Small Craft Advisory 552, NWS Anchorage, AK

741 
FZAK52 PAFC 112316
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-121200-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON. A 1016 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-121200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-121200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-121200-
BRISTOL BAY-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-121200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-121200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-121200-
UNALASKA BAY-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-121200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-121200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ174-121200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-121200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-121200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-121200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ178-121200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-121200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-121200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-121200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-121200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW 15 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

334 
FZAK52 PAFC 121159
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130045-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH WED. A 1015
MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW DRIFTS TO 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY AT
1010 MB LATE WED NIGHT.


$$

PKZ150-130045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-130045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
E OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-130045-
BRISTOL BAY-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-130045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON E
OF COLD BAY. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-130045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-130045-
UNALASKA BAY-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-130045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-130045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ174-130045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-130045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-130045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-130045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ178-130045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. DENSE FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-130045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-130045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-130045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-130045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
359 AM AKDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW 15 KT
W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
422 PM AKDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a sharp north-south oriented upper level trough over
western Alaska. This trough is associated with a deep low over
the Arctic Ocean north of Siberia. There is a band of moisture and
precipitation ahead (east) of this trough. South central Alaska is
in a "col" between this trough and a low off the coast of the
Alaskan Panhandle. Some diurnally enhanced convection is within
this col. There is a large and somewhat flat ridge over the
Bering Sea. A weak upper low is "inside" this ridge over the
western Bering. There is also an upper low south of the central
Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in good agreement for the general
synoptic situation. There are some differences in the details,
especially in the handling of minor vort-maxes in the western
Alaska trough and in moisture/convection. The Nam seems to be a
little out of consensus by 00z Tuesday and was not preferred.
Forecast confidence is near to slightly above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

As the upper low dives south tonight, the eastern flank will
trigger a few evening thunderstorms...mainly over the susitna
valley and copper river basin. As the low continues its dive into
Tue, the upper flow will become more easterly. This will allow the
thermal ridge to push across the Copper River Basin and Susitna
Valley. As waves move through this moisture rich region,
afternoon and evening thunderstorms will develop Mon and Tue.
Although showers are expected south of this area, a few
thunderstorms are also possible for the Matanuska valley.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A few lingering showers are expected to continue across the
eastern half of the Kuskokwim Valley through Monday morning as
rainfall upslopes along the Alaska Range. Otherwise, clearing
skies and warmer temperatures are on tap for the beginning of the
week as high pressure builds across the region from the Bering
Sea. It appears, however, that this dry period will be somewhat
short-lived as the lingering upper level trough over portions of
Southwest and Southcentral Alaska forms into a closed low near
Bristol Bay Tuesday afternoon. This will bring rain chances back
to the Bristol Bay area but the Kuskokwim Delta and Valley should
still remain on the dry side. Following the departure of this
upper low on Wednesday, temperatures are expected to warm into the
mid to upper 70s for many locations with the return of thunderstorms
possible Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Once again it appears fog will be the primary challenge through
the forecast period as surface high pressure remains thoroughly
entrenched. A weak shortwave residing on the northern periphery of
the upper level ridge will push south into the central and
eastern Bering Sea Monday and Tuesday and bring a chance of rain
to the area. However, with forecast soundings and current
soundings all showing a significant subsidence inversion (see
PASY) near the surface, the weak wave isn't expected to fully mix
out the fog although it may briefly improve visibilities. The
western and central Aleutians will likely see widespread visibilities
drop to 1/4 mile again tonight with no change in the synoptic
pattern but the Pribilof Islands should stay at one mile or greater.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
High pressure will continue to build in over the Western Bering
into Thursday with ridging from the main high expanding out over
mainland Alaska. This will keep fair conditions over the southern
mainland through the remainder of the week with afternoon
temperatures reaching the mid to upper 70s. These high
temperatures combined with the ridge not being all that strong
will lead to afternoon showers, particularly over the mountains.
On Saturday, the models are coming into better agreement on a
trough swinging down from the north. However, there is still
disagreement on how strong in will be and thus how much rain it
will bring to the southern mainland.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DK