Small Craft Advisory 813, NWS Anchorage, AK

639 
FZAK51 PAFC 162349
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171315-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 976 MB LOW 115 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE TO 15 NM
SOUTH OF GORE POINT MON AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATE NEAR AUGUSTINE
ISLAND MON NIGHT. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 160 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON AT 976 MB.


$$

PKZ119-171315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171315-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171315-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171315-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171315-
MARMOT BAY-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-171315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 PM AKDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

729 
FZAK51 PAFC 171151
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180115-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 65 NM SOUTH OF MONTAGUE ISLAND WEAKENS TO 982 MB AS
IT MOVES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW IS THEN
ABSORBED INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND NORTH PACIFIC. A 985 MB CENTER DEVELOPS MON NIGHT
330 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AND STRENGTHENS TO 980 MB 150 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-180115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-180115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-180115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-180115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-180115-
PORT VALDEZ-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-180115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-180115-
VALDEZ ARM-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-180115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-180115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-180115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-180115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-180115-
CHINIAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-180115-
MARMOT BAY-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-180115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-180115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-180115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-180115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT IN THE INNER BAY. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

418 
FZAK51 PAFC 171508 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180330-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 65 NM SOUTH OF MONTAGUE ISLAND WEAKENS TO 982 MB AS
IT MOVES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW IS 
THEN ABSORBED INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND NORTH PACIFIC. A 985 MB CENTER DEVELOPS MON NIGHT
330 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AND STRENGTHENS TO 980 MB 150 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-180330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-180330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-180330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-180330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-180330-
PORT VALDEZ-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-180330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-180330-
VALDEZ ARM-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-180330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS 
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-180330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-180330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-180330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-180330-
CHINIAK BAY-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-180330-
MARMOT BAY-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-180330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-180330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-180330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-180330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
708 AM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT IN THE INNER BAY. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

498 
FZAK51 PAFC 172348
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181315-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA WILL DISSIPATE OVER
COOK INLET MONDAY NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO AROUND
90 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK TUE AFTERNOON AT 973 MB...THEN MOVE TO
300 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WED AFTERNOON AT 980 MB.

$$

PKZ119-181315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-181315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-181315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PERIODS OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-181315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-181315-
PORT VALDEZ-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-181315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-181315-
VALDEZ ARM-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-181315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-181315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-181315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-181315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-181315-
CHINIAK BAY-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-181315-
MARMOT BAY-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-181315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-181315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-181315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-181315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
348 PM AKDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. PERIODS
OF SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
418 PM AKDT SAT OCT 15 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A very amplified pattern exists over Alaska and the Bering Sea.
There is an upper level ridge centered over the Chukchi Sea that
covers the eastern Bering Sea and western Alaska. There is an
upper low centered over the Yukon Territory with the trough
digging into south central Alaska and the northern Gulf of Alaska.
Northerly flow exists between these two features, that is anti-
cyclonic over southwest Alaska and cyclonic over south central and
the gulf. There is a weak trough that stretches across the
Aleutians with the jet stream racing across the Pacific to the
south.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in decent agreement through the short
term portion of the forecast (Monday afternoon). There are still
some differences in how they handle the surface low in the gulf
and its associated moisture/precipitation fields. The forecasts
lean towards the GFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Offshore winds will be trending upward over the next 24 to 36
hours as an area of low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska is slated
to move toward the northern gulf coast and increase in intensity.
As of this afternoon wind gusts up to 40 mph have already been
observed in the Matanuska Valley. With the increasing pressure
gradient from the developing low in the gulf, higher wind gusts
appear quite likely in the coming days. One ongoing concern with
the winds in the Matanuska Valley relates to a wildfire that
started this morning near Sutton. With gusty winds, low minimum
RH values and low recovery RH values over the next 48 hours will
all continue to provide favorable conditions for fire growth.

Winds throughout Valdez and Thompson Pass will also be on the
rise in the coming day. Winds between 40 and 55 mph are expected
through Thompson Pass while the city of Valdez could see winds
between 30 and 45 mph Sunday and Monday. In addition to these
winds, a nice shot of precipitation will be seen across the
northern gulf coast. Thompson Pass will likely see a couple inches
of snow on Sunday with the potential for some visibility reduction
from blowing snow as strong winds move through the pass. In Valdez,
a mix of rain and snow will be seen with little accumulation
expected at this time. More snow will be seen across the northern
gulf coast and eastern Kenai Peninsula on Monday with the
potential of 3-6 inches in Thompson Pass and 1 to 4 inches in
Valdez.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Gusty offshore flow will continue to increase over the weekend and
into Monday over much of the Southwest mainland, as the pressure
gradient increases between the high centered over the Chukchi Sea
and a deep arctic trough digging over the southern mainland
Alaska. This will keep clear and dry conditions across the region
through Monday, with temperatures steadily decreasing as the
coldest air mass so far this season filters into the region with
the arrival of the trough. The strongest cold air advection will
take place overnight tonight and persist through Monday night, as
much cooler air aloft filters in over the area from the North.
Thus, overnight lows will drop well below freezing area wide for
the next several nights beneath clear skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Benign showery conditions will continue across the southern half
of the Bering through Monday, beneath a weakening front over the
central Bering and weak cyclonic flow as a North Pacific trough
passes south of the Aleutians. Meanwhile, high pressure and dry
northerly flow will yield mostly precipitation free conditions
across the eastern and northern Bering, with gusty northerly winds
developing by Sunday as cold air associated with the mainland
trough begins to spread over the region.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long range forecast beginning Tuesday will be a slow
transitioning pattern with a persistence forecast through the end
of the week keeping dry and cool conditions inland and rain
across the area waters. Models have been struggling on the how to
resolve the track and the speed of the low currently diving into
the western Gulf. On Tuesday, this closed off system should start
tracking east; models previously lifted the system on it's
easterly track, but a developing wave moving in from the northwest
coast looks to shunt northerly advancement. The northwest low and
another low from the North Pacific slowly breaks down the upper
ridge center over the Bering Strait through the end of the next
work week. The ECMWF and ensemble mean were used to update the
forecast as it was favored for it's run to run consistency.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...KH