Gale Warning 94, NWS Anchorage, AK

864 
FZAK51 PAFC 250040
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251345-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST EARLY MON MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED 953 MB LOW 425 NM SOUTH OF
CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AT 959 MB MON
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY MON NIGHT AT 962 MB.

$$

PKZ119-251345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-251345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-251345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-251345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-251345-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-251345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-251345-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-251345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-251345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-251345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING
TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-251345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-251345-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-251345-
MARMOT BAY-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-251345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-251345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-251345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-251345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

668 
FZAK51 PAFC 251228
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260145-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST DISSIPATES MON MORNING. A 953
MB LOW 225 NM SOUTH OF AKHIOK WILL MOVE INTO THE BERING MON NIGHT
AT 959 MB. A STRONG FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-260145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-260145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-260145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-260145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-260145-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-260145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-260145-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-260145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT DIMINISHING. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-260145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-260145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-260145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-260145-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-260145-
MARMOT BAY-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-260145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-260145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-260145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-260145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
501 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A BROAD UPPER TROUGH ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF THE BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC.
THREE UPPER LEVEL LOWS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS TROUGH AND ARE CENTERED
NEAR SHEMYA... JUST SOUTH OF SAND POINT...AND JUST EAST OF THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS. THE UPPER JET REMAINS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF ALASKA...ALONG
WITH THE MAIN MOISTURE SUPPLY. AS A RESULT ALL OF THESE UPPER LEVEL
LOWS REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK AND ARE SLOWLY DIMINISHING IN STRENGTH.
MEANWHILE...A BROAD RIDGE STRETCHES ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA...THE GULF
OF ALASKA AND WEST CANADA. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW SOUTH OF
SAND POINT HAS BEEN SUPPORTING STEADY SHOWERS ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY. MEANWHILE THE UPPER LOW JUST TO THE
EAST OF THE PRIBILOFS HAS BEEN BRINGING STEADY SHOWERS TO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS TO THE PRIBILOFS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

TODAY MODELS ARE INDICATING LOWER CONFIDENCE THAN PREVIOUS DAYS IN THE
SHORT TERM. WHILE THE GFS AND NAM WERE INDICATING THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT
OF A LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA THAT WOULD PROGRESS QUICKLY TOWARDS
THE NORTH GULF COAST BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE ECMWF DID NOT INDICATE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUCH A LOW. CLOSE INSPECTION OF THE ENSEMBLE MEANS
OF NAEFS, GEFS AND ECMWF ALL INDICATE NO DEVELOPMENT OF SUCH A LOW.
AS A RESULT THE ECMWF MODEL WAS FAVORED FOR THE MODEL PACKAGE TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
TWO SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE FIRST IS AN OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND AND INTO
THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. A SHORTWAVE MOVING AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT HAS BEEN PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE REGION WITH SOME
MIXED PRECIPITATION OVER THE ANCHORAGE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVER UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE ALASKA RANGE
AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ALONG UPPER COOK INLET...DOWNSLOPING
WILL KEEP MOSTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST.

AS THIS FIRST FRONT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL...FLOW ALOFT WILL TURN
SOUTHERLY...BRINGING A PUSH OF WARM MOIST AIR UP FROM THE SOUTH AND
INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL HELP PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY
ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN.

THE NEXT SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE REGION WILL BE A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW
CURRENTLY AROUND 40N 165W THAT WILL MOVE TO A POSITION SOUTHWEST OF
KODIAK ISLAND BY MONDAY MORNING. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO BE SOMEWHAT STRONGER THAN THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA WITH A DEEPER TAP OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT.
THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT KODIAK SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE MOVING
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL
PRODUCE OVERALL MODERATE PRECIPITATION TOTALS ALONG THE GULF COAST
AND THE SOUTHERN ALASKA RANGE WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW MAINLY ALONG
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE MAIN CHALLENGE WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
PRECIPITATION TYPE ALONG COOK INLET. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RISING
ABOVE FREEZING UP TO ABOUT 925MB...BUT STAYING IN THE -2 TO -3 C
RANGE AT 850MB. WITH THIS IN MIND...MOSTLY LIKELY THE PRECIPITATION
TYPE WILL STAY MOSTLY RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF COOK INLET WITH
A GRADUAL TRANSITION TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND
ALL SNOW FROM THE KNIK ARM REGION NORTHWARD.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE PATTERN SHIFT IS UNDERWAY AS THE FIRST WEAK UPPER LOW IS LIFTING
NORTHWARD OUT OF THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND THE DELTA. RIGHT ON
ITS HEELS IS ANOTHER LOW TRACKING INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS LOW
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...BRINGING IN WARMER
AIR AND CHANGING PRECIPITATION TO PREDOMINANTLY RAIN ACROSS THE BRISTOL
BAY REGION...WITH A MIX ELSEWHERE. A STRONGER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...SPREADING MORE WARM AIR AND STRONGER
SOUTHEAST WINDS INTO THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A RELATIVELY QUIET PATTERN FOR THE BERING WILL PERSIST AS A
COMPLEX BUT VERY ILL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS OVER THE
BERING...WITH A STATIONARY FRONT SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THIS
WILL KEEP A SHOWERY AND LARGELY EASTERLY FLOW REGIME IN PLACE...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE TWO LOWS WILL MOVE NORTH
INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT AND AGAIN MONDAY...BRINGING RAIN AND
GALE FORCE WINDS TO THAT AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST TODAY AS FAR AS THE
LARGE SCALE PATTERN GOES. DAY THREE BEGINS WITH ONE UPPER LOW
WITHING THE BROAD SCALE BERING SEA TROUGH NEAR THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND ATTENDANT FRONT PUSHING ASHORE THE NORTH GULF COAST.
A SECOND MORE POTENT SHORTWAVE IS AMPLIFYING UNDER A 200 KT EAST
ASIAN JET...STILL WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THIS SYSTEM WILL
ACT TO SHIFT THE WHOLE LONGWAVE EASTWARD A LITTLE BIT AS IT MOVES
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA ON LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL
IMPACT THE NORTH GULF COAST...HOWEVER...MUCH LIKE MANY SYSTEMS
OVER THE RECENT TIMES IT IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT APPROACHES
WITH THE BRUNT OF PRECIPITATION STAYING CONFINED TO THE COAST. THE
AIR MASS IT BRINGS UP FROM THE SOUTH IS SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN WHAT
IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE...BUT IT IS NOT GOING TO BRING A HUGE WARM
UPFROM CURRENT TEMPERATURES. LOOKING OUT TOWARD THE END OF THE
WEEK...THE PATTERN LOOKS MOSTLY THE SAME WITH A TROUGH ANCHORED
OVER THE BERING/ALEUTIANS BUT WITH A LITTLE MORE RIDGING BEGINNING
TO BUILD OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC. AS FAR AS SENSIBLE WEATHER
GOES...EXPECT TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST
LOCATIONS. ONE SOLID FRONT WILL IMPACT THE NORTH GULF COAST ON
WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A MORE SHOWERY/OCCASIONAL REGIME.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 130 131 132 136 137 138 150 351 352.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...ML