Small Craft Advisory 974, NWS Anchorage, AK

719 
FZAK51 PAFC 081634 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090415-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1010 MB LOW 95 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST
OF CHIGNIK AT 1014 MB AND DISSIPATES FRI AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT WEAKENS TO A TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST. A 1011 MB LOW
FORMS 165 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK FRI AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 225 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AT 1013 MB SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-090415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090415-
PORT VALDEZ-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090415-
VALDEZ ARM-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090415-
CHINIAK BAY-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090415-
MARMOT BAY-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
734 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

638 
FZAK51 PAFC 081957 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090430-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1010 MB LOW 95 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST
OF CHIGNIK AT 1014 MB AND DISSIPATES FRI AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT WEAKENS TO A TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST. A 1011 MB LOW
FORMS 165 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK FRI AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 225 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AT 1013 MB SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-090430-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090430-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090430-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090430-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090430-
PORT VALDEZ-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.  
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090430-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090430-
VALDEZ ARM-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090430-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090430-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090430-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090430-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090430-
CHINIAK BAY-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090430-
MARMOT BAY-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090430-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090430-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090430-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090430-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1057 AM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

961 
FZAK51 PAFC 090037
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091315-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES TO THE WESTERN GULF
TONIGHT...THEN STALLS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF THROUGH LATE FRI
NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-091315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
30 KT THROUGH THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW
MIXING WITH RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF NORTHERN
BAYS AND PASSES. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091315-
PORT VALDEZ-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091315-
VALDEZ ARM-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2
FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS
2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091315-
CHINIAK BAY-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091315-
MARMOT BAY-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
337 PM AKST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
609 PM AKST Wed Dec 7 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A high amplitude Ridge over the Bering sea is blocking the
approach of systems from the west while a cold upper level trough
remains nearly stationary over the eastern Interior and
Southcentral Alaska. At the surface there is high pressure over
the northern half of the state and through the central Bering Sea
with a broad complex low in the Gulf of Alaska. This is a typical
pattern for this time of year and is increasing the pressure
gradient in Southwest mainland Alaska as well as along the north
Gulf coast.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are continuing to be in good agreement with a stable
synoptic pattern over the state. The one wild card remain in the
Gulf of Alaska with the complex low. While this low will persist
the details on the movement of the individual waves is causing a
large range of forecasted snowfall amounts along the north Gulf
Coast and especially Kodiak Island. Over Kodiak, the GFS and NAM
differ on predicted snow amounts with the NAM showing three to
four times the amounts from the GFS. Looking through the detail,
the lower GFS values seem more reasonable.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Periods of light snow will occur into the evening with
some warm air over-running the cold air in place over the
Anchorage bowl. This pattern will allow ceilings and visibilities
to remain mainly VFR with only a chance of occasional marginal
conditions. Winds will continue to be from the north for the
foreseeable future.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A cold upper level low remains the focus for precipitation across
the Gulf of Alaska and Kodiak Island. 850-500mb lapse rates are
fairly steep, with the 00Z Kodiak sounding showing 7.9 degrees
C/km. Thus, the character of precipitation is showery. A weak
upper wave is headed westward across the Kenai Peninsula this
afternoon, but with dry low level northerly flow, don't expect
anything more than flurries or very light snow from the Western
Kenai Peninsula up to Anchorage and the Mat-Su. There is also some
low to mid level isentropic lift, as marginally warmer air
overrides the deep arctic air sitting over interior Southcentral.
This will continue to produce some persistent light snow over
portions of the Copper River Basin.

The next feature of interest is an inverted surface trough sitting
over the Eastern Gulf. This will bring snow to the Copper River
Basin and Prince William Sound region on Thursday. A 20 to 30 kt
low level jet will advect warmer and moister air northward and
combine with strong low level convergence along the trough axis
to produce moderate snow in places. The cold air in place will
produce a low density snow, which is favorable for blowing snow
and reduced visibilities. With persistent strong winds through
Thompson Pass have issued a Blizzard Warning for this event.

Forecast confidence starts out high, but quickly drops to low
Thursday Night and Friday. The trough and associated forcing for
snow will weaken as it rotates westward, with a building ridge
rapidly taking its place. The question is how fast does it weaken
and how far west does the snow spread. For now have introduced a
chance of snow from the Western Kenai to Anchorage and the
Matanuska Valley. There is potential for light accumulation of
snow, though the persistent dry northerly flow will work against
this idea.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The pattern for the southwest mainland will largely be
characterized by dry offshore flow through Thursday on the
backside of the trough centered over the western Gulf. This will
yield frigid temperatures beneath mostly clear skies, although
numerous disturbances embedded in the upper level flow will
continue to provide chances for periodic cloud cover over the
Bristol Bay region. Persistent gusty winds will lead to very cold
wind chill values across the Kuskokwim Delta, although these
conditions are not expected to meet advisory criteria at this
time.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Cold, offshore north to northeasterly flow over the near-shore ice
will allow for continued sea-effect snow showers to continue over
the southeastern Bering over the next several periods, and also
allow for continued freezing spray issues. Easterly waves will
begin to undercut the ridging to the north and west over the
Bering region and allow for increasing precipitation chances for
the Alaska Peninsula Thursday night into Saturday.

Meanwhile, on the western side of the high pressure ridge, the
gale-force front across the western Bering and Western Aleutians
will continue to weaken as it slowly moves into the high pressure
downstream. As this front gets sheared apart, low pressure will
develop over the southern Bering and move across the Central
Aleutians late Thursday into Friday, bringing small-craft-
advisory-level winds. This front will dissipate by Friday as
easterly flow overtakes the region ahead of a stronger front that
will attempt to push north toward the Western Aleutians later
Friday. Models are beginning to diverge with how far the front
makes it to the Aleutians through the end of the week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7...Fri through Tue)...

High latitude blocking ridge will be the dominant mode across the
Alaska region for the beginning of the weekend and into the middle
of next week, as a stout upper high builds across northern
Alaska. Even though temperatures aloft will actually be warming in
response to this feature, temperatures at the surface will be
dominated by increasing inversions. Temperatures will once again
fall below climatological norms by the weekend as skies clear and
outflow winds persist into next week. While the numerical models
differ in the exact details for much of next week, the ensemble
and multi-model approach all depicts similar sensible weather
solutions as the ridging rebuilds across the eastern Bering Sea
and western Alaska. Offshore flow will remain dominant across
Southern Alaska with no precipitation events expected in the
foreseeable future for inland locales. In other words, continued
cold and dry conditions over much of the mainland, with the main
storm track over Siberia and the Western Aleutians and Western
Bering Sea.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard warning Thompson Pass.
MARINE...Gales 127 128 138 139 177 128 411. Heavy Freezing Spray
160 180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...JA/TP