Small Craft Advisory 40, NWS Anchorage, AK

007 
FZAK52 PAFC 121227
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130115-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 969 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK MOVES TO 180 NM SOUTH OF
ADAK WED MORNING AND THEN IS ABSORBED BY AN ADVANCING NORTH
PACIFIC LOW. A 990 MB LOW 540 NM SOUTH OF ATKA STRENGTHENS TO 970
MB AS IT MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WED AFTERNOON AND THEN
REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY THU MORNING. A 984 MB LOW
NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND MOVES INTO THE BERING STRAIT LATE WED AND
DISSIPATES.

$$

PKZ150-130115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-130115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-130115-
BRISTOL BAY-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-130115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ170-130115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-130115-
UNALASKA BAY-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-130115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ173-130115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-130115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-130115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-130115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-130115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-130115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-130115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-130115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-130115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-130115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
327 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
449 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PICTURE REMAINS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW
DAYS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE/NW CANADA AND
A BROAD ELONGATED TROUGH ENCOMPASSING THE BERING SEA. A WEAKENING
BARRIER JET PERSISTS OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST...BRINGING GALE
FORCE WINDS INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND RAIN THROUGHOUT THE GULF
COAST BECOMING WET SNOW OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ON THE LEE SIDE OF
THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS DOWNSLOPING IS MOSTLY PREVENTING ANY
PRECIPITATION FROM REACHING THE GROUND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW
PASSING SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES. THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
BARRIER JET FRONT IS DETACHING FROM THE FRONT AS IT CROSSES THE
AKPEN INTO BRISTOL BAY...AND IS BRINING RAIN/SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS
TO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. OVER THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BERING A
WEAKENING GALE FORCE LOW CENTERED WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND IS
MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE SIBERIAN COAST IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE COMPLEX UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE BERING
TODAY...AND STRUGGLE TO REACH INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT TODAY WITH THE MAJOR
SYNOPTIC FEATURES IN THE EARLY TERM...THEN BEGIN TO HAVE PROBLEMS
WITH A FEW IMPORTANT DETAILS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FIRST AND
MOST SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM LIES WITH A DEFORMATION BAND THAT WILL
SETUP OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF ON TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY WITH
REGARDS TO PRECIP TYPE. THE MODELS ALL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF
PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHCENTRAL BY TUESDAY EVENING...BUT THE
NAM...SHOWING A USUAL COLD BIAS IS THE ONLY MODEL THAT IS KEEPING
THE COLUMN COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW THROUGHOUT THE EVENT...AND IS ALSO
THE HEAVIEST WITH QPF. THE GFS AND EC ON THE OTHER HAND HAVE MUCH
LESS QPF...AND KEEP TEMPERATURES WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN OR A
RAIN/SNOW MIX. WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT COOLING EXPECTED BETWEEN NOW
AND THEN...THIS WARMER SOLUTION WAS PREFERRED FOR THE MORNING
PACKAGE...HOWEVER FURTHER MODEL RUNS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR
BOTH TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND PRECIPITATION INTENSITY...AS THESE
WILL BOTH PLAY A CRITICAL ROLE IN THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...WEAKENING TODAY AND THEN STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY TUESDAY
NIGHT. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVER THE COASTAL AREAS
AS IT IS "SQUEEZED OUT" BY THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. THE FRONT OVER
THE NORTH GULF COAST THIS MORNING WILL MOVE INLAND TODAY...EASING
THE STRONG WINDS THAT HAVE BEEN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND
TURNAGAIN ARM. THERE WILL BE BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
GETTING TO INLAND AREAS BEGINNING TONIGHT AS A LOW MOVES WESTWARD
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. THIS WILL THEN CONSOLIDATE INTO A MORE
COHESIVE SYSTEM AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BEGINS TO PUSH IT BACK TO THE EAST BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN ANCHORAGE IN THE SHORT
TERM IS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE INITIAL MOISTURE MOVES WEST
ACROSS THE AREA. UNFORTUNATELY THE AIR MASS WILL STILL BE FAIRLY
WARM...AND THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL LIKELY BE MIXED RAIN AND
SNOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SURFACE LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY MOVES A FRONT NORTH THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANY THE FRONT ALONG WITH SNOW AND
RAIN. RAIN WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND NEAR THE WESTERN
CAPES TO THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. THE HIGHEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG A DEFORMATION ZONE ALONG THE WEST COAST AND ALONG
EAST FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES. COLD AIR ADVECTION FOLLOWS THIS SYSTEM
TONIGHT ALONG WITH DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZING IN THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES A FRONT INTO
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TODAY BRINGING GALE WINDS AND
SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN TONIGHT. THE EASTERN BERING WILL ALSO SEE A
MIX OF PRECIPITATION TODAY WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG A LOW THAT
TRACKS NORTHWEST FROM BRISTOL BAY. THE LOW ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN
BERING WILL MOVE FURTHER WEST THIS AFTERNOON WITH RIDGING TAKING
SHORT RESIDENCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS. THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW
WILL BE THE STORM TO WATCH THROUGH MID WEEK. THE CURRENT TRACK ON
THIS STORM PLACES IT SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY NIGHT.
AT THE SAME TIME...ANOTHER LOW ADVANCES JUST TO THE EAST OF THIS
SYSTEM WHICH BRINGS GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS WILL POSSIBLY
MERGE AND PUSH A STRONG FRONT INTO THE NORTHERN BERING ON THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE UPPER LEVELS HAVE THE FLOW SHIFTING TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION
UP THROUGH THE COOK INLET INTO THE ANCHORAGE BOWL BY TUESDAY
EVENING. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE COUPLED WITH AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE
MOVING INTO THE KODIAK REGION WILL PRODUCE SNOW IN THE EASTERN
KENAI...THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND WILL SPREAD INTO THE MAT-SU
VALLEYS HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY. THE OTHER KEY SYNOPTIC FEATURE IS
A SOUTHERLY 60 KNOT JET STREAK WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AOR
AND THE ENTRANCE REGION WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED REGIONS. BY WEDNESDAY EVENING A RIDGE WILL
BUILD INTO THE GULF EXTENDING INTO THE COOK INLET AND THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRIER CONDITIONS AND WARM
AIR ADVECTION INTO THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION AND WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
COINCIDE WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AS IT BECOMES AMPLIFIED AS IT
CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE INTERIOR OF
ALASKA.

ON THE BERING SIDE...A WEAK LOW LOCATED JUST NORTH OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO FILL AND DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY. WHILE
A COMPLEX BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND WILL
BE LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN/CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL PRODUCE A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH
NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE MIDWEEK TIME-FRAME
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE
BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THIS IS RESULTING IN THE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEING BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THIS UPCOMING
WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES...119 125 130 139 175 176 177 178 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...PD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1203 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

AKZ121-120900-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
1203 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...WATER LEVELS REMAIN HIGH ON THE ANCHOR RIVER...

ICE JAMS ALONG THE ANCHOR RIVER BELOW THE OLD STERLING HIGHWAY
BRIDGE REMAIN IN PLACE. PERIODS OF RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND HAVE KEPT
WATER LEVELS HIGH BUT THE OVERALL TREND IS FOR SLOWLY RECEDING
WATER LEVELS.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IF NECESSARY.