Small Craft Advisory 551, NWS Anchorage, AK

915 
FZAK52 PAFC 110846
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

UPDATED ZONE 176

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-112115-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1021 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTH OF ATKA MOVES TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ATKA AT 1018 MB...THEN MOVES BACK INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC MON
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE REST OF THE BERING THROUGH
TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-112115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-112115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ160-112115-
BRISTOL BAY-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-112115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-112115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ171-112115-
UNALASKA BAY-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-112115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-112115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ174-112115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-112115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-112115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-112115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ178-112115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-112115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-112115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-112115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-112115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1246 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

650 
FZAK52 PAFC 111158
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-120100-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1019 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA MOVES TO 310 NM SOUTHEAST
OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 1016 MB...THEN MOVES TO 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF
CHIGNIK AT 1010 MB TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE
REST OF THE BERING THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ150-120100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-120100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ160-120100-
BRISTOL BAY-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-120100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-120100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ171-120100-
UNALASKA BAY-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-120100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-120100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ174-120100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-120100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-120100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-120100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ178-120100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-120100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-120100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-120100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-120100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
358 AM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

741 
FZAK52 PAFC 112316
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-121200-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON. A 1016 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-121200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-121200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-121200-
BRISTOL BAY-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-121200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-121200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-121200-
UNALASKA BAY-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-121200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-121200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ174-121200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-121200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-121200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-121200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ178-121200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-121200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-121200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-121200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-121200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
316 PM AKDT MON JUL 11 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW 15 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
505 AM AKDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Very cool interaction between the upper level low now in the Gulf
and the trough dropping in from the Bering Strait region occurred
over the past 24 hours. Watching the satellite loop, it is clear
that the trough from the north clearly dictated (and continues to
dictate) the track of the low. The pv-anomaly associated with the
trough from the Arctic was strong enough to redirect the low that
was being carried by the sub-tropical jet.

The trough will slowly drift east today toward the AK Range. It is
bringing light rain and some low clouds and patchy fog to much of
the YK-Delta. Impressive subsidence behind it is evident from the
rapid clearing to the west of the trough on satellite.

Meanwhile over the rest of the southern half of AK, the convective
action from Saturday afternoon has completely died-off. It did
leave some mid level clouds in its wake. These clouds combined
with a weak offshore gradient courtesy of the low in the Gulf of
AK are working to keep fog from forming this morning.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have refined their solution in handling the remnant energy
from the Bering Strait trough as we head into early in the week.
They are all in much better agreement and thus, forecast
confidence is growing. It looks at this time as if that energy
gets deflected by the AK Range and then forms a new upper level
low as it pushes toward the Alaska Peninsula on Monday. This
leaves much of Southcentral open to weak easterly flow,
essentially from the Copper River Basin through the Kenai
Peninsula. Models are hinting at some rather unstable air in this
corridor. They are also suggesting the potential for an embedded
700 mb wave to move across the area Mon afternoon. This should
help set the stage for fairly widespread convection, so we have up
the thunderstorm coverage to scattered. As is often the case, the
NAM is the most bullish with the precipitation associated with
this scenario moving into the Cook Inlet region. Other models are
not quite as robust with the QPF, so a broad brush blend was used.

Behind this Tues-Wed, models all depict some weak ridging poking
into the mainland from the Bering. This will make for mostly clear
skies for many places with afternoon convection developing along
the mountains during peak heating.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

An upper level trough located over the western mainland will slide
southeast today and interact with the persistent thermal trough
situated over the interior. As a result, some afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorm activity is expected along the
Alaska Range. Ahead of this trough, skies will generally clear,
leading to some destabilization from heating. This is turn will
allow for some showers and possibly a few thunderstorms
developing, mainly along the Kenai and Talkeetna Mountains. Across
the Copper River Basin the thermal trough will help to trigger
showers and possibly a few thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening.

By Monday the trough will continue to slide southeast, increasing
coverage of afternoon showers across much of Southcentral.
Meanwhile, a series of weak easterly waves will move out of
Canada and into the Copper River Basin, continuing the showery
regime. Some instability provided from the thermal trough could
allow for additional afternoon and evening thunderstorms.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An upper level trough moving across the Southwest Mainland today
continues to make steady progress toward the Alaska Range by this
afternoon. The bulk of the upper level energy and support will
remain north of the Lower Kuskokwim Valley through this evening,
before digging southward over the Kuskokwim Delta and Lower
Kuskokwim Valley by Monday morning. There should be enough upper
level support with this wave to continue light rain showers
across the Kuskokwim Delta and Lower Kuskokwim Valley through this
evening. However, the trough will stall along the Alaska Range
later today which will allow for upslope showers to continue
along the Alaska Range but taper off from west to east elsewhere.

Fog will continue to be a concern for this morning over low lying
parts of the Southwest Mainland. However, with the upper level
trough tracking through the Southwest Mainland today, fog will
become less of an issue by later this morning and persisting
through Monday as a drier air mass shifts southward over the
area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Both a surface and upper level ridge will remain entrenched
through the region through the forecast period. However, a weak
shortwave pushing through the upper level ridge will bring some
rain showers to portions of the Bering Sea. However, it should
not be enough to break up the fog that has been observed the past
couple of nights.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
High pressure over the Bering and light northerly flow over the
southern mainland will keep most southern mainland locations in
fair conditions with afternoon temperatures getting into the mid
70s through mid week. There is less agreement on Friday when an
upper level trough pushes south through the mainland from the
north. The GFS has a much stronger trough and pulls down much more
cold air than the EC or GEM. The GFS solution would bring much
more rain to Southcentral Alaska than the others Friday night, but
is not the preferred solution. The ensembles are closer to the EC
and GEM and were preferred, keeping the trough weaker than the
robust GFS solution.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 130
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MSO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...LIW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...DK