Small Craft Advisory 362, NWS Anchorage, AK

700 
FZAK51 PAFC 271154
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280115-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF THU MORNING...THEN DISSIPATES AS IT PUSHES INLAND
EARLY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-280115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280115-
PORT VALDEZ-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280115-
VALDEZ ARM-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280115-
CHINIAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING
TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280115-
MARMOT BAY-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING
TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING
TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

719 
FZAK51 PAFC 272311
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281145-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF REACHES THE NORTH GULF COAST
THU...THEN MOVES INLAND BY LATE FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-281145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-281145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-281145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-281145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-281145-
PORT VALDEZ-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-281145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 15 KT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-281145-
VALDEZ ARM-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-281145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-281145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-281145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-281145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-281145-
CHINIAK BAY-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-281145-
MARMOT BAY-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-281145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-281145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-281145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-281145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
311 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
537 AM AKDT TUE APR 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. A FAIRLY STRONG FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAS
STALLED IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THERE IS ALSO A SURFACE
LOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW CENTER THAT IS MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST. THERE IS ANOTHER UPPER LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS. ANOTHER SURFACE LOW IS JUST TO THE EAST OF THIS UPPER
LOW CENTER AND IS BEGINNING TO MOVE NORTHEAST. THE JET IS
PRIMARILY SITUATED WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION EXCEPT FOR A NARROW
CORE THAT EXTENDS UP THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA WHICH IS
REINFORCING WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF...COOK INLET...AND
TURNAGAIN ARM. THERE IS A LARGE UPPER RIDGE DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL
ALASKA AND THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN BERING SEA. THIS RIDGE IS AN
EXTENSION OF THE PERSISTENT WESTERN NORTH AMERICA RIDGE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN RATHER GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT LENDING TO
MODERATE TO HIGH OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE. THE FEW AREAS WHERE
THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ARE THE STRENGTH OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW
EARLY THU AND EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONTS MOVING INLAND. MANY OF
THE MODELS ARE NOW HINTING AT A LOW FORMING ALONG THE FRONT
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND THU MORNING. OVERNIGHT...MODELS HAVE
TRENDED TOWARD A CLOSED AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER LOW. THE GFS IS NOW
THE OUTLIER CONTINUING TO SHOW IT AS AN OPEN WAVE. BUT EVEN THE
GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS SHOWING A CLOSED LOW. THE FORECAST WAS
TRENDED IN THAT DIRECTION. AS FOR TIMING EACH SUCCESSIVE FRONT AS
THEY MOVE INTO THE GULF COAST...HI-RESOLUTION MODELS WERE USED.
TIMING OF LOCAL EFFECTS WINDS...TO INCLUDE THE TURNAGAIN
WIND...AND MOW MUCH IF ANY PRECIPITATION CAN OVERCOME THE
DOWNSLOPE FLOW REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...12Z ANCHORAGE TAF...THE GUSTY SOUTHEAST TURNAGAIN
WINDS SHOULD MAKE AN APPEARANCE ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE
TIMING OF THE WINDS COULD VARY BY AN HOUR OR TWO DEPENDING ON HOW
MUCH CLEARING/HEATING THERE IS IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY. CROSS-
BARRIER FLOW OVER THE CHUGACH SHOULD KEEP SHOWERS CONFINED TO THE
MOUNTAINS. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS EVENING...THIS WILL
GIVE US THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY SHOWERS AT THE TERMINAL AND WILL
ALSO SERVE TO KEEP THE SOUTHEAST WINDS BLOWING THROUGH MOST OF THE
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A FRONT STALLED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF WILL KEEP GUSTY WINDS
ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE
TAPERING DOWN AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH. RAIN WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM THE EASTERN KENAI TO NORTHEAST
GULF. THE FRONT WEAKENS AS IT PUSHES INLAND THIS EVENING...HOWEVER
A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS AS THE BOUNDARY
MOVES NORTH. GUSTY WINDS INCREASE LATE TODAY ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL AND MATANUSKA VALLEY AS THE FRONT MOVES NORTH...THEN DIMINISH
BY MIDNIGHT AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE GULF TONIGHT KEEPING
SCATTERED RAIN ACTIVITY ALONG THE COASTS AND OFFSHORE WITH THE
NEXT FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
SYSTEM THEN PROGRESSES TO THE NORTHERN COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A PERSISTENT PATTERN OF EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY AS THE CURRENT NORTH PACIFIC LOW WEAKENING AND SPLITTING
OVER THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN IS REPLACED BY ANOTHER. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FIRST LOW RETROGRADING IN FROM THE GULF OF
ALASKA TODAY WILL HELP SPARK INSTABILITY DRIVEN RAIN SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
THEREAFTER...NUMEROUS WEAK AND ILL-DEFINED DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP
PERIODIC SHOWERS AND RAIN CHANCES OVER SOUTHWEST WITH LITTLE TO NO
CHANGE IN THE SENSIBLE WEATHER.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING REVEALS ANOTHER PACIFIC LOW MOVING
TOWARD THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN...WITH THE LEFTOVER AND WEAKENING
REMNANTS OF THE PREVIOUS NPAC GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. THIS AFOREMENTIONED LOW WILL REPLACE THE WEAKENING
LOW WITH RAIN AND SHOWERS THROUGH THURSDAY AS THIS LOW SLOWLY
WEAKENS AND DRIFTS EASTWARD...KEEPING BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE
BERING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
NO BIG CHANGES IN THE WEATHER FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD. WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND THURSDAY FEATURE AN EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT WEATHER
PATTERN. MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS A FRONT PUSHES
UP AGAINST THE NORTH GULF COAST AND SPREADS MOISTURE INLAND. THE
GULF COAST WILL SEE THE BRUNT OF THESE SYSTEMS WITH STEADIER RAIN
ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A MORE SHOWERY REGIME THURSDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND. INLAND AREAS AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL WILL ESCAPE THE
STEADY RAIN BUT SOME SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES COULD MAKE IT OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AT TIMES. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SUPPRESSED,
BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE APRIL. THE CAVEAT TO THIS IS THAT
ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS, WHICH THERE WILL BE AT TIMES, WILL
QUICKLY BUMP UP THE TEMPERATURES.

THE PATTERN UNSURPRISINGLY LOOKS MUCH THE SAME AS IT HAS ALL
WINTER/SPRING. A CLOSED LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SENDING
WEAKENING FRONTS/DISTURBANCES TOWARD THE MAINLAND. THE LONGWAVE
PATTERN SHIFTS OVER THE WEEKEND AS A PARTICULARLY POTENT
DISTURBANCE RIDES THE JET INTO THE GULF. RAPID CYCLOGENESIS WILL
ENSUE AND ACT TO SHIFT THE WHOLE LONGWAVE TOWARD THE EAST INTO THE
GULF. AT THIS TIME MODELS SUGGEST THIS WILL BE IN THE EASTERN GULF
BUT CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY HIGH THAT IT WILL BE A GULF SYSTEM. IT
LOOKS TO BE FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH/EAST TO GIVE THE MAINLAND SOME
DECENT SPRING DAYS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 131.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO/LIW
AVIATION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...MTL