Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016
Small Craft Advisory 99, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 29, 2016, 3:20 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 29, 2016, 3:20 PM AKST (00:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 30, 2016, 3:35 AM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
184 FZAK51 PAFC 300020 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-301345- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-301345- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ120-301345- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ121-301345- RESURRECTION BAY- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ125-301345- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-301345- PORT VALDEZ- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-301345- VALDEZ NARROWS- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-301345- VALDEZ ARM- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-301345- PASSAGE CANAL- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-301345- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ131-301345- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ132-301345- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ136-301345- CHINIAK BAY- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ137-301345- MARMOT BAY- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ138-301345- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ139-301345- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ140-301345- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-301345- KACHEMAK BAY- 320 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
250 FZAK51 PAFC 301235 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-310200- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL GULF TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN SHIFT EAST INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON SUN. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF SUN AND INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-310200- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ120-310200- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ121-310200- RESURRECTION BAY- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ125-310200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-310200- PORT VALDEZ- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-310200- VALDEZ NARROWS- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-310200- VALDEZ ARM- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-310200- PASSAGE CANAL- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER DEVELOPING THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-310200- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ131-310200- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ132-310200- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ136-310200- CHINIAK BAY- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ137-310200- MARMOT BAY- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ138-310200- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ139-310200- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ140-310200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-310200- KACHEMAK BAY- 335 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 29, 5:55 AM AKST, 9 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 5:55 AM AKST, 9 hours 25 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
555 AM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
YESTERDAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL...A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPED IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA...RESULTING IN INCREASED LIFT AND DIMINISHING SOUTHEASTERLY
DOWNSLOPING WINDS. THE DOWNSLOPING WINDS FREQUENTLY THIS WINTER
HAVE PROTECTED ANCHORAGE...THE WESTERN KENAI...AND THE MATANUSKA
AND SUSITNA VALLEYS FROM PICKING UP SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IN
ANY FORM. WHILE OVERALL PRECIPITATION COVERAGE IS DIMINISHING THIS
MORNING...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST PRIMARILY NORTH OF
ANCHORAGE TO THE MATANUSKA VALLEY. THE AIR MASS LEFT BEHIND FOR
THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL IS DRYING OUT...WITH A DRY LAYER HAVING
DEVELOPED ON THE 12Z SOUNDING FROM THE SURFACE TO ABOUT 800
MB...AND EVEN MORE SUBSTANTIAL DRYING ABOVE 700 MB.
MEANWHILE...AN AERIALLY STACKED LOW IS CENTERED RIGHT OVER
NUNIVAK ISLAND MOVING NORTH. THE LOW IS WRAPPING COLD AIR AROUND
ITS SOUTHERN FLANK WITH THE LEADING EDGE FORMING A DISTINCT
FRONT...WHICH IS MOVING THROUGH BRISTOL BAY THIS MORNING. COLD AIR
ADVECTION IS ONGOING ON BOTH SIDES OF THE FRONT...WITH MORE
COLDER AIR BEHIND IT. INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
REMAINS NOTABLE...WITH CONVECTIVE CUMULUS NOTED ON SATELLITE
DEMARCATING THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT. A
DISTINCT DEFORMATION BAND OF STRATUS PERSISTS WEST OF THE LOW AND
BEHIND THE FRONT...CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE PRIBILOFS AND
EASTERN BERING. THIS AREA OF SNOW DROPPED 3 INCHES OF SNOW IN
SAINT PAUL YESTERDAY.
OUT OVER THE ALEUTIANS...THE NEXT SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT
ARE ENVELOPING MUCH OF THE ARCHIPELAGO WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR. GALE
FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION ARE ONGOING THROUGH
COMMUNITIES IN THAT AREA.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL DIFFERENCES CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THE LOW MOVING
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS PERSIST THIS MORNING...PARTICULARLY
CONCERNING HOW QUICKLY THE LOW CONSOLIDATES INTO A SINGLE
CIRCULATION CENTER. THE NAM WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE WITH THE
MORNING PACKAGE...LARGELY AGREEING WITH THE GLOBAL
MODELS...ESPECIALLY THE EC. REGARDING THE PLACEMENT OF THE
LOW...THE NAM IS HANDLING THE WINDS WELL AND HAS A BETTER
RESOLUTION OF LOCAL FEATURES. THE CANADIAN WAS THE PRIMARY
OUTLIER...FAILING TO SHOW A CONSOLIDATED LOW CIRCULATION CENTER
EVEN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ALL OF THE MODELS DEPICT A
STRENGTHENING JET STREAK FORMING EAST OF THE LOW IN RESPONSE TO
THE INCREASING TEMPERATURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE COLD AIR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DIGGING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND THE DEVELOPING
RIDGE EAST OF IT. THIS PATTERN IS FAVORABLE FOR CONSOLIDATING THE
INITIAL MULTIPLE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTERS INTO ONE SINGLE LOW MORE
QUICKLY.
FURTHER EAST...ANY LARGE-SCALE DEFINABLE FEATURES THIS MORNING ARE
LACKING. ONLY SMALL TIMING DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE MODELS
CONCERNING THE FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING ACROSS BRISTOL BAY
REACHING SOUTHCENTRAL FRIDAY EVENING. THE MODELS ALL AGREE THAT
VERY LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT FROM ITS PASSAGE.
FURTHER...THERE ALSO IS UNANIMOUS AGREEMENT THAT STRONG UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL FOR THE WEEKEND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR THE LARGE-SCALE FEATURES DUE TO
VERY GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WEAK COLD ADVECTION SPREADING NORTH AND EAST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL
THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF SHOWERS (TRANSITIONING
FROM MIXED TO MORE SNOW THIS MORNING) INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
AN UPPER TROUGH SWINGING IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT WILL BRING
ANOTHER BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL BEFORE
RIDGING BUILDS ON SATURDAY STABILIZING MOST OF THE AREA.
LOCALIZED FOG IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL DURING THE LATE
NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN KENAI WITH THE FORMATION OF
A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE GULF. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT
STRONGER LATE TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH PRESSURE
RISES ACROSS COOK INLET AND THE WESTERN KENAI IN THE WAKE OF THE EASTWARD
MOVING UPPER TROUGH.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SURFACE LOW OVER NUNIVAK ISLAND PUSHES A WEAK FRONT INTO THE
SOUTHWEST COAST THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WEAKENS AS IT MOVES EAST
THROUGH THE DAY OVER LAND. MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS WITH WEST-FACING SLOPES RECEIVING LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS. THE WIND FLOW WILL GENERALLY STAY OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LOW PRESSURE REMAINING DOMINANT
OVER THE EAST BERING. WINDS ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL BE
GUSTY SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE NEXT FRONT MAKES LANDFALL. SNOW ON
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE LARGELY CONFINED TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST WITH
RIDGING BUILDING FROM THE GULF TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOW IN THE MORNING. A FRONT ACROSS
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EARLY THIS MORNING MAKES FAIRLY
QUICK PROGRESS TO THE NORTH AND EAST THROUGH THE DAY. THE LEADING
BOUNDARY WILL STRETCH ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING BY THIS AFTERNOON...JUST
SOUTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. WESTERLY
WINDS SHIFT BRIEFLY TO THE SOUTH AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH.
THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VARY A BIT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
DUE TO ANOTHER LOW THAT MOVES UP TO ADAK EARLY SATURDAY. THIS
SYSTEM BRINGS A WARM FRONT THAT NUDGES INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN SPREADS INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY
WITH NORTHWARD PROGRESS TOWARDS THE PRIBILOFS.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL BERING SUNDAY WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST WHILE BROADENING AND WEAKENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE MID-LEVELS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE BERING TO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...WITH MID-LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE NEAR KAMCHATKA AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE AND
EASTERN MAINLAND. THIS KIND OF ATMOSPHERIC PATTERN WILL ALLOW FOR
WARMER AND WETTER CONDITIONS WHERE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
PERSISTS...WHILE UNDERNEATH THE MID-LEVEL HIGH...PLACES SUCH AS
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND SHELTERED VALLEYS INLAND WILL SEE THE
COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND DRIEST CONDITIONS.
BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK THE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN MAINLAND MAY
BREAK DOWN A BIT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND MOVES NORTH
TOWARD THE BRISTOL BAY AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION. THIS MAY ALLOW
A BIT MORE ACTIVE WEATHER TO RETURN TO MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 173
GALES 150 155 160 165 170 172 174 175 176 177
178 180 412 413 414
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JAIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 29, 3:12 PM AKST, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
312 PM AKST FRI JAN 29 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0310 PM SNOW SUTTON 61.72N 148.88W
01/29/2016 M2.5 INCH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
10 INCHES ON GROUND
&&
KUTZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 3:09 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Jan 29, 3:09 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 29, 3:11 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Jan 29, 3:11 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jan 30, 3:35 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 6 days | |
| Jan 30, 3:35 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 6 days | |
| Jan 30, 3:35 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jan 30, 3:42 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Jan 30, 3:42 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 59 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.