Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 269, NWS Anchorage, AK

March 25, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 25, 2016, 3:35 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 25, 2016, 3:35 PM AKDT (23:35 UTC)
Expired
Mar 26, 2016, 3:09 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

164 
FZAK51 PAFC 252335
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261215-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY SLIDES TO 370 NM WEST 
OF KLAWOCK AT 1000 MB SAT AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN SHIFTS TO 
45 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT BEFORE DISSIPATING SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-261215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-261215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-261215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-261215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-261215-
PORT VALDEZ-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-261215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-261215-
VALDEZ ARM-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-261215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...EAST WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-261215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-261215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-261215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-261215-
CHINIAK BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-261215-
MARMOT BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-261215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-261215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-261215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-261215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
1 follow-up statement
491 
FZAK51 PAFC 261109
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-262345-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MOVES TO 25 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT AT 1001 MB LATE SAT NIGHT THEN DISSIPATES. A WEAK FRONT
ENTERS THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF ALASKA SAT AFTERNOON THEN MOVES TO
THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY SUN AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS
DEVELOP OVER THE GULF BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-262345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-262345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-262345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-262345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-262345-
PORT VALDEZ-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-262345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-262345-
VALDEZ ARM-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-262345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-262345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-262345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-262345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-262345-
CHINIAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-262345-
MARMOT BAY-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-262345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-262345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-262345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-262345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 25, 5:20 AM AKDT, 10 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 5:20 AM AKDT, 10 hours 15 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
520 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A WEAK SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN
GULF OF ALASKA INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND ALCAN BORDER.
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS OVER A
WEAK COMPLEX AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. THE RIDGING OVER THE
EASTERN GULF COUPLED WITH THE LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA IS
HOLDING THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA IN A WARM SOUTH
SOUTHEAST FLOW REGIME. THE TYPICAL CROSS BARRIER DOWN SLOPE DRYING
EFFECT IS PREVALENT ON THE LEE OF THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS.

AN INTENSIFYING STORM WELL SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS HAS A
FRONT EXTENDING TO A TRIPLE POINT WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THE MAIN JET IS RUNNING EAST WEST ALONG 41N PUMPING
MOISTURE INTO THE LOW COMPLEX IN THE GULF OF ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD SYNOPTIC SCALE AGREEMENT. AS IS
TYPICAL...THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS MORE ACCURATELY DEPICT THE
QPF ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BETTER ACCOUNTING FOR THE DOWN
SLOPE DRYING FROM THE CROSS BARRIER FLOW. THIS RESULTS IN A DEGREE
OF VARIABILITY IN THE DIFFERENT MODEL QPF OUTPUT. THE NAM AND
CANADIAN MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AND DO NOT BRING AS
MUCH OR AS WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT
AND ARE THE PREFERRED SOLUTION AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND ITS ASSOCIATED
FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS IS BRINGING
INCREASING MOISTURE AND SHOWERS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THE
FRONT WILL PUSH INLAND LATER TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL THEN BREAK
APART ON SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WEAKENS AND ELONGATES
OVER THE GULF. THERE WILL THEN BE A BRIEF BREAK SATURDAY NIGHT AS
THE NEXT SYSTEM WINDS UP SOUTH OF KODIAK. A FEW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
WESTERN ALASKA THAT IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST JUST SKIRTS THAT
AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A FAIRLY DIFFUSE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD TODAY...KEEPING SOME SHOWERS/LIGHT
PRECIP AROUND THE AREA. WINDS HAVE SWITCHED AROUND TO THE SOUTH
AT MOST LOCATIONS WITH VERY WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION. THIS HAS NOT
COOLED SURFACE TEMPERATURES THAT MUCH...BUT HAS ALLOWED PRECIPITATION
TYPE TO SWITCH OVER TO SNOW AT MOST INLAND LOCATIONS AND ALONG THE
COAST OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. WIDESPREAD FOG HAS ALSO DEVELOPED
IN THE WEAK ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS COASTAL AREAS. SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE
EASTERN BERING...PROVIDING A BRIEF REPRIEVE BEFORE MUCH MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER ARRIVES LATE IN THE WEEKEND. BY SATURDAY NIGHT A
POTENT UPPER TROUGH WITH AN ACCOMPANYING QUICK SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR
WILL DIVE SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THERE IS STILL
SOME QUESTION OF HOW FAR SOUTH THE MOST IMPRESSIVE DYNAMIC LIFT
WILL MAKE IT...BUT IT IS NOW LOOKING INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT AT
LEAST AREAS EAST OF BETHEL SHOULD GET SOME SNOW OUT OF THIS QUICK-
HITTING FEATURE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAKE FOR FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL BE CHANGING AS A STRONG 195+ KT
EAST ASIAN JET IS IN THE PROCESS OF INITIATING AN AMPLIFICATION
OF THE PREVIOUSLY ZONAL JET STREAM AND STORM TRACK SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS. A STRONG GALE-FORCE FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING AND SLOWLY GRIND EASTWARD THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE ASSOCIATED LOW WILL DROP INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 950S RANGE AND ONLY SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD. THUS AT THIS TIME WE ARE NOT ANTICIPATING ANY WARNING-
LEVEL WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
WARM AIR SURGING NORTHWARD TO ENSURE THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS REMAIN
NEARLY ALL-RAIN FOR THIS STORM...WITH THE PRIBILOFS THE ONLY
EXCEPTION TO THIS TREND (SEE LONG TERM DISCUSSION BELOW).

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

ON SUNDAY THE COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING OVER THE WEST
COAST OF MAINLAND ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST BRUSHING PAST
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...BRINGING SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AS WELL AS COOLER LOW LEVEL
AIR. A LARGE FRONTAL SYSTEM STRETCHED FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BERING AND ALASKA PENINSULA WILL LIFT NORTH SPREADING
PRECIPITATION ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AREA AND KODIAK ISLAND ON SUNDAY
THEN CONTINUE FURTHER INTO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
SUNDAY NIGHT. FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND RIVER VALLEY THE
OVERRUNNING OF THIS WARMER FRONTAL MOISTURE OVER THE COLD LOW
LEVEL AIR IN PLACE AND BEING REINFORCED NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE
WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN
SUNDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONALLY THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS LOOK TO BE ON THE
COLD SIDE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH SNOW AND BLOWING A POTENTIAL
CONCERN THERE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

FURTHER EAST PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD NORTH AS PREDOMINATELY
RAIN AND MARK THE ONSET OF A PATTERN SHIFT TOWARDS MUCH WARMER
AND WETTER CONDITIONS. UNSEASONABLY STRONG RIDGING BUILDING
ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND EASTERN GULF PAIRED WITH A VERY
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL
AIM A DEEP SOUTHERLY FETCH OF MOISTURE WITH STRONG JET SUPPORT
RIGHT AT SOUTHERN ALASKA. A SERIES OF FRONTAL WAVES WILL LIFT UP
OVER THE AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK BRINGING A STEADY INCREASE IN BOTH
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TILTING BACK TO THE
WEST A BIT DIRECTING THE LAST OF THE FRONTAL WAVES MORE OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 411 412 413.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AD
LONG TERM...JER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 25, 11:58 AM AKDT, 3 hours 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1158 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-260800-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-COPPER RIVER BASIN-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON...KENAI...
SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...
GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS...CORDOVA...
GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA...TALKEETNA...
WILLOW...CANTWELL
1158 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016

...UNUSUALLY WARM AND WET CONDITIONS TO IMPACT SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NEXT WEEK...

LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN FOR MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA NEXT WEEK AS A VERY WARM AND MOIST SUBTROPICAL AIR MASS
MOVES OVER THE STATE. AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS FOR THE
EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK APPEAR TO BE PONDING OF RAIN AND
SNOWMELT ON ROADS...PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS. AN ADDITIONAL
THREAT MAY COME FROM LOCALIZED BREAK-UP OF FROZEN STREAMS AND
RIVERS THROUGH THE WEEK.

TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL RISE WELL
ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY...THEN PERSIST OR CONTINUE
TO WARM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. AFTER SUNDAY
NIGHT...TEMPERATURES MAY REMAIN UNUSUALLY WARM (IN THE 40S) EVEN
AT NIGHT ACROSS ANCHORAGE AND SURROUNDING AREAS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK.

PLEASE STAY ABREAST OF THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS BY VISITING
WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE AND THE LATEST RIVER AND STREAM FORECASTS
BY VISITING WEATHER.GOV/APRFC. YOU CAN ALSO GET ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION BY FOLLOWING ALONG ON FACEBOOK OR ON TWITTER BY
FOLLOWING @NWSANCHORAGE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 25, 3:06 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC3 days
Mar 25, 3:18 AM AKDTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC37 hr
Mar 25, 3:18 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Mar 25, 3:18 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Mar 25, 3:13 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Mar 25, 3:13 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Mar 25, 3:25 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Mar 25, 3:25 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Mar 25, 3:25 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.