Small Craft Advisory 520, NWS Anchorage, AK

264 
FZAK52 PAFC 271112
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-272345-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 MB LOW 230 NM WEST OF ATTU WILL STRENGTHEN TO 995 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 290 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU TUE MORNING AND WILL REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY THROUGH WED. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING THIS MORNING
AND STALL OVER THE CENTRAL BERING ON TUE.

$$

PKZ150-272345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ155-272345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS...EXCEPT N 15 KT FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS...EXCEPT NW WIND 15 KT E OF
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS...EXCEPT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-272345-
BRISTOL BAY-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 FOOT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-272345-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE 15
KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-272345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING S 10 KT LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-272345-
UNALASKA BAY-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 2
FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-272345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ173-272345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 KT. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ174-272345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-272345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SW 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-272345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-272345-
ADAK TO KISKA-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ178-272345-
KISKA TO ATTU-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ179-272345-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE. SEAS 3
FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-272345-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-272345-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-272345-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
312 AM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 20
KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

441 
FZAK52 PAFC 272226
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281100-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 MB LOW 325 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO
150 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU AT 999 MB THU AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL DRIFT EAST AND STALL OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND WEST OF THE PRIBILOFS WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING
THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-281100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-281100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-281100-
BRISTOL BAY-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FOOT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-281100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-281100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 FT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-281100-
UNALASKA BAY-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-281100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-281100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ174-281100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ175-281100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-281100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-281100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ178-281100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ179-281100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ180-281100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-281100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-281100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
226 PM AKDT MON JUN 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 20
KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
513 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The upper level trough encompassing much of the Alaska mainland
has remained in place through the overnight hours. Rain showers
and a few thunderstorms continued through the early morning hours
across the western half of the Kuskokwim Delta and the Bristol Bay
area. Thunderstorm activity has all but diminished this morning with
the loss of daytime instability that developed on Saturday but
lingering showers continue to move from north to south across
Southwest Alaska. The massive ridge that currently encompasses
the majority of the Bering Sea continues to slowly build eastward
which has kept area from Bethel west on the dry side. The last few
faint glimpses of visible satellite before the sun set showed a
large area (extending from Shemya all the way east to Cold Bay and
north to Saint Matthew Island) of marine stratus and fog trapped
under the high pressure. Very little change in this feature has
been noted throughout the day as sounding from PASY and PACB show
a well defined subsidence inversion.

Looking further west toward Shemya...the next system that will
impact Alaska has begun to take shape as a weak low has begun to
develop along the triple point of a frontal boundary south of the
Kamchatka Peninsula. This front has been make steady eastward
progress overnight and is currently just to the west of Shemya/Attu.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in very good agreement once again which is no
surprise because the overall synoptic pattern has not changed
much in the past 24 hours. The general trend of the east/southeast
displacement of the ridge over the Bering Sea looks to be well
progged but there are a few minor timing issues. This relates back
to a developing area of low pressure to the west of Shemya. Based
on the development of this low and the progression of the sfc
front, a change to speed up or slow down the displacement could
be seen in the coming days. The NAM has been doing a better job
than the GFS with convection although some of the parameters have
some convective feedback so a trend toward the NAM for thunderstorm
placement and probabilities was utilized across southwest Alaska.
For the overall forecast, a blend toward the America guidance
(NAM/GFS) was utilized once again with an above average confidence.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The low in the Gulf of Alaska continues to support a showery
weather pattern across the mainland. A well-developed easterly
wave is currently bringing steady showers to the western Copper
River Basin, Matanuska Valley and Anchorage Bowl. Showers are
expected to linger but slowly diminish throughout the day as the
upper level wave slowly weakens and slides to the southwest.
Currently instability is expected to be relatively low, and no
lightning strikes are anticipated across southcentral today.
While showers will generally diminish through the overnight hours,
a more well developed wave will push through the region on Monday
afternoon and generate another round of steady showers Monday
afternoon into Monday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

An upper disturbance moving over a moist airmass will bring
another round of showers and thunderstorms to the Kuskokwim
Valley and adjacent mountains today. On Sunday the arrival of a
front from the northern Bering will again bring showers and
thunderstorms to the same area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Northwest flow across the eastern half of the Bering and Aleutians
will continue today, with light rain and areas of fog, mainly
along the Bering coast. This will continue on Monday. The western
half of the area will come under the influence of a pair of fronts
from a north Pacific low. These will bring spread rain and some
fog to that portion of the forecast area, as the fronts reach the
central Bering and Aleutians Monday afternoon and then stall.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Monday afternoon brings a continuation of the current pattern and
conditions into the late week. Mostly cloudy conditions with a few
breaks of sun will prevail. The north gulf coast will see the
brunt of showers in this pattern, while scattered showers will
build on elevated terrain in the afternoon/evening hours around
the rest of Southcentral Alaska. Tuesday will bring nearly the
same conditions with a bit more coverage of rain showers along the
Gulf Coast, but coverage will increase almost everywhere on
Wednesday as the gulf low begins to move overhead. Thursday is
when the gulf system really starts to influence the area, making
widespread rain likely. Toward late week the initial system moves
to the west and weakens while another takes its place in the gulf.
Temperatures will generally be in the 60s inland with 50s along
the coast with light winds, except for diurnally forced gap winds.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ELN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...ML

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1048 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2016

AKZ121-272215-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
1048 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2016

...HIGH WATER ON THE KENAI RIVER...

WATER LEVELS ON THE KENAI RIVER ARE BANKFULL IN SOME LOCATIONS AND WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THIS COMING WEEK. NO WIDESPREAD
FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THE VERY HEAVY WINTER SNOWPACK IN THE KENAI MOUNTAINS CONTINUES TO
MELT AND SEND RUNOFF INTO THE HEADWATERS OF THE KENAI RIVER. THIS
SNOWMELT HAS BEEN ACCELERATED BY RECENT VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAINFALL OVER THE LAST FEW WEEKS. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL EXPECTED THIS WEEK WILL ADD TO THE WATER MOVING INTO AND
THROUGH THE RIVER. RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT
UPWARD THROUGH THIS WEEK.

THE RIVER GAGE AT COOPER LANDING AT 10 AM THIS MORNING SHOWED A
STAGE OF 12.63 FT. AT 12.5 FT THE FIRST LOCATION TO BE IMPACTED BY
WATER WILL BE PARTS OF THE ACCESS ROAD TO THE PRIMROSE CAMPGROUND
AT THE SOUTH END OF KENAI LAKE. IF THE STAGE REACHES 13.0 FT THIS
ROAD MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. RECENT REPORTS FROM THE KENAI KEYS
AREA INDICATE THE RIVER IS BANKFULL IN THIS AREA WITH PONDING OF
WATER IN ISOLATED LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. THERE ARE
NO FLOOD IMPACTS REPORTED AT THIS TIME ALONG THE KENAI RIVER. THE
NWS WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND WILL UPDATE THIS
STATEMENT AS NECESSARY.

THOSE WITH INTERESTS ON OR ALONG THE KENAI RIVER AND NEAR THE
PRIMROSE CAMPGROUND SHOULD MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY AND PREPARE
NOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF CONTINUED RISING WATER LEVELS.

THE LATEST FORECAST AND OBSERVATIONS ARE ALWAYS AVAILABLE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC