Small Craft Advisory 477, NWS Anchorage, AK

864 
FZAK52 PAFC 121154
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130045-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THROUGH MON. A
1002 MB LOW MOVES 370 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA MON MORNING WITH AN
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
THIS SYSTEM TRACKS 160 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 1004 MB TUE
AFTERNOON WITH THE WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE CENTRAL BERING
SEA.

$$

PKZ150-130045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-130045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-130045-
BRISTOL BAY-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-130045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 4
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-130045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-130045-
UNALASKA BAY-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-130045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-130045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-130045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-130045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-130045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-130045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-130045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-130045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-130045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-130045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-130045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
354 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

659 
FZAK52 PAFC 122252
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131145-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHERN TO EASTERN BERING 
SEA THROUGH MON THEN PERSIST THROUGH TUE. A 1000 MB LOW 375 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL TRACK TO 115 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA TUE
AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL CROSS THE ALEUTIANS MON AND
THEN INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA TUE.


$$

PKZ150-131145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-131145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-131145-
BRISTOL BAY-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-131145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-131145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ171-131145-
UNALASKA BAY-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-131145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-131145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-131145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-131145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-131145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-131145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-131145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ179-131145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-131145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-131145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-131145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
252 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
435 AM AKDT SAT JUN 11 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The broad upper level trough centered over the eastern Aleutians
has spread cloud cover and rain showers over much of the south
Mainland. With very little surface reflection to this upper level
disturbance, winds throughout the AOR are very light, with the
only the central Aleutians seeing Small Craft Advisory level winds (25
kt). This upper level low is slowly moving to the east, which will
cause for continued cloudiness and a resurgence in the showers
over much of the area by this afternoon. Behind this low we are
beginning to see signs of weak high pressure over the extreme
western Aleutians with diminishing clouds and winds. This area of
high pressure will continue sliding to the east behind the Bering
low today.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models remain in very good synoptic agreement through the
weekend, so the main forecast challenge remains placing
precipitation in the broad southerly flow. This has improved since
yesterday with regards to the timing of a shortwave moving through
the gulf this morning, so there is now higher confidence that rain
will develop over much of Southcentral and the gulf coast and
continue into this afternoon. The next forecast challenge comes
early next week as the Bering low moves into the northeast Pacific
and offshore flow sets up over the Mainland. The models all
develop a weak low over the northern gulf late monday, but the NAM
has consistently been the strongest and was treated as an outlier
for now. There is enough agreement over the western gulf-eastern
Bering however to allow the offshore flow to be increased. This
may need to be done as well over the northern gulf/Prince William
Sound as well if the models begin to trend towards the NAM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Low pressure dominates the southern mainland through Sunday night
bringing continued cloud cover and increased rain chances. A weak
front currently along the Kenai to the Prince William Sound is
the main focus for light rain activity to develop as weak upper
level waves move up from the advancing bering low. The frontal
boundary advances north to the alaska range overnight and
diminishes with a weak surface pattern in it's wake. The upper low
tracks east across the gulf on Sunday pinwheeling weak energy
across the southern mainland. This weak energy combined with a
fairly moist air mass in place, will bring additional showers
through the remainder of the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The Southwest Alaska region remains under a showery weather
regime as an upper level low moves along the Eastern Aleutians
through the weekend. Several shortwaves will rotate around and
swing through the AOR today. This synoptic feature combined with
enough clouds scouring out due to southeasterly winds aiding by
down sloping will enhance diurnal heating today. Therefore, look
for isolated thunderstorms along the ALeutian/Alaska ranges. As
the shortwave moves farther westward through the region, the
Kuskokwim Mountains can possibly see isolated thunderstorms today
in the late afternoon/evening hours. By Sunday an upper level low
tracks into the southwestern Gulf of Alaska, and a ridge of high
pressure builds into the AOR. The clouds will continue to scour
out, and combined with the cold dome of cooler temperatures mixing
with the warmer temperatures makes for an unstable atmosphere. So
the best chances for isolated thunderstorms will range from King
Salmon northward into the Alaska range for Sunday afternoon/evening
time-frame. Meanwhile, the temperatures remain consistent with
the aide of the marine layer stratus with continued light onshore
flow through Saturday before becoming northwesterly by Sunday as
the ridge builds into the region. The Southwest Alaska coastline
will have some patchy fog with the onshore flow through the
weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The central Bering Sea remains under the influence of a weak
surface low pressure. This feature become elongated before
dissipating by Saturday evening. This will produce a showery
weather regime with some patchy fog in the northern/eastern
Bering Sea through the weekend. Meanwhile, high pressure begins
to dominate the Bering by Sunday with westerly to northwesterly
flow. The western Aleutians have a North Pacific Low approaching
by Sunday afternoon. The wind flow becomes southeasterly along the
Western ALeutians by Sunday evening. This feature brings a swath
of clouds, and stronger winds to the chain.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
As dry northerly flow increases over Southwest Alaska on Monday
precipitation will taper off rapidly from west to east. By Monday
night and Tuesday, the increasing northerly flow will push into
Southcentral Alaska as well. In addition to the dry, breezy
conditions, temperatures will increase through midweek as the
sharp ridge shifts inland. Model uncertainty increases rapidly
through the end of the week with regards to how fast the ridge
breaks down and how much energy from the jet over the Aleutians
will push into mainland Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...JR