Brisk Wind Advisory 166, NWS Fairbanks, AK

741 
FZAK52 PAFG 192239
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
239 PM AKDT TUE APR 19 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-201345-
239 PM AKDT TUE APR 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ARCTIC AROUND A
1042 MB HIGH NEAR 80N 170W. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH
SEVERAL CENTERS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL PERSIST
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST AND MOVING WEST LATE
TUE NIGHT. A DECAYING WEATHER FRONT WILL PERSIST S OF THE BERING
STRAIT.

$$

PKZ200-201345-
NORTON SOUND-
239 PM AKDT TUE APR 19 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-201345-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
239 PM AKDT TUE APR 19 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. FOG...
SNOW.
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. FOG AND
BLOWING SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. FOG AND
BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-201345-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
239 PM AKDT TUE APR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-201345-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
239 PM AKDT TUE APR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CF/DA APR 16

699 
FZAK52 PAFG 201136
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
336 AM AKDT WED APR 20 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-210245-
336 AM AKDT WED APR 20 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ARCTIC AROUND A
1042 MB HIGH NEAR 80N 155W. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH
SEVERAL CENTERS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL PERSIST. A
INVERTED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEST COAST FRI. 

$$

PKZ200-210245-
NORTON SOUND-
336 AM AKDT WED APR 20 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-210245-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
336 AM AKDT WED APR 20 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT SUBSIDING.
FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. FOG AND
BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-210245-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
336 AM AKDT WED APR 20 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-210245-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
336 AM AKDT WED APR 20 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

SDB/JK APR 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
328 AM AKDT TUE APR 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS OR SO WITH THE LATEST
RUNS. MID TERM IS A BIT SKETCHY BEYOND 96 HOURS. MODELS ARE
INDICATING A MUCH MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE INTERIOR EAST OF
TANANA. WILL ONLY TWEAK THE CURRENT FORECAST DATABASE SINCE THE
DIFFERENCE IN THE LAST COUPLE SOLUTIONS HAS BEEN MINOR.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA...RIDGING BUILDS NORTH OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE STATE TODAY WITH 540 DAM LINE REACHING AS FAR WEST THE MIDDLE
YUKON AND NORTH TO BARTER ISLAND THIS MORNING AND BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING WILL LIE FROM POINT HOPE TO HOMER WITH 546 DAM HEIGHTS
EAST OF TANANA AND SOUTH OF THE YUKON RIVER BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
BY THURSDAY MORNING THE 546 DAM HEIGHTS SPREAD NORTH OVER THE
ARCTIC COAST AND EASTERN ARCTIC. THE HEIGHTS START PULLING BACK TO
THE EAST THURSDAY EVENING AS THE RIDGE RECEDES BACK INTO CANADA. A
COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH SEVERAL LOW CENTERS ROTATING
THROUGH THE AREA WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND
SOUTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH THE WEEK. THE TROUGH OVER THE ARCTIC
COAST WILL BREAK UP AS THE 530 DAM LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST COAST
MOVES WEST AND THE LOW IN THE CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO MOVES EAST. AT
850 HPA...AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR
THROUGH THE WEEK. THE ZERO ISOTHERM WILL MOVE NORTH TO LIE FROM
EAGLE TO FOX TO ST MARYS BY FRIDAY.

SURFACE...1043 MB HIGH REMAINS OVER THE HIGH ARCTIC AND WILL MOVE
EAST TO 80N 158W BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH RIDGING EXTENDING
SOUTHEAST TO A 1035 MB HIGH OVER THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES...THEN
TO 77N 145W BY THURSDAY MORNING WITH THE RIDGE CONTINUING TO
EXTEND TO THE SOUTHEAST...AND TO 78N 140W BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH
THE RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OVER BANKS ISLAND. A 1028 MB HIGH
OVER JUNEAU WILL MOVE TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS IT WEAKENS TO 1019 MB...AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES OVER LOWER COOK INLET BY THURSDAY MORNING AS IT DISSIPATES.
A WEAK COL OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR WILL DISSIPATE AS THE LOW
THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA YESTERDAY MOVES EAST INTO CANADA. A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AROUND A 982 MB LOW IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC WILL PERSIST AS THE LOW MOVES EAST AND SEVERAL OTHER LOWS
DEVELOP AND DISSIPATE IN THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN BERING
SEA.

ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...LOOKS LIKE A NEW REGIME MOVING IN
OVER MOST OF THE COAST IF NOT ALL OF IT. AS THE RIDGE BUILD NORTH
OFFSHORE FLOW SHOULD TAKE OVER AND KICK THE STRATUS OUT. SO
STRATUS HANGS ON TODAY BUT SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. WITH THE RIDGING COMES SOME WARMER AIR AND THAT WILL
BRING SOME MELTING TO THE BROOKS RANGE BY MID WEEK. WINDS IN THE
BROOKS RANGE SHOULD TURN FROM THE SOUTH TODAY.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...CYCLONIC OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE COAST WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS INLAND. SOME
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTH WITH THE DECAYING WEATHER
FRONT LYING FROM KODIAK TO THE GULF OF ANADYR AND AN INVERTED
TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE COAST. BANDS OF CLOUDS WILL MOVE NORTH AS
THEY DISSIPATE. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH MORE THAN SPRINKLES WITH THE
BANDS OF CLOUDS. WINDS GENERALLY 5 TO 15 MPH...WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND THE BERING STRAIT COAST WHERE WINDS WILL
BE IN THE 15 TO 30 MPH RANGE.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...MUCH MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE TODAY
SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR SPRINKLE IN
THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND FORTYMILE COUNTRY. WINDS GENERALLY
LIGHT. A LITTLE DRIER AND WARMER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE
DELTA JUNCTION AREA AND SOUTH WHICH WILL SEE WINDS IN THE 10 TO
20 MPH RANGE WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WARMER AND DRIER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. SOME VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT LESS ACTIVE
THAN YESTERDAY. NO SHOWERS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. DO
NOT EXPECT ANY THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY AS ATMOSPHERE IS MUCH MORE
STABLE. WILL BE STARTING UP SOME OF THE FIRE WEATHER ZONE
FORECASTS TODAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ240-PKZ245.

&&

SDB APR 16