Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 346, NWS Anchorage, AK

April 21, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Apr 21, 2016, 3:45 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 21, 2016, 3:45 PM AKDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired
Apr 23, 2016, 3:59 AM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

118 
FZAK51 PAFC 212345
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221230-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT THROUGH FRI. A 987
MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW ENTERS THE FAR SOUTHERN GULF 310 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SITKINAK LATE FRI NIGHT AND DRIFTS TO 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK SAT AFTERNOON AT 992 MB.

$$

PKZ119-221230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221230-
PORT VALDEZ-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221230-
VALDEZ ARM-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221230-
CHINIAK BAY-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221230-
MARMOT BAY-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
345 PM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
4 follow-up statements
637 
FZAK51 PAFC 221157
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230045-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TODAY. A 987 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW ENTERS THE FAR SOUTHERN GULF 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT AND DRIFTS TO 240 NM EAST OF SITKINAK BY SUN
MORNING AT 995 MB.

$$

PKZ119-230045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING SE 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230045-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W WIND 10 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230045-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH BECOMING E 20 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EARLY BECOMING NE 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EARLY BECOMING E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230045-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230045-
MARMOT BAY-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
964 
FZAK51 PAFC 221509 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

UPDATED ZONES 119 120 125 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230315-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TODAY. A 987 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW ENTERS THE FAR SOUTHERN GULF 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT AND DRIFTS TO 240 NM EAST OF SITKINAK BY SUN
MORNING AT 995 MB.

$$

PKZ119-230315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. ALONG THE COAST...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230315-
PORT VALDEZ-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W WIND 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230315-
VALDEZ ARM-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH BECOMING E 20 KT BY LATE 
MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EARLY BECOMING NE 25 KT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EARLY BECOMING E WIND 25 KT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230315-
CHINIAK BAY-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230315-
MARMOT BAY-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
709 AM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
002 
FZAK51 PAFC 222340
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231245-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL TRACK TO 
235 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK SAT AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN 
OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF ON SUN.

$$

PKZ119-231245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231245-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231245-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231245-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231245-
MARMOT BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
339 
FZAK51 PAFC 231159
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240030-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 265 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL DRIFT TO 255 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK SUN MORNING...THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE
COAST BY MON MORNING.


$$

PKZ119-240030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...N WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING SOUTH 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240030-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240030-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...W WIND TO 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W WINDS
GUSTING TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO
1 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 20 KT
NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 8
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240030-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240030-
MARMOT BAY-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-240030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 AM AKDT SAT APR 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Apr 21, 5:41 AM AKDT, 10 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 21, 5:41 AM AKDT, 10 hours 4 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
541 AM AKDT THU APR 21 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE NORTH AMERICAN RIDGE IS ASSERTING ITSELF INTO SOUTHERN AK THIS
MORNING. MUCH OF THE MOISTURE THAT WAS PUSHING INTO THE STATE FROM
THE GULF ON WED HAS DRIED OUT AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN. THIS HAS LED
TO CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD ALLOW FOR BOUNTIFUL
SUNSHINE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. EVEN KODIAK...WHO IS STILL UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF SOME ONSHORE FLOW AND LOW CLOUDS...SHOULD DRY OUT
LATER TODAY. OUT WEST...THE JET CONTINUES TO CLIP ALONG BETWEEN 70
AND 150 KTS FROM 40N TO 50N WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THIS
IS HELPING KEEP THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE
BERING. THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES TO BE ON THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THIS TROUGH. WARM AND MOIST FLOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC IS
RIDING THE SOUTH TO NORTH THERMAL GRADIENT. THIS IS HELPING WEAK
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE TO FORM NEAR COLD BAY AND MOVE QUICKLY TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
IN THE EAST...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE FIRST 36 HOURS.
THUS...HIGHER RESOLUTION DATA WAS USED FOR MINOR UPDATES. BEYOND
THAT...A GFS/EC BLEND WAS USED AS THE NAM BECAME A WEAK OUTLIER
MOVING A LOW INTO THE GULF LATE FRI INTO SAT. MODELS HAVE NOT DONE
A GREAT JOB WITH THIS LOW OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS SHIFTING THEIR
POSITIONS QUITE A BIT FROM RUN TO RUN HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.
SOME OF THIS MAY BE DUE TO WHAT IS HAPPENING UPSTREAM. A TRIPLE
POINT LOW IS PROJECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY SUN SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR.
BUT SOME OF THE MODELS OVERNIGHT MADE DRAMATIC JUMPS WITH THE
STRENGTH AND POSITION OF THIS FEATURE. DEPENDING ON HOW STRONG AND
THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE LOW WILL HAVE A DIRECT IMPACT ON WHAT
HAPPENS TO THE LOW IN THE GULF. AT THIS TIME...NEITHER LOW LOOKS
TO BRING MANY WEATHER IMPACTS TO THE STATE. BUT FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS REMAINS RATHER LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A WEAKENING FRONT FROM OVER THE GULF CONTINUES TO DRIFT SOUTH.
THE TREND ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL BE FOR DECREASING
CLOUDINESS...WITH TODAY SHAPING UP TO BE A RETURN TO SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE. WINDS OVERALL WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT WITH
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SEA BREEZES BEING THE GENERAL RULE
ALONG THE COASTS WITH WEAK DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS INLAND (KNIK
RIVER SOUTHEAST WINDS THE MOST NOTABLE). TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S TODAY WITH SOME OF THE MOST WIDESPREAD
LOWER 60S READINGS OF THE SEASON SO FAR POSSIBLE FROM EAST
ANCHORAGE UP TO THE MAT-SU VALLEYS.

TONIGHT AND FRI...AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING
WEAK MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL BRING CLOUDS BACK TO THE
REGION...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINFALL MOVING INTO COASTAL
AREAS. ANOTHER IMPACT FROM THIS FAST-MOVING FEATURE WILL BE TO
BRING GUSTY EAST WINDS TO THE NORTH GULF COAST...PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND...AND THROUGH PASSAGE CANAL TO WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM. THESE
WINDS WILL NOT BE ANYWHERE CLOSE TO WARNING LEVELS...BUT WILL
STILL BE A NOTABLE INCREASE FROM TODAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO WARM ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY WITH VALUES
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S...WARMEST FROM EAST ANCHORAGE
TO OVER THE MAT-SU VALLEYS. ACCOMPANYING RH VALUES WILL DIP DOWN
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S IN SPOTS FROM THE ANCHORAGE BOWL TO THE
MAT-SU VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS OVERALL SHOULD BE FAIRLY
LIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL...THOUGH THE ONE AREA OF CONCERN
WOULD BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK SOUTHEAST WINDS OUT OF THE KNIK
RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE
COMBINATION OF TEMPS...RH..AND WINDS SHOULD STAY JUST BELOW CRITICAL
PRE-GREEN UP CRITERIA. RH VALUES WILL RECOVER DURING THE EVENING
HOURS TONIGHT. ON FRI...A WAVE MOVING WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER WITH COOLER TEMPS AND HIGHER
DAYTIME RH VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...THU AND FRI)...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH OVER THE MAINLAND FROM THE EAST TODAY.
THIS WILL BRING DECREASING CLOUDS AND FINALLY ALLOW THE GUSTY
SOUTHEAST WINDS TO SUBSIDE...EXCEPT FOR THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WHERE ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THAT
REGION. THIS WILL MAKE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS
AND MODERATE RAIN FOR PLACES LIKE COLD BAY AND FALSE PASS.

ON FRIDAY...THE LOW NEAR COLD BAY STALLS. SO WHILE THERE WILL
STILL BE WIDESPREAD RAIN...THE WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT. OVER
MAINLAND SOUTHWEST...SOME MOISTURE WILL TRY TO CREEP OVER THE
ALASKA RANGE. MOST POPULATION CENTERS WILL REMAIN DRY AND JUST
SEE INCREASING CLOUD COVER WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...THU AND
FRI)... QUIET WEATHER REMAINS THE STORY OVER THE AREA. BROAD
CYCLONIC FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A FEW
WEAK SYSTEMS TRY TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND CLIP THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. NOT UNTIL LATE SAT INTO SUN DO WE SEE ANY SIGNS
OF A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE CHAIN (SEE MODEL
DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS).

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY WITH DEPICTING
THE OVERALL LONGWAVE PATTERN AND SURFACE FEATURES ACROSS ALASKA
AND THE NORTH PACIFIC. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA ON SATURDAY AND RETURN RAIN
CHANCES BACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. RAIN WILL HAVE A
DIFFICULT TIME MAKING IT INLAND. IT APPEARS THAT ENOUGH OF AN
OFFSHORE GRADIENT EXISTS WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE MAINLAND ON THE DRY
SIDE. AT THE SAME TIME...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE QUICKLY
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TO NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. MODELS HAVE BEEN IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS FEATURE
AND HAVE SPED IT UP OVER PREVIOUS RUNS AS A MORE POTENT JET STREAK
ALOFT DRIVES THIS LOW NORTHWARD. THIS LOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TO
TRACK EASTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA...BRINGING YET ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST. MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND WILL REMAIN
ON THE DRY SIDE ONCE AGAIN AS THE LOW TRACKS FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF
ALASKA. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NEAR THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE EASTWARD THROUGH THURSDAY.

OVERALL...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL SEE A GOOD BIT OF
CLOUD COVER BUT BREAKS ARE SURE TO HAPPEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND POSSIBLY
NEAR RECORD HIGHS IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE LONGWAVE PATTERN CONTINUES
TO BE REINFORCED BY UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES BEING EJECTED FROM
THE RUSSIAN AND ASIAN COASTLINES. THE PERSISTENT NORTH AMERICAN
RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO TRY TO NUDGE OVER PARTS OF EASTERN ALASKA
THROUGH THE PERIOD AND THE WARMEST DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY OCCUR WHEN THIS RIDGE IS ABLE TO BUILD ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES 119 130 131 132 138 150 155 160
165 172 174 176 177 178 179 180 181 185

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...MC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 3:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.