Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 715, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 9, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 9, 2016, 3:22 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 9, 2016, 3:22 PM AKDT (23:22 UTC)
Expired
Sep 10, 2016, 3:28 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

570 
FZAK51 PAFC 092322
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101215-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1000 MB LOW DEVELOPS 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA THIS EVENING
AND EXITS INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF AT 1012 MB SAT MORNING. A FRONT
ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT AND MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN GULF BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-101215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-101215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-101215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-101215-
PORT VALDEZ-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101215-
VALDEZ ARM-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-101215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-101215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-101215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-101215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-101215-
CHINIAK BAY-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-101215-
MARMOT BAY-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-101215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-101215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-101215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-101215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
322 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
1 follow-up statement
927 
FZAK51 PAFC 101128
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110000-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1014 MB LOW DEVELOPS 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA THIS MORNING
THEN DISSIPATES THIS AFTERNOON. A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF LATE TONIGHT AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY SUN
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-110000-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. WINDS BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT TOWARD THE COAST. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110000-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110000-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110000-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110000-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110000-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110000-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110000-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110000-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S 10 KT LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110000-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110000-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EARLY THIS MORNING DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110000-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110000-
MARMOT BAY-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110000-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 25 KT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110000-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110000-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110000-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 9, 4:33 AM AKDT, 10 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 4:33 AM AKDT, 10 hours 49 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
433 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A fairly weak upper level low centered over the Cook Inlet region
and a zonally-oriented jet streak moving around the southern
periphery of the low are providing the steering flow for the
larger-scale weather systems moving around southern Alaska this
morning. A shortwave trough rotating about the upper low is
supporting the surface low as it races northeastward towards the
northern Panhandle. The shortwave is kinking the jet streak,
helping intensify the upper-level divergence over the low. This
low is departing the western Gulf, but steady rainfall persists
from southern Prince William Sound into the Gulf. Some of the
heavier rainfall over the northern Gulf has a convective look to
it on radar with smaller cellular echoes embedded within the
broader precipitation shield.

Instability caused by the upper level low over Cook Inlet is
helping slowly moving showers over the western Kenai Peninsula to
persist this morning. These showers too are mostly cellular in
nature, though as a whole they have been weakening steadily over
the past few hours. The 00Z Anchorage sounding shows the lowest
levels of the atmosphere remain nearly saturated. The cooler,
drier air above the saturated layer supports the instability the
showers over the Kenai Peninsula are using to persist.

Over Southwest Alaska, there is a much quieter radar picture this
morning. Weak showers are training along a narrow convergence zone
from Dillingham southward along the coast to Egegik and Pilot
Point. Elsewhere the mid-level cloud cover is rotating
southwestward around the upper low over Cook Inlet.

The most interesting weather over the next few days will be over
the southern Bering and Aleutians. A vigorous low is intensifying
south of the western Aleutians this morning. ASCAT Scatterometer
passes indicate gale force winds south of Adak and Atka. Close to
the center of the low, convection is strong enough to cause some
lightning activity to be detected. Meanwhile, high pressure
persists across the central and northern Bering, with widespread
stratus in place from the Pribilofs westward.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models are all in excellent agreement on the synoptic pattern
through tomorrow night, with a building ridge over the eastern
Gulf and the Bering low tracking eastward along the Aleutians.
With the track of the low and its associated precipitation being
very well handled by all the models, forecast confidence is very
high.

The forecast challenge for Southcentral is primarily focused on
the winds. While the center of the low over the Gulf will continue
to track well east of the area, the associated winds resulting
from the strong gradient between the low and building high
pressure will impact much of Southcentral Alaska over the next
24-48 hours. Forecasting how strong the winds will be as they
funnel through the numerous bays, passes, and gaps will be
primarily determined by two factors. Initially, it will be where
exactly the low tracks, while tonight the primary driver will be
how strong a secondary leeside low, that develops along the
northern Gulf Coast tonight, gets once the broad flow turns
offshore. The high resolution models usually handle those details
the best, so they were the preferred this morning. However, even
among those, the differences are significant.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The moderate strength low over the northeastern Gulf this morning
will head inland across Southeast Alaska while the upper level low
near the southern tip of the Kenai Peninsula drops southward into
the Gulf. This will quickly bring an end to rain along the north
Gulf coast and Kenai Peninsula as deformation band breaks up with
shift in the flow. Tight surface pressure gradients from the
northeast Gulf low combined with strengthening northerly offshore
flow behind the upper center will lead to increasing winds area-
wide. This will lead to drying and warming, with subsidence under
increasingly sunny skies. The strongest winds will be along coastal
gaps including Seward, Whittier, and Valdez.

Winds will begin to diminish most places this evening as pressure
gradients weaken and high pressure builds in from the north and
west. It looks like at least a little wind will linger through
the night which will keep temperatures from dropping very much in
what would otherwise be a very chilly night with mostly clear
skies and a fairly cool air mass. Wind sheltered areas away from
the coast will likely completely decouple from the boundary layer
overnight, so a few isolated areas may see temperatures drop to
around freezing early tomorrow morning. Most notably, this
includes portions of East Anchorage, the Eagle River Valley, and
the Matanuska Valley. At this point do not think freezing temps
will be widespread enough to warrant a Freeze Warning, so will
opt to issue a Special Weather Statement.

Winds will hold on longest along the immediate coast, but will
die down completely by mid day Saturday. With high pressure
overhead it looks like a crystal clear day for most of the region.
The ridge will quickly slide eastward Saturday Night and Sunday,
opening the way for tropical moisture to stream northward toward
Mainland Alaska. Rain will reach Kodiak Island Saturday Night then
quickly spread northward to the rest of Southcentral on Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Ridging will build in over Bristol Bay and Southwest Alaska today
and tonight bringing drier weather through Saturday. The next
incoming frontal system will reach the Alaska Peninsula Saturday
and the Southwest Alaska coast late Saturday night. In addition to
bringing widespread, moderate to heavy rainfall, the frontal
system will bring increasing east to southeast winds...especially
through gaps and passes in the Aleutian Range.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The North Pacific low south of the west and central Aleutians
will continue to strengthen as it tracks east northeast through
this evening. The low will reach its maximum depth tonight then
gradually fill as it continues northeast to be located just south
of the eastern Aleutians early Sunday morning. The associated
frontal system will spread across the Aleutians and into the
southern Bering, bringing rainy and windy conditions with it.
Further to the north, weak ridging will persist over the central
Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Models are depicting a low pressure system tracking into the
Bristol Bay by Sunday afternoon with the associated weather front
tracking into the eastern Gulf of Alaska. This produces strong
pressure gradients with gusty southeasterly winds through the
Barren Islands as this frontal system moves northward. Therefore,
look for abundant moisture streaming into the Southcentral Alaska
region as the frontal boundary moves through the Prince William
Sound, and the Anchorage Bowl by Sunday afternoon. This synoptic
feature coincides with gusty Turnagain Arm, and gap winds before
tapering off into Monday. Meanwhile, the Bering Sea has high
pressure over the region, and a North Pacific Low south of the
Western Aleutians that tracks eastward along Aleutian Chain. This
system produces gale force easterly/northeasterly winds along the
Aleutian Chain, and the lower Bering before this systems elongates
into two low pressure systems by Sunday. Therefore, the central
Aleutians/Bering will transition to small craft advisory northerly
winds by Sunday accompanied by a showery weather regime pattern.
This synoptic feature transitions into a broad area of low
pressure over the eastern Bering before moving inland over the
Kuskokwim Delta region heading into Monday. By Monday evening the
next Bering low tracks into the West Aleutians, and moves along
the same pattern as previous system before being located near the
Eastern Aleutians by the midweek time-frame. This will keep the
temperatures in the upper 50s along the chain, and lower 60s in
the Southwest/Southeast Alaska coastal communities.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 177.
         Gales 130 131 132 155 17-176 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...PD

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 9, 2:59 PM AKDT, 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
259 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

AKZ101-111-112300-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
259 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...NEAR-FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING FOR
PORTIONS OF ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...

EARLY MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY MAY REACH THE FREEZING
MARK FOR ISOLATED AREAS OF THE ANCHORAGE TO MATANUSKA VALLEY
CORRIDOR. THE MOST LIKELY SPOTS TO OBSERVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ARE EAST ANCHORAGE, THE EAGLE RIVER VALLEY, THE BUTTE, AND MEADOW
LAKES. WINDS IN THESE SPECIFIC AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO DIE DOWN
OVERNIGHT ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY DROP UNDER CLEAR SKIES.
IF TEMPERATURES DO REACH FREEZING IT IS EXPECTED TO BE FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD, PERHAPS AN HOUR OR SO. FOR THE REST OF ANCHORAGE AND THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE
NIGHT, WHICH WILL MAINTAIN WARMER TEMPERATURES.

SATURDAY NIGHT WILL START OUT CLEAR. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
IN AFTER MIDNIGHT WHICH WILL LIMIT COOLING AND MAINTAIN ABOVE
FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

FARMERS AND GARDENERS SHOULD KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE TEMPERATURES
AND MAY WISH TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT SENSITIVE PLANTS. THIS MAY
INCLUDE BRINGING PLANTS INDOORS.

AKZ125-131-141-145-112300-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...
MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
259 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SIGNIFICANT RISES ON SMALLER STREAMS SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY IN THE MAT-SU VALLEYS AND ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST...

AFTER SUNNY WEATHER ON SATURDAY A STORM SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY MOVE
INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND CAUSING SMALLER
STREAMS AND RIVERS TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO FALL ALONG THE GULF COAST AND AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND, WITH LESSER BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TOTALS IN
INTERIOR AREAS.

FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED, BUT SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS MAY RISE TO
NEAR BANKFULL BY MONDAY WHEN THE RAIN STARTS TO TAPER OFF. THE
RESURRECTION RIVER NEAR SEWARD MAY REACH THE LEVEL AT WHICH IT
BEGINS TO IMPACT THE RUNWAY AT THE SEWARD AIRPORT.

PEOPLE WITH PROPERTY NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS OR THOSE RECREATING
OUTDOORS LATE THIS WEEKEND SHOULD PREPARE FOR HEAVY RAIN AND
ASSOCIATED SIGNIFICANT RISES IN THE RIVERS.

THE LATEST RIVER OBSERVATIONS AND FORECASTS ARE ALWAYS AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 9, 3:26 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 9, 3:26 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 9, 3:26 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Sep 9, 3:45 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 9, 3:15 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Sep 9, 3:15 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Sep 9, 3:22 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.