35 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 40 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-280015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
416 AM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-280015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
416 AM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

CCC/DJH JAN 16

380 
FZAK52 PAFG 272356
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
256 PM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-281500-
256 PM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 968 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY
COAST THIS EVENING AND MOVE TO 75 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DALL
POINT AS A 970 MB LOW BY THURSDAY MORNING. IT WILL THEN WEAKEN
INTO A TROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER EASTERN SIBERIA...MAINTAINING A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA AND THE NORTHERN BERING SEA.

$$

PKZ200-281500-
NORTON SOUND-
256 PM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-281500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
256 PM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-281500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
256 PM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-281500-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
256 PM AKST WED JAN 27 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

RF/NS JAN 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
143 AM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE 00Z MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AGAINST THE 00Z ANALYSIS AND
VERIFIED WELL AGAINST THE 06Z ANALYSIS. MODEL SPREAD REMAINS SMALL
IN THE THE SHORT RANGE AND INTO THE MID RANGE AND REMAINS
REASONABLE THROUGH THE LONG RANGE.

ALOFT AT 500 HPA THE PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA AND
EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OVER BRITISH COLOMBIA WEAKENS A LITTLE TODAY
AS THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES PUSHES NORTH OUT OF THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS MORNING AND INTO THE THE SOUTHERN
INTERIOR THIS EVENING. THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK QUICKLY TONIGHT AS
THE SHORT WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTH AND STRETCHES FROM
THE BERING STRAIT TO THE MCKENZIE DELTA WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING AN INCREASE TO THE CHINOOK WINDS OVER THE
NORTHERN SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE THIS EVENING. 40KTS AT 850 MB
TO 750 MB WILL AGAIN MIX TO THE SURFACE AS A WEAK MOUNTAIN WAVE
SETS UP. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. ONGOING
TANANA VALLEY JET WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING AS UPPER LEVEL WINDS
BECOME PERPENDICULAR TO THE ALASKA RANGE INSTEAD OF DOWN THE
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY.

THE SHORT WAVE WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR AND EASTERN BROOKS RANGE AS UPWARD VERTICAL VELOCITIES
OVERCOME WEAK DOWN SLOPE CHINOOK WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN
INTERIOR. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM THIS SHORT WAVE COMBINED WITH
LEE SIDE TROUGHING OVER THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF THE EASTERN BROOKS
RANGE WILL CREATE A SHARP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE
WHICH COMBINED WITH A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR 80N AND
155W WILL STRENGTHEN AN ALREADY STRONG GRADIENT OVER THE EASTERN
NORTH SLOPE. ONGOING BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED IN TIME
THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY AS STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING
SNOW TO CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE STRONG GRADIENT RELAXES
QUICKLY TO THE WEST WHERE NEITHER WIND GUSTS NOR VISIBILITY ARE
EXPECTED TO REQUIRE HEADLINES.

ONGOING BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE BERING STRAIT AND ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND HAS BEEN EXTENDED THOUGH NOON WEDNESDAY. THE INITIAL FRONT
HAS PASSED THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT AND PUSHED NORTHWEST PAST ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND WHERE CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED SOME THIS
MORNING...HOWEVER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG IF NOT
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND TONIGHT AND AS SNOW PUSHES BACK
INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE NEXT SHORT
WAVE...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ONCE AGAIN TO
BLIZZARD OR NEAR CONDITIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

DISPERSION IN INTERIOR VALLEYS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN POOR TODAY
AND BECOME VERY POOR TONIGHT AS STEEP AND SHALLOW INVERSIONS
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 20S AND
30S IN THE HILLS AND VALLEY TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ204-AKZ213.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ240-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ225-PKZ235.
&&

CCC JAN 16