Small Craft Advisory 208, NWS Anchorage, AK

534 
FZAK52 PAFC 060014
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-061315-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN BERING LATE
TONIGHT...THEN MOVES OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY LATE SUN
NIGHT AND STALLS.

$$

PKZ150-061315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-061315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-061315-
BRISTOL BAY-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-061315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
W OF COLD BAY IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-061315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF UNALASKA IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-061315-
UNALASKA BAY-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-061315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-061315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-061315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-061315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-061315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-061315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-061315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
ON THE BERING SIDE.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY ON
THE BERING SIDE.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-061315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-061315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT S OF CAPE
NEWENHAM. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S.
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT..EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM CAPE
NEWENHAM S. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-061315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-061315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
314 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

264 
FZAK52 PAFC 061203
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-070115-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING DEVELOPS INTO A
986 MB LOW 100 NM EAST OF SAINT GEORGE SUN MORNING. THE LOW MOVES
TO 50 NM NORTHWEST OF NIKOLSKI AT 987 MB LATE SUN NIGHT...THEN
BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
LATE MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-070115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-070115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-070115-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-070115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-070115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-070115-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-070115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-070115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-070115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-070115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-070115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-070115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-070115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
BERING SIDE.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-070115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-070115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-070115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-070115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

646 
FZAK52 PAFC 070021
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-071300-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 130 NM NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR MOVES TO 210 NM
SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR EARLY MON AND BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. A FRONT MOVES TO THE
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY TUE MORNING AND STALLS.

$$

PKZ150-071300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-071300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-071300-
BRISTOL BAY-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-071300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-071300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-071300-
UNALASKA BAY-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-071300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-071300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ174-071300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-071300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-071300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-071300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ178-071300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-071300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-071300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY
ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-071300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-071300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
321 PM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
432 PM AKST FRI MAR 4 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

INCREASED SOUTHEASTERLY 700 MB FLOW DEVELOPED THIS MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON COMBINED WITH A VERY DEEP COLD POOL TO MOUNTAIN-
TOP LEVEL TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE OF MOISTURE
AND LIFT OVER THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CHUGACH AND KENAI RANGES.
THIS RESULTED IN AN OVER-PERFORMING MINOR SNOW EVENT FOR THE COOK
INLET REGION DURING TODAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT DEVELOPED YESTERDAY OVER THE INTERIOR
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE BRISTOL BAY
REGION...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MERGE WITH ANOTHER LARGE CYCLONIC
CENTER OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL CUT-OFF
HIGH OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES TO RETROGRADE WEST.
ANOTHER UPPER LOW IS SLOWLY SLIPPING TO THE SOUTH OF THE
RETROGRADING HIGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WELL SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. A SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER JET IS SUPPLYING A THICK
CANOPY OF MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUING
ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVING WEST.

COLD ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS ARE JUST BEGINNING TO START AS LOW-
LEVEL COLD AIR MOVES OVER THE ICE-FREE WATERS OF THE BERING FROM
NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND...AND WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPAND SOUTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

TOWARD THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...A TRAIN OF DISTURBANCES
CONTINUES TO ROTATE AROUND THE CYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL SOUTH
OF THE GULF...PUSHING FAST-MOVING YET SMALLER SYSTEMS WEST ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF. THE FIRST OF THESE SYSTEMS AS AT LEAST
PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SNOWFALL TODAY ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL AND VICINITY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE PATTERN IS WELL RESOLVED BY THE MODELS...WITH MUCH OF THE
IMPACTED AREAS CONFINED TO COASTAL LOCATIONS AND THE MARINE
WATERS. OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A PATTERN CHANGE HAS BEGUN WHICH WILL BRING WAVES OF MOISTURE TO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF
WILL SPIN A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN
PROTECTING SOUTHERN ALASKA MOVES NORTH. THE FIRST SYSTEM WHICH
MOVED ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA EARLIER TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST THIS EVENING AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE OVER KODIAK ISLAND BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER PARTS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND
THROUGH LATER THIS EVENING. THE NEXT SYSTEM IS A SLIGHTLY STRONGER
AND CLOSED SURFACE LOW WITH GALE FORCE WINDS...WHICH WILL BRING
STRONGER CROSS BARRIER FLOW AND KEEP THE AREAS ON THE LEE SIDE OF
THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS DRIER THIS TIME AROUND. THIS LOW
WILL RACE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT AND REACH THE KENAI
PENINSULA SATURDAY MORNING...THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE THIRD SYSTEM WILL BE FAIRLY WEAK AND ARRIVE ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST GULF COAST BY SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION BEFORE MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA
BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE WILL BRING COOLER AIR
FROM THE NORTH ACCOMPANIED BY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THIS WILL
PRODUCE LIGHT FLURRIES THROUGH THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (AOR)
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES
TRACKING FROM THE WESTERN GULF ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN/ALASKA RANGE.
THIS IS RESULTING IN MOISTURE SPILLING-OVER INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
INTERIOR. THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS A RAIN/SNOW MIXTURE OVER
THE ALEUTIAN/ALASKA RANGE BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
INTERIOR REGION. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY/DELTA. THEREFORE...LOOK FOR ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
WITH THE CONTINUED COOLER TEMPERATURES COINCIDING WITH THE
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
NORTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL USHER IN COLDER AIR THROUGH THE AOR
WITH A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME. THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SEE
NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT AS THE COLDER AIR
FILTERS INTO THIS REGION. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON THE NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS COVERAGE WILL EXPAND WESTWARD ALONG THE CHAIN TO ADAK AND
NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING TO SAINT PAUL ISLAND AREA. THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS HAVE A WEAK WAVE MOVING THROUGH BEFORE EXITING
THE CHAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING SLIGHT WARMER
TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN A MIXTURE OF RAIN/SNOW BEFORE TRANSITIONING
TO ALL SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY SATURDAY WITH THE COLDER AIR
MOVING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT IN THE MID TO LONG TERM WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PERSISTING ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE BERING. BY SUNDAY EVENING THREE SURFACE
FEATURES ROTATING THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL BE
IMPACTING THE AREA. THE FIRST IS A DIFFUSE AND WEAKENING SURFACE
LOW WHICH WILL BE OVER BRISTOL BAY...THE SECOND A SURFACE LOW IN
THE WESTERN GULF APPROACHING THE BARREN ISLANDS AND THE THIRD
ANOTHER SURFACE LOW OFF OF THE SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA
PANHANDLE. THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE ALONG A SIMILAR
TRACK AS A DEEP LOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN
GULF.

THE SURFACE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE SOUTHERN LOW WILL
SPREAD INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT
AND THROUGH OUT THE GULF ON TUESDAY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM COMING IN
FROM THE WEST WILL REACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY
A SECOND STRONGER SYSTEM SWINGING IN WEDNESDAY AND CUTTING JUST
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AS IT CONTINUES EAST. A SIMILAR PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THE MEAN UPPER
LEVEL LOW POSITION REMAINING NEAR THE SOUTHERN GULF AND AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDING FROM CANADA INTO INTERIOR ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 165 179 180 181 185 411 412 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...JR