Small Craft Advisory 857, NWS Anchorage, AK

128 
FZAK52 PAFC 041148
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050100-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 230 NM SOUTH OF ADAK LATE
TONIGHT AT 973 MB...THEN MOVES TO 430 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY AT
963 MB. A 991 MB LOW 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL MOVES TO 110
NM SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL AT 983 MB LATE TONIGHT AND IS ABSORBED INTO
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED LOW SAT MORNING. A FRONT ENTERS THE FAR
WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-050100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-050100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-050100-
BRISTOL BAY-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-050100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-050100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-050100-
UNALASKA BAY-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ172-050100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ173-050100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ174-050100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-050100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ176-050100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ177-050100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ178-050100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ179-050100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ180-050100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-050100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-050100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
348 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

394 
FZAK52 PAFC 042317
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051215-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA MERGES WITH ANOTHER
DEVELOPING LOW 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO
350 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY AT 960 MB SAT AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN
EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC SUN. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A
KAMCHATKA LOW ENTERS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-051215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-051215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-051215-
BRISTOL BAY-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-051215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ170-051215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ171-051215-
UNALASKA BAY-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ172-051215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-051215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ174-051215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-051215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ176-051215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-051215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-051215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-051215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ180-051215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-051215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-051215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
317 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

708 
FZAK52 PAFC 050550 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051845-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA MERGES WITH ANOTHER
DEVELOPING LOW 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO
350 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY AT 960 MB SAT AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN
EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC SUN. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A
KAMCHATKA LOW ENTERS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-051845-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-051845-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-051845-
BRISTOL BAY-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-051845-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ170-051845-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ171-051845-
UNALASKA BAY-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ172-051845-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-051845-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ174-051845-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-051845-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ176-051845-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-051845-
ADAK TO KISKA-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-051845-
KISKA TO ATTU-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-051845-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ180-051845-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-051845-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-051845-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
950 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

665 
FZAK52 PAFC 051145
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-060015-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 983 MB LOW 110 NM NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR BECOMES ABSORBED INTO
A 974 MB LOW CENTERED 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA AND MOVES TO 400 NM
SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY AT 961 MB TONIGHT...THEN EXITS INTO THE GULF
SUN. A FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE TONIGHT AND MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED 970 MB NORTH
PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 180 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA SUN NIGHT AT 967 MB.

$$

PKZ150-060015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-060015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-060015-
BRISTOL BAY-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-060015-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ170-060015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ171-060015-
UNALASKA BAY-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ172-060015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-060015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ174-060015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-060015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ176-060015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-060015-
ADAK TO KISKA-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-060015-
KISKA TO ATTU-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-060015-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ180-060015-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-060015-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING
NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-060015-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
345 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
415 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A very powerful near 200 knot upper level North Pacific jet streak
stretches from the southern Kamchatka Peninsula to 40N 160W (or,
about 1000 miles south of the Alaska Peninsula). Cold arctic air
originating from Eastern Siberia is pouring out through the Bering
Sea into the North Pacific, and this thermal gradient is what is
supporting the intense jet streak. At the exit of the jet streak,
across the Northeast Pacific ocean, is an upper low moving into
the Southeast Panhandle of Alaska with a series of trailing low
amplitude shortwave troughs. Water vapor and IR satellite imagery
depicts the complexity of the wave pattern embedded within the
broader synoptic scale trough as these features interact and merge
with one another. Another shortwave trough has formed along a
secondary weak baroclinic zone over the Eastern Bering Sea,
enhanced by a strong low level shearing flow. An increasingly
strong offshore pressure gradient across Southcentral has ended
shower activity across the North Gulf Coast.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The numerical models are in excellent agreement with the general
large scale synoptic pattern heading into next week, but are in
much lesser agreement with smaller scale shortwave troughs
embedded within the broader scale long-wave trough. There has been
a rather large change in the models with respect to a second low
in the Northeast Pacific which had been progged to move toward the
North Gulf Coast late this week into the weekend. Now, that
feature is progged to be much weaker and will take a track east of
the ALCAN. This will allow for more weak troughing to move across
Southern Alaska. This is where forecast confidence drops heading
into the weekend. While the details are subtle, the differences in
phasing lows and moisture moving in from the Northeast Gulf of
Alaska lend rather low confidence in potential light snow chances.
The NAM and Canadian GDPS models are more bullish in generating
light snow across much of Southcentral Friday night into Saturday
while the ECMWF and GFS are much drier. There is also low
confidence with a consolidating low over the Bering, but this is
of less impact due to its weak strength with the main story being
showery weather due to marine instability. The ECMWF and GFS were
favored models on both sides, but the uncertainty with
precipitation was taken into consideration with some credence
given to a potential NAM/Canadian GDPS scenario, so low end
slight/chance precip chances were added for this forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A fairly strong low over the eastern Gulf moves north and weakens
through tonight bringing increased chances of snow to the
southeast Copper River Basin. Pressure gradients will increase
along the north Gulf coast and the eastern Kenai Pen this morning
giving rise to to gusty outflow winds. These conditions are
expected to weaken this afternoon/evening as pressure gradients
relax. Broad cyclonic flow aloft will push weak waves across the
Gulf and Southcentral Alaska through Friday night. A complex area
of low pressure consisting of several weak low centers will become
established across much of the north Gulf Friday. The result will
be increased chances of snow inland with a mix of rain and snow
along the coast as we head into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Flow over southwest Alaska will weaken as the low over the Bering
weakens and elongates. As this happens shower activity will also
diminish but will still linger along the coast. Interior locations
will see less cloud cover and colder temperatures overnight
allowing for the possibility of fog formation with the highest
chances being tonight. On Friday night, showers will then spread
back inland as a shortwave rotating around the main Bering low
swings in over the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The low over the northwest Bering will slowly track to the
southeast as it weakens and will make it to the Eastern Aleutians
Saturday morning. This will change the strong westerly flow over
much of the Bering and Aleutians to a weaker northerly flow. It
will also allow for continued shower activity over the area with a
mix of snow and rain showers, that will be mostly rain during the
day and mostly snow overnight. The exception is the Western
Aleutians that will see enough cold air advection to stay snow.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

A broad vertically stack low over the Bering will continue to
weaken through the day Saturday as it shifts south across the
eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula. A developing low south of
the Aleutians will continue east along 47N with minimal impacts
to the forecast area. By Sunday afternoon or evening a
strengthening low will reach the western Aleutians with an
associated weather front positioned through the Central Aleutians
extending into the lower Bering Sea. This system tracks east along
the Aleutian Chain before exiting into the North Pacific Ocean
Tuesday keeping the Bering Sea and the Aleutians under a showery
weather regime.

Meanwhile, the Southcentral region continues with generally drier
conditions and high pressure in the interior. However, things
will be changing along the northern Gulf Coast and in the lower
southeastern Copper River Basin by Saturday as a low pressure
system tracks to the Yakutat area and lifts moisture into the
Copper River basin. With temperatures below freezing, look for
chances of snow for that aforementioned region through the weekend.
By Sunday evening a storm force low develops in the central Gulf
before tracking to the northern Gulf, and dissipates Tuesday evening.
This synoptic scenario brings gale to storm force southeasterly to
easterly winds from Monday morning through Tuesday. Look for
widespread rain to occur mainly along the northern Gulf and the
coastal communities.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales 175 176 177 178 411 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...PD/JR