Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 313, NWS Anchorage, AK

April 9, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Apr 9, 2016, 6:58 AM AKDT. It was in force for 45 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2016, 6:58 AM AKDT (14:58 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2016, 3:45 AM AKDT
In force
45 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

812 
FZAK51 PAFC 091458 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

UPDATED ZONES 119 120 125 132 136 137 138 139 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100330-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF REMAINS THROUGH SUN BEFORE
WEAKENING AND MOVING INLAND. A 991 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK MOVES 
INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-100330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT. SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT IN 
THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF 
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100330-
PORT VALDEZ-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS
2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100330-
VALDEZ ARM-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100330-
CHINIAK BAY-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100330-
MARMOT BAY-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
658 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
4 follow-up statements
587 
FZAK51 PAFC 092108 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100345-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF REMAINS THROUGH SUN BEFORE
WEAKENING AND MOVING INLAND. A 991 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK MOVES 
INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-100345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT. SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT IN  THE
MORNING. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100345-
PORT VALDEZ-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS
2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100345-
VALDEZ ARM-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100345-
CHINIAK BAY-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100345-
MARMOT BAY-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
108 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN  THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
992 
FZAK51 PAFC 092254
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101200-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF SUN
MORNING...THEN RAPIDLY DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND. ANOTHER
FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF EARLY MON MORNING...THEN
STALLS THERE THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-101200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-101200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-101200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT.

$$

PKZ125-101200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-101200-
PORT VALDEZ-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.MON THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101200-
VALDEZ ARM-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-101200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-101200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-101200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-101200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-101200-
CHINIAK BAY-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-101200-
MARMOT BAY-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-101200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-101200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT N OF
ANCHOR POINT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-101200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-101200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
254 PM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
827 
FZAK51 PAFC 101147
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110115-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND THIS
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MON
MORNING AND STALLS THERE THROUGH MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-110115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S
WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110115-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110115-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110115-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110115-
MARMOT BAY-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
064 
FZAK51 PAFC 102243
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111145-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MON MORNING...DRIFTS INTO
THE CENTRAL GULF LATE MON NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATES TUE MORNING.
A 985 MB LOW MOVES TO 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-111145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-111145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-111145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-111145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-111145-
PORT VALDEZ-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-111145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-111145-
VALDEZ ARM-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-111145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-111145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-111145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-111145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...S WIND 15 KT
BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY. N OF DANGEROUS
CAPE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-111145-
CHINIAK BAY-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-111145-
MARMOT BAY-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-111145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-111145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. N OF ANCHOR POINT...VARIABLE
WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-111145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-111145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
243 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Apr 9, 5:40 AM AKDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 9, 5:40 AM AKDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
540 AM AKDT SAT APR 9 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN HAS SET UP ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND
MUCH OF THE BERING SEA THIS MORNING AS A SERIES OF LOWS PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA. ONE OF THESE LOWS HAS STALLED JUST TO THE WEST
OF UNALASKA THIS MORNING WHICH HAS KEPT GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS LONGER THAN
PREVIOUS EXPECTED. THE FRONTAL OCCLUSION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FRONT HAS NEARLY PUSHED THROUGH THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS BUT SHOULD
QUICKLY PUSH THROUGH JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE AND BRING AN END TO
PRECIPITATION AND GUSTY WINDS. A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SPUN
UP EAST OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF SAND
POINT. THIS LOW WAS HEAVILY INFLUENCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
AND A PIECE OF JET ENERGY IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION BROUGHT UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT TO A WEAK SFC BASED TROUGH. THIS DECENT MID AND
UPPER LEVEL JET HAS ALLOWED THE SFC LOW TO QUICKLY PUSH NORTHWARD
AND HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO BRING RAIN TO PARTS OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. RAIN ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE
UPSWING AS THE LOW MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY BY MID MORNING.

LOOKING AT SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST AND HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING A GOOD BIT DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS THIS COASTAL RIDGE HAS STRENGTHENED...GAP
WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM...PORTAGE VALLEY...COPPER RIVER AND
THE KNIK RIVER VALLEY HAVE STRENGTHENED AS WELL. WINDS THROUGH
PORTAGE VALLEY AND TURNAGAIN ARM HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING
OVERNIGHT AND LOOK TO PEAK DURING THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.
OTHER GAP WINDS ALONG THE COPPER RIVER AND KNIK RIVER WILL WEAKEN
A BIT EARLY THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD QUICKLY INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE.
A FRONT HAS PUSHED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA AND CLASHED
THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS ON THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND HAS
BROUGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS MORNING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING OVERALL BUT DO
STRUGGLE A BIT OUT WEST WITH JUST HOW QUICKLY THE DEVELOPING LOW
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY THIS MORNING. THIS
BRINGS A CHALLENGE TO FORECAST PRECIPITATION TIMING AS WELL AS
NUMEROUS WIND SHIFTS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MODELS REMAIN IN PRETTY
GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BUT THEN STRUGGLE TO RESOLVE
THE NEXT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WORTH WATCHING WHICH SKIRTS SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA LATE MONDAY.
THE NAM WAS USED EARLY ON ACROSS THE EASTERN DOMAIN DUE TO THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION TO HELP MAP OUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS THROUGH
MANY GAPS TO HELP FORECAST STRONGER WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM
AND PORTAGE VALLEY. OUT WEST A BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS WAS USED
FOR THE TIMING OF THE DEVELOPING LOW AS THE ECMWF WAS A BIT SLOWER
BRINGING THE LOW INTO BRISTOL BAY THAN THE NAM...GFS AND ENSEMBLES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

AN APPROACHING FRONT IS BRINGING GUSTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE GULF OF ALASKA THIS MORNING ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS.
AS THIS FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTHWARDS...PRESSURE GRADIENTS
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY. THIS WILL RE-ENFORCE THE
CURRENT GAP WINDS ACROSS TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY.
HOWEVER...PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL STILL REMAIN WEAK ENOUGH TO KEEP
WIND GUSTS JUST AT OR BELOW STRONG WIND CRITERIA. THIS FRONT WILL
SUPPORT WIDESPREAD RAIN...WHICH WILL BE LIMITED IN DOWNSLOPE
REGIONS OF ANCHORAGE...THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND WESTERN KENAI.

WHILE THIS FRONT WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE THIS EVENING ALONG THE
COAST...A NEW WEAKER FRONT WILL APPROACH SUNDAY. THIS WILL REINFORCE
BROAD MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE GULF COAST...AND AN UPPER
LEVEL JET WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FOR RAIN. MODELS ARE
TRENDING TOWARDS RAIN WHICH COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES STARTING
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE EASTERN KENAI.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A LOW BEGINNING TO CROSS THE AKPEN INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL
BRING RAIN AND GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS TO THE AREA TODAY. THE
STRONGEST OF THESE WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ALONG THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES INTO BRISTOL
BAY...BRINGING PRESSURE FALLS BETWEEN IT AND RIDGING OVER THE
GULF. BY LATE THIS EVENING...THIS LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN
BERING...BRINGING PARTIAL CLEARING TO SOME AREAS TONIGHT. ITS POSSIBLE
THAT THIS PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND WIDESPREAD RAIN TONIGHT WILL
BRING PATCHY LOW STRATUS/FOG TO INTERIOR AREAS TONIGHT...HOWEVER
WITH THE FAST MOVING NATURE OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE AND LACK
OF STRONG RIDGING THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD IF IT
DOES FORM. THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED HOWEVER AS A SHORTWAVE WILL
QUICKLY APPROACH THE AREA ON SUNDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN WITH OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING RAIN SHOWERS BUT WITH WINDS FALLING BELOW GALE FORCE
THROUGHOUT THE AREA. THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLOW WEAKEN
THROUGH SUNDAY...ALLOWING FOR SHOWERS AND WINDS TO CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH. LATE ON SUNDAY A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS/AKPEN...WHICH BRINGING RAIN BACK INTO THOSE
AREAS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A
BROAD NEGATIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH ENCOMPASSING THE BERING
SEA. THIS WILL KEEP A GENERALLY SHOWERY REGIME IN PLACE OVER THE
BERING AND GULF REGIONS...WITH ENHANCED CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AK IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME AS A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATES INLAND FROM THE GULF. ATTENTION THEN
TURNS TO A DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOW POISED TO APPROACH THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY NIGHT. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THIS
LOW WILL DEEPEN INTO THE MID 960 MB RANGE...BUT THEY CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE GREATLY WITH THE POSITION OF THIS FEATURE AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES. EUROPEAN AND CANADIAN GUIDANCE HAVE BEEN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT IN TRACKING THE LOW ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN THROUGH THURSDAY AND THUS KEEPING MOST OF THE IMPACTS
CONFINED TO THE BERING. RECENT GFS RUNS HAVE BEEN TAKING THE LOW
INTO THE BERING AND STALLING IT NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHICH WOULD REPRESENT A MORE SIGNIFICANT
THREAT OF STRONG GAP WINDS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE. THE CURRENT EXTENDED
FORECAST REFLECTS A PREFERENCE CLOSER TO THE EC SOLUTION GIVEN THE
BETTER OVERALL CONSISTENCY...HOWEVER THE LARGE MODEL SPREAD LENDS
A LOWER DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST. THE EVOLUTION OF
THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED IN THE COMING
DAYS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 125 130 131 132 139.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MMC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...CB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 3:39 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC47 hr
Apr 9, 3:49 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC11 hr
Apr 9, 3:49 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC11 hr
Apr 9, 3:49 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Apr 9, 1:08 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC106 min
Apr 9, 2:54 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr
Apr 9, 3:33 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC44 min

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.