Small Craft Advisory 419, NWS Anchorage, AK

465 
FZAK51 PAFC 202107 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

UPDATED ZONE 125 128 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210330-
102 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF
COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A FRONT IN THE CENTRAL
GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATER THIS MORNING. A SECOND
FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON AND MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF LATE FRI NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD ACROSS THE GULF LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-210330-
CAPE SU210330 TO CAPE CLEARE-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210330-
CAPE CL210330O GORE POINT-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210330-
RESURRE210330BAY-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210330-
PRINCE 210330M SOUND-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210330-
PORT VA210330102 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210330-
VALDEZ 210330S-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210330-
VALDEZ 21033002 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

UPDATED

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210330-
PASSAGE210330-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

UPDATED

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210330-
WEST OF210330N ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210330-
BARREN 210330S EAST-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210330-
MARMOT 210330 TO SITKINAK-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210330-
CHINIAK210330102 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210330-
MARMOT 21033002 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210330-
SHELIKO210330IT-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.  
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210330-
COOK IN210330LGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.  
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210330-
COOK IN210330RTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210330-
KACHEMA210330
107 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

512 
FZAK51 PAFC 202347
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211230-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF MOVES INLAND TONIGHT AND
DISSIPATES. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF TONIGHT
AND SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF THROUGH
SAT NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND THIS FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF SAT NIGHT INTO SUN.

$$

PKZ119-211230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 12
FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARDS MORNING.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211230-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211230-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO W 25 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211230-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211230-
MARMOT BAY-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

826 
FZAK51 PAFC 211136
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220100-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF THROUGH TONIGHT. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS
THE WESTERN GULF LATE SUN MORNING AND MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF
BY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-220100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220100-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220100-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W WIND TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220100-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220100-
MARMOT BAY-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W WIND 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A stationary cold upper level low sits over the Northern Bering
bringing southerly flow and rain to Southwest Alaska. This flow
is aided by the jet coming over the southern part of the state
from the south. Out east a ridge over the Gulf weakens while
making way for a North Pacific low to move towards the AK Pen.
Another low is south of the Western Aleutians and is tracking
east.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement in the short term but are
struggling with the timing of a front moving over Southwest Alaska
Saturday night. The NAM is much faster with bringing the front in
than the other models which led to a preference for the slower
solution.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The main weather challenges for the next couple of days are gusty
winds and rain along two frontal passages. The first system
currently draped along the Kenai Peninsula and northern Gulf
pushes inland through the morning spreading light rain across
Southcentral. Gusty winds across channeled terrain will increase
later this morning as a surface ridge, with an axis along the
northeastern Gulf and Prince William Sound, is squeezed by an
approaching trough. A tighter pressure gradient is expected,
therefore, winds were increased during the morning package for
Turnagain Arm and higher elevations and through the Knik River
Valley. Rain will taper off from south to north through the
evening...however wind gusts continue through late tonight, after
the second front moves through.

The second front moves into the southwestern Gulf later this
afternoon. The timing of this front takes a similar fast track
through Southcentral into Saturday morning. There is a significant
difference with the second front as the upper low near the Alaska
Peninsula lifts north at the same time. The low shears apart as it
progresses east across the Gulf and southern mainland. There is
still some uncertainty in the timing for winds tapering off as
models differ slightly on the track of this system. Rain activity
is expected to diminish across the southwestern Gulf Saturday
afternoon with lingering activity across the northern Gulf and
southern mainland as the upper wave shifts slowly east Saturday
night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A cold core upper level low will continue to reside just off the
west coast of Alaska (near Saint Matthew Island) through Saturday
before it finally begins to move closer to shore. 850 mb temperatures
within this closed low range from -4 to -7 degrees Celsius and has
been the culprit for the cooler temperatures seen across Southwest
Alaska. This period of cooler temperatures, which is actually
near normal temperatures for this time of the year, looks to
persist through the weekend as the low remains anchored west of
the mainland. A shortwave and its associated surface low that are
currently in the process of developing south of the Alaska
Peninsula will rapidly intensify and shift northward this morning
and bring a significant amount of precipitation to much of the
southwest mainland. Looking at the current forecast grids,
rainfall amounts through Saturday ranging from three quarters of
an inch to nearly an inch and a half will be possible across the
Bristol Bay area and the Lower Kuskokwim Valley. The Kuskokwim
Delta should miss out on much of the rainfall with only a tenth to
half of an inch of rain expected through Saturday. Fog is likely
to develop during periods of lighter rainfall as the surface and
boundary layers both remain stable and saturated under this
stratiform air mass.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A stacked surface low will continue to reside over the northern
Bering Sea through the weekend with the low becoming more
expansive and weaker as the weekend progresses. This broad low
pressure should help inhibit fog development across much of the
Bering Sea as the low keeps the atmosphere well mixed but
scattered rain showers will likely be seen across the region. An
area of low pressure near Shemya will track east today and move
into the Bering Sea Saturday morning. The low will be weakening
during this transition so no strong wind patterns are expected
with this system. However, a nice core of heavy precipitation
will likely make its way across the Central Aleutians on Saturday
and Eastern Aleutians late Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning the extended period saturday evening, the trough which
will have brought active weather to southern Alaska will be
weakening and moving east, with another split upper trough over
the central Bering Sea. Weak offshore flow over Southcentral
Alaska will allow for a gradual drying overnight while more rain
moves into Southwest Alaska. Eventually the flow pattern will
become more westerly and progressive with a series of fast moving
shortwave troughs moving across Alaska. This will keep
temperatures moderate with intermittent periods of clouds/rain
mixed with nice weather in between each individual system through
most of next week. No major warm-ups, cool-downs, or significant
wet or dry periods are expected.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales...130 131.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...dk
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...kh
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...mc
LONG TERM...ja