Small Craft Advisory 83, NWS Anchorage, AK

211 
FZAK52 PAFC 251607 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-260415-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 952 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO NEAR CAPE
NEWENHAM AT 960 MB LATE MON NIGHT...THEN DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING TUE NIGHT. A STRONG FRONT
APPROACHES THE PACIFIC SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-260415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...E WIND
30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF CHIRIKOF
ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ155-260415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SW 30 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-260415-
BRISTOL BAY-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-260415-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. E OF COLD BAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM COLD BAY
W...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-260415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-260415-
UNALASKA BAY-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

UPDATED

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-260415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ173-260415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-260415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ175-260415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-260415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-260415-
ADAK TO KISKA-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ON BERING
SIDE. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-260415-
KISKA TO ATTU-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT N 10 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 10 FT
BERING SIDE...7 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-260415-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-260415-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
N OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-260415-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-260415-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
707 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

507 
FZAK52 PAFC 260002
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261230-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 957 MB LOW 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK WILL TRACK TO 75 NM SOUTH
OF MEKORYUK AT 968 MB TUE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING TUE NIGHT. A STRONG FRONT WILL 
APPROACH THE PACIFIC SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUE
EVENING...THEN WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE PENINSULA AND MOVES INTO
BRISTOL BAY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-261230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ155-261230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ160-261230-
BRISTOL BAY-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-261230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. E OF COLD BAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-261230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-261230-
UNALASKA BAY-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-261230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ173-261230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ174-261230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ175-261230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-261230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-261230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-261230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT E 15 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 9
FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY BERING SIDE.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY BERING
SIDE.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-261230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ180-261230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NE WIND 20 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ181-261230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-261230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
302 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
502 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA HAS RESURGED...AND
AS A RESULT HAS BEGUN TO STEER MORE ACTIVE WEATHER TOWARD THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND. A WEAK WARM FRONT IS PUSHING THROUGH COOK INLET AND SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TODAY...WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS KEEPING THE USUAL DOWNSLOPE AREAS
DRY...AND PRECIPITATION FALLING ALONG THE GULF COAST GENERALLY IN
THE FORM OF RAIN. AREAS OF PRECIPITATION ARE ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...FALLING AS SNOW ACROSS THE DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY...WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE BRISTOL
BAY ZONE. WINDS ARE NOT OVERLY STRONG IN ANY LOCATIONS AS THIS OVERALL
FEATURE IS QUITE WEAK...BUT IT IS ALLOWING A WARMER AIRMASS TO GRADUALLY
SURGE INTO THE MAINLAND.

A MUCH LARGER AND MORE IMPRESSIVE STORM IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS LOW IS
APPROACHING ITS PEAK INTENSITY AROUND 959 MB...AND WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN THIS EVENING. A SOUTHERLY JET STREAM CLIMBING THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL CAUSE
THIS STORM TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WITH
STRONGER WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A RETURN TO A STORM TRACK
WHERE INDIVIDUAL STORMS MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND INTO THE VICINITY OF BRISTOL BAY BEFORE RECURVING WESTWARD
INTO THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. FORTUNATELY...THE JET STREAM IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN FAR ENOUGH EAST THAT MOST OF THESE STORMS AND ASSOCIATED
WEATHER FRONTS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN FROM THEIR MAX STRENGTH BEFORE
THEY IMPACT THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. AS A RESULT...MULTIPLE ROUNDS
OF WARM AND WINDY (AND OCCASIONALLY WET) WEATHER ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...THOUGH NO WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
WARNING LEVELS AND THE USUALLY DRY DOWNSLOPE AREAS SHOULD
GENERALLY REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE OF THESE STORMS. THE GFS HAD BEEN
AN OUTLIER WITH A STRONGER TRAILING SHORTWAVE/SURFACE LOW MOVING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF TOMORROW TOWARD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
THIS WOULD AFFECT PRECIPITATION DISTRIBUTION AND GAP WINDS.
WITH THE 12Z RUNS...ALL MODELS NOW SEEM TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT
THAT THIS FEATURE WILL REMAIN WEAK AND EAST OF THE ANCHORAGE
FORECAST AREA...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS EXPECTED. THE ECMWF IS
THE PREFERRED MODEL TODAY...THOUGH THE CANADIAN REGIONAL MODEL WAS
USED AS A HIGH-RESOLUTION REFERENCE FOR SOME OF THE SMALLER LOCAL
AREAS OF COMPLEX TERRAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST REASONING WITH THIS
AFTERNOONS PACKAGE. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW MOVING
TOWARDS KODIAK ISLAND WILL IS CURRENTLY ENTERING INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF ALASKA. THIS FRONT WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST WITH SNOW AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND...THE KENAI PENINSULA...AND THE ALASKA RANGE. UPPER COOK
INLET IS LIKELY TO REMAIN MOSTLY DOWNSLOPED WITH THIS FRONT...BUT
WHAT SPILLOVER THERE IS LIKELY WILL BE MIXED PRECIPITATION THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OVER THE GULF
COAST MONDAY EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
COASTAL AREAS IN A GENERALLY WET PATTERN.

AS THE ASSOCIATED LOW MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY AND THE FRONT BEGINS
TO DISSIPATE OVER THE GULF COAST...A SECOND DEEP LOW AGAIN WILL
APPROACH THE REGION ON TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
IMPACT THE SOUTHERN GULF AND THE COASTAL WATERS NEAR KODIAK ISLAND
LATE TUESDAY...ONCE AGAIN BRINGING GALE FORCE WINDS INTO THE
REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES AS A SERIES OF NORTH PACIFIC
LOWS TRACK THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH THE NEXT IN LINE
MOVING INTO THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. WARMER PACIFIC AIR
ALOFT WILL KEEP A RAIN MIX ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY REGION...AND AND
MAY ALLOW FOR A BIT OF FREEZING SPRINKLES ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA. STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOW ACROSS
BRISTOL BAY AND NEAR THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGES BEFORE THE LOW
DEPARTS TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

QUIET WEATHER FOR THE BERING WILL REMAIN DOMINANT AS NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW AND SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA AS THE MAIN
STORM TRACK STAYS OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. ANOTHER GALE FORCE FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND MONDAY...SPREADING
RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM NORTHEASTERN RUSSIA THROUGH
THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC TUESDAY WILL
BEGIN TO TILT NEGATIVELY OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC APPROACHING THE
ALASKA PENINSULA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...THE FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED LOW WILL PUSH INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST AND AKPEN WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...MUCH
LIKE MANY SYSTEMS OVER THE RECENT TIMES IT IS WEAKENING AS IT
APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...WITH THE BRUNT OF THE
PRECIPITATION STAYING CONFINED TO THE COAST AND THE LEE SIDE OF
THE MOUNTAIN RANGES EXPERIENCING A DRIER DOWNSLOPING EFFECT. THE
AIR MASS IT BRINGS UP FROM THE SOUTH IS SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN WHAT
IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE...BUT IT IS NOT GOING TO BRING A HUGE WARM
UP FROM CURRENT TEMPERATURES. LOOKING OUT TOWARD THE END OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...THE PATTERN LOOKS MOSTLY THE SAME WITH
A TROUGH ANCHORED OVER MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...WITH
A LITTLE MORE RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC. AS
FAR AS SENSIBLE WEATHER GOES...EXPECT TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL IN MOST LOCATIONS AND THE ONSET OF A MORE SHOWERY REGIME.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 125 130 131 132 136 137 138 150 155 351 352.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...TP