Small Craft Advisory 374, NWS Anchorage, AK

253 
FZAK51 PAFC 012255
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021200-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 999 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTH
OF SEWARD AND WEAKENS TO 1008 MB TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-021200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021200-
PORT VALDEZ-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021200-
VALDEZ ARM-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021200-
CHINIAK BAY-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021200-
MARMOT BAY-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
255 PM AKDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

922 
FZAK51 PAFC 021154
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030045-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1001 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 100 NM
NORTHEAST OF KODIAK AT 1008 MB AND DISSIPATES TUE NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND THE NORTH GULF COAST BY
WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-030045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 25 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE
DEVELOPING BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030045-
PORT VALDEZ-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030045-
VALDEZ ARM-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S 15 KT TOWARD
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING BECOMING S 15 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT W 15 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT W WIND 15 KT S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030045-
CHINIAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030045-
MARMOT BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

752 
FZAK51 PAFC 022252
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031215-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1004 MB LOW 75 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 50NM SOUTH OF
SEWARD AT 1010 MB TUE AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATES. A STRENGTHENING
FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON...THEN APPROACHES
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-031215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-031215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-031215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-031215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-031215-
PORT VALDEZ-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-031215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-031215-
VALDEZ ARM-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-031215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-031215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-031215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-031215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-031215-
CHINIAK BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-031215-
MARMOT BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-031215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-031215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-031215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-031215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

315 
FZAK51 PAFC 031202
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040130-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAKENING 1007 MB LOW COMPLEX AROUND KODIAK ISLAND DISSIPATES
WED MORNING. A STRENGTHENING FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
ALASKA FOR MIDDAY TUE AND CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST WED BEFORE DISSIPATING. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHWEST GULF WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-040130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SE 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG
THE COAST. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-040130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-040130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-040130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-040130-
PORT VALDEZ-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-040130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-040130-
VALDEZ ARM-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-040130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-040130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-040130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-040130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING SW 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS
CAPE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-040130-
CHINIAK BAY-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-040130-
MARMOT BAY-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-040130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E WIND 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-040130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-040130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-040130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
402 AM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

665 
FZAK51 PAFC 032257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041200-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF 
BY MIDDAY WED...THEN DISSIPATES. ANOTHER MUCH STRONGER FRONT
APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE WED NIGHT...AND MOVES THROUGH
THE CENTRAL GULF BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-041200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT
BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 35 KT 
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-041200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-041200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-041200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-041200-
PORT VALDEZ-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-041200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-041200-
VALDEZ ARM-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-041200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-041200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
10 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-041200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-041200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-041200-
CHINIAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT DURING THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT BY
MIDNIGHT THEN SUBSIDING TO 2 FT BY MORNING. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-041200-
MARMOT BAY-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT...THEN
BECOMING SE 10 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-041200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY NOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-041200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT EARLY...BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-041200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-041200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
357 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SWIRLING ABOUT THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OFF
OF KODIAK ISLAND REMAINS THE DOMINANT STEERING FEATURE FOR ALL OF
SOUTHERN ALASKA OUT TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON. NORTH
AND EAST OF THE LOW...BROAD SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS PUMPING
MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. AT WHICH
POINT THE MOISTURE IS VERY EFFECTIVELY WRUNG OUT BY THE CHUGACH
AND KENAI MOUNTAINS...LEAVING LITTLE MORE THAN BROAD CLOUDINESS
FOR INLAND LOCALES OF SOUTHCENTRAL. THE PRIMARY WEATHER STORIES
ALONG COOK INLET AND THE VALLEYS REMAIN THE PERIODIC GUSTY
WINDS...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES...AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS. MORE
ON THE FORECAST IMPLICATIONS OF THESE WEATHER FACTORS BELOW. WITH
LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE DAY IN
ANCHORAGE...THE PALTRY 0.02 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MONTH
WILL MAKE THIS THE 3RD DRIEST APRIL ON RECORD. MORE ON THE CLIMATE
STATS FOR ANCHORAGE TOMORROW.

OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS THE
INGREDIENT MOST LIKELY TO RESULT IN NOTABLE WEATHER THIS EVENING.
THE MOST CLOUD COVER REMAINS NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE...THOUGH EVEN
THIS AREA IS SEEING BREAKS. OTHERWISE ITS A NICE SUNNY DAY OUT
TOWARDS THE COAST...A FACTOR THAT COULD HELP WITH THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ONCE AGAIN TODAY. YESTERDAY...STORMS DEVELOPED ALONG A
SEA BREEZE FRONT ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
AS THE FRONT HELPED PUSH AN AIR MASS THAT HAD SOME MOISTURE WITH
IT UPWARD...WHERE THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THAT REMAINS ON THIS
MORNINGS BETHEL SOUNDING TOOK OVER.

OVER THE BERING...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN THE UPPER LOW NEAR
KODIAK AND THE NEXT LOW PUSHING OFF THE EAST COAST OF ASIA IS IN
PLACE. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS INDICATIVE OF MUCH WARMER AIR
ALOFT. THIS CAN BE SEEN COMPARING THIS MORNINGS SHEMYA SOUNDING TO
BETHELS. THUS...IN THIS AREA...INSTABILITY IS ABSENT. A LACK OF
INSTABILITY MEANS A LACK OF VERTICAL MIXING. WITH ABUNDANT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE BERING ITSELF...THE WARM AIR ALOFT HAS
TRAPPED THAT MOISTURE BENEATH THE CAP OF WARM AIR...CAUSING
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL STRATUS FROM NUNIVAK ISLAND ACROSS MOST OF THE
BERING AND ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
WITH SUCH A STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN...THE MODELS ALL HAVE BEEN
IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT TRACKING THE LARGER WEATHER FEATURES ACROSS
SOUTHERN ALASKA...AND SUCH REMAINS THE CASE THIS AFTERNOON.
THUS...THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES REMAIN TRACKING THE SMALLER
SCALE FEATURES THAT HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO THE WEATHER.
THESE FEATURES INCLUDE FORECASTING WHERE ANY AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE...IF THE STRATUS PREVALENT
OVER THE BERING WILL DISSIPATE OR THICKEN AND LOWER INTO FOG...AND
TIMING ANY LOCAL WIND SHIFTS IN THE COOK INLET REGION CAUSED BY
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OR THE PASSAGE OF MESOSCALE FRONTS. THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS SUCH AS THE ARW...NAM...AND GEM WERE USED
TO HELP WITH THESE FORECAST CHALLENGES. CONFIDENCE REMAINS VERY
HIGH ON THE BROADER SCALE WEATHER PATTERN...AND AVERAGE FOR THE
SMALLER FEATURES WE ARE TRACKING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG LOW NOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA HAS A FRONT EXTENDING ALONG
THE COAST FROM KODIAK ISLAND TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SOUTHEAST.
THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE GUSTY POST FRONTAL WIND. AFTER THE FRONT
PUSHES INLAND AND WEAKENS TO A TROUGH A RIDGE FORMS IN BEHIND THIS
WHILE ANOTHER TROUGH THEN PUSHES TOWARD THE COAST LATE THIS
EVENING AND SUNDAY MORNING. WHILE WIND IS THE MAIN ISSUE...MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTAL UP SLOPE SIDE OF
THE MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS INTO PORTAGE VALLEY. THE RAIN WILL
DIMINISH IN INTENSITY POST FRONTALLY THOUGH IT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY IN THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN.

INLAND THE TYPICAL CROSS BARRIER FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE RAIN
SHADOWING ON THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS. POST FRONTAL REDUCTION OF
WIND SHOULD ALLOW FOR INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR RAIN ON THE LEE SIDE
OF THE MOUNTAINS LATE THIS EVENING. THE INCREASE IN WIND AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS TONIGHT WILL INCREASE THE RAIN SHADOW AFFECT TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND NORTHERN COPPER
RIVER BASIN ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE EXPECT RAIN TO INCREASE
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY IN THE UP SLOPE
FLOW REGIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MINIMAL CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE GENERAL PATTERN OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS
WITH PERIODIC SHORTWAVES ROTATING IN FROM THE EAST...ENHANCING AND
MAKING SHOWERS MORE NUMEROUS. ADDITIONALLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AT TIMES. WITH THE THERMAL TROUGH STRETCHED
ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...STEERING FLOW FROM THE NORTHEAST AND
CLEARER SKIES OVER BOTH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND TO THE NORTHEAST
BRINING GOOD SOLAR HEATING...CONDITIONS LOOK FAVORABLE FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT LOCATION THIS EVENING.

ON SUNDAY THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE FURTHER INLAND WITH THE
INSTABILITY SPREAD OVER LARGER AREA AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER A BROADER PORTION OF INLAND SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. HOWEVER THE INSTABILITY SUNDAY DOES LOOKS MARGINAL ENOUGH
THAT A GOOD BIT OF SUNSHINE WILL BE A NECESSARY INGREDIENT TO
TRIGGER ANY THUNDERSTORMS AND CLOUD COVER LIMIT COULD WHERE THEY
DO FORM. ON MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING A MORE FOCUSED TROUGH WILL
BRING A STRONGER SWATH OF INSTABILITY TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND
NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY AREA AND A BETTER CHANCE FOR ISOLATED OR
POSSIBLY WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BROAD VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY EAST NORTHEAST SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. THE NEXT INCOMING FRONTAL SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH THE PARENT LOW SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE NORTH AND EAST INTO THE
SOUTHERN BERING AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE LOW
WILL SKIRT JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT THEN
CONTINUE EAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...TUE THROUGH SAT)...
THE LONG RANGE PATTERN WILL PRESENT SOME INTERESTING CHALLENGES
AND A POSSIBLE CHANGE IN THE LONG-WAVE REGIME. THIS TIME FRAME
STARTS WITH ONE LOW FILLING AND MOVING INLAND OVER THE GULF OF AK.
MEANWHILE...OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW
IS ALREADY TAKING A VERY FAMILIAR TRACK TOWARDS THE GULF. AS THE
FIRST LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES INLAND...THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE
GRADIENT TO RELAX. THIS WILL FINALLY BRING AN END TO THE GUSTY
SOUTHEAST WINDS THAT HAVE BEEN BLOWING THROUGH FAVORED LOCATIONS
SUCH AS THE TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE KNIK RIVER VALLEY. RATHER MOIST
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE FOR SOME STEADY RAIN ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS. BUT PRECIPITATION INLAND SHOULD BE
LIMITED TO SHOWERS...MAINLY DRIVEN BY WEAK AFTERNOON INSTABILITY
WITH A COLD POCKET OF RELATIVELY COLD AIR AT 500MB.

BY LATE WED...THE LOW FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MAKE ITS WAY
TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA. IT WILL PUSH A WARM OCCLUSION IN FRONT OF
IT. THIS WILL BRING RAIN BACK INTO KODIAK WITH CLOUDS STARTING TO
OVERSPREAD SOUTH CENTRAL. BUT IT IS AT THIS POINT WHEN MODELS
DIVERGE DRAMATICALLY. THE BIGGEST QUESTION IS WHERE THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW SETS UP RESIDENCE. SOME OF THIS DEPENDS ON HOW EFFECTIVE
ENERGY TRACKING THROUGH THE GULF IS AT PUSHING THE NORTH AMERICAN
RIDGE OFF TO THE EAST. THE EC HOLDS THE LOW CENTER THE FURTHEST
NORTH AND WEST...WHILE THE GFS ALLOWS IT TO MIGRATE ALL THE WAY
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. EARLIER RUNS WERE SHOWING SOME PHASING
OCCURRING WITH THIS LOW AND SOME ENERGY TRACKING ALONG THE JET IN
THE NORTH PACIFIC. THEY WERE SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR A TRIPLE-
POINT LOW TO FORM AND TRACK QUICKLY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL. SOLUTIONS
HAVE BACKED OFF THIS IDEA AND NOW MORE SETTLED ON JUST ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL LOW SITTING OVER THE CENTRAL GULF BY NEXT SAT.

BY LATE NEXT WEEKEND INTO THE WEEK OF 9-13 MAY...THERE SEEMS TO BE
FAIR TO GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT IN SOME FORM OF RIDGE BUILDING OVER
THE EASTERN INTERIOR PORTION OF AK. MODELS HAVE VARIOUS SOLUTIONS
OF HOW THE RIDGE GETS THERE (SOME FROM THE NORTH PAC...SOME FROM
NW CONUS) BUT THEY ALL SHOW SIGNS OF IT. CLIMATOLOGICALLY THIS
MAKES SENSE AS WELL AS WE USUALLY SEE A WARMER STRETCH TOWARD THE
MIDDLE TO END OF MAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...MO