Small Craft Advisory 920, NWS Anchorage, AK

611 
FZAK51 PAFC 221556 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

UPDATE TO ZONE 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230415-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MERGE WITH A
LOW APPROACHING FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING TO BECOME A BROAD
COMPLEX LOW TONIGHT. THIS LOW IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL THEN EXIT
TO THE NORTH PACIFIC WED.

$$

PKZ119-230415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230415-
PORT VALDEZ-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230415-
VALDEZ ARM-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING.
WIND BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230415-
CHINIAK BAY-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230415-
MARMOT BAY-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
656 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

808 
FZAK51 PAFC 230002
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231315-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 200 NM EAST OF SITKINAK MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK AT 983 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN EXITS INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC WED MORNING. WEAK TROUGHING WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH THU.

$$

PKZ119-231315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231315-
PORT VALDEZ-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231315-
VALDEZ ARM-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 33 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231315-
CHINIAK BAY-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231315-
MARMOT BAY-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
302 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

838 
FZAK51 PAFC 230247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231530-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 200 NM EAST OF SITKINAK MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK AT 983 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN EXITS INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC WED MORNING. WEAK TROUGHING WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH THU.

$$

PKZ119-231530-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231530-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231530-
RESURRECTION BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231530-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231530-
PORT VALDEZ-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231530-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231530-
VALDEZ ARM-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231530-
PASSAGE CANAL-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231530-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231530-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231530-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 33 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231530-
CHINIAK BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231530-
MARMOT BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231530-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231530-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231530-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231530-
KACHEMAK BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
452 PM AKST Mon Nov 21 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
At the upper levels a trough extends from eastern Russia to a
broad cut-off low complex south of the Gulf. A fairly sharp ridge
extends north between 175w to 175e. A broad low center was evident
near Kamchatka with a fairly strong zonal jet on its southern
periphery. At the surface, a surface low retrograding west across
the Gulf and its associated frontal trough brought widespread
showers to the western Gulf and southern Kenai peninsula. With the
exception of snow over Kachemak Bay, the showers were mainly rain.
Gusty gap flows were also evident across the north coast along
with gales over the Northern and western Gulf. Out west, some snow
made it across the Aleutian range into eastern Bristol Bay. A
front moving east across the Aleutians was accompanied by
southerly gales and rain.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models overall are in pretty good agreement across the Gulf and
Southcentral. The biggest challenge, but very low impact, will be
the location of some minor precipitation moving toward the
northern/western Gulf Tuesday. Will lean toward higher resolution
models for local gap winds across Southcentral. Out west, winds
are in fairly good shape into Tuesday. Then differences start to
occur with next low heading north toward the western Aleutians.
The forecast leans toward the GFS for this feature.

&&

AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds are expected through Tuesday
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A low in the Gulf of Alaska will move south and weaken tonight.
With inland high pressure aloft building overhead, skies will
clear out and temperatures will once again begin to drop. Offshore
winds will increase tonight, especially across the Prince William
Sound region into Valdez. Otherwise, another weak shortwave trough
moving across the Northern Gulf of Alaska will clip the coastal
areas tomorrow evening into Wednesday morning with some sporadic
rain and snow showers. Kodiak Island will see the bulk of moisture
as the front remains shunted to the south before that region dries
out Wednesday evening. Across inland areas, high pressure will
dominate with weak northerly gap winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A deformation band that has setup over northeastern Bristol Bay
will continue to bring and inch or two of light snowfall to the
area through this evening. Most of the snow should occur to the
north and east of King Salmon, but there is an outside chance that
the very western edge of the band may bring a brief shot of snow
with little if any accumulation. Over the Kuskokwim Delta, a
weakening and dry upper level trough will bring areas of flurries
and fog to the area through this evening when conditions will
begin to improve as the trough lifts to the north. This will allow
for ridging to move into the area overnight, which may allow for
low stratus and fog to development primarily to inland areas. A
frontal system approaching the Bristol Bay coast on Tuesday
will then bring a chance of snow for western Bristol Bay for the
afternoon/evening, but otherwise skies will begin to clear into
mid week as offshore flow redevelops behind the front.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Activity over the area will continue to center around the storm
force front currently moving through the central Bering, bringing
with it rain and strong southerly winds. This front will weaken
to gale force as it moves into the eastern Aleutians this evening,
then continue to weaken on Tuesday as the entire system weakens
and elongates over the Bering. As this happens, cold air wrapping
around the back edge of the low will allow rain and snow showers
to spread into the western Bering/Aleutians through Tuesday.
Starting late Tuesday yet another gale force front associated with
a Kamchatka low will move into the western Aleutians where it will
be the focal point for the weather into mid-week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
There is a 971 mb storm force low tracking near the Kamchatka
Peninsula with an associated weather front extending through the
Western Aleutians/Bering region by Wednesday afternoon. This
system tracks into the northern Bering by the upcoming weekend.
Therefore, the Bering/Aleutians will be under the influence of a
showery weather regime as the aforementioned system becomes
almost stationary before dissipating by late Sunday evening.
Meanwhile, a storm force low develops in the base of the longwave
trough located south of the Western Aleutians. This system
eventually gets kicked out, and tracks just south of the Central
Aleutians by Friday afternoon before being positioned south of the
Gulf of Alaska heading into the weekend. By Thursday evening the
Southwest Alaska region has a weak weather front approaching the
Kuskokwim Delta coastline. This feature moves through the Bristol
Bay interior before falling apart by Friday, and will bring a
wintry mix along the coastline with snow showers inland. While the
Southcentral region remains in offshore flow with the coldest
temperatures to remain in the Copper River Basin. There is a gale
force low tracking into the Gulf by Friday afternoon before
dissipating by Saturday. The majority of the precipitation
will remain in the the northern Gulf and coastal areas. The
models remain in decent agreement with the storm tracks of the
different synoptic systems, but have discrepancies in the
placement of the surface lows. Therefore, the forecast confidence
remains average as we head into the weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm Warning 176 177 178 185.
 Gale Warning 120 127 131 150 155 170 172 173 174 175 179 181.
 Hvy Frz Spray 180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...PD