Gale Warning 860, NWS Anchorage, AK

271 
FZAK51 PAFC 280018
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281315-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 10 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES 20 NM EAST OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND AT 1001 MB WED AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM MOVES 40 NM
SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT AT 1017 MB THU AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING INLAND
NEAR SITKA THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-281315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT E 15 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 20 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-281315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT NEAR
THE COAST. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS
12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-281315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-281315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-281315-
PORT VALDEZ-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-281315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-281315-
VALDEZ ARM-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-281315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUST TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR
WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. GUST TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUST TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-281315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT BY MIDDAY. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-281315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-281315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT NW 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
16 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-281315-
CHINIAK BAY-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-281315-
MARMOT BAY-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
EVENING.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-281315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-281315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF ANCHOR POINT. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-281315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-281315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
318 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

744 
FZAK51 PAFC 281300
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290215-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 997 MB LOW NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND DRIFTS OVER PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND TODAY AND THEN WEAKENS TO 1012 MB THU MORNING 100 NM
NORTHWEST OF SITKA. THE LOW THEN MOVES INLAND. A 1011 MB LOW
DEVELOPS THU NIGHT OVER THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA.

$$

PKZ119-290215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290215-
PORT VALDEZ-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290215-
VALDEZ ARM-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 14 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING
THE EVENING.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290215-
CHINIAK BAY-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-290215-
MARMOT BAY-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-290215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

269 
FZAK51 PAFC 290015
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291300-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 25 NM SOUTHWEST OF CORDOVA MOVES INTO THE EASTERN
GULF AND WEAKENS THROUGH THU MORNING. A 1013 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR
MONTAGUE ISLAND LATE THU NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF
BY MIDDAY FRI.

$$

PKZ119-291300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-291300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-291300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-291300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-291300-
PORT VALDEZ-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-291300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-291300-
VALDEZ ARM-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-291300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-291300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-291300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-291300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-291300-
CHINIAK BAY-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-291300-
MARMOT BAY-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-291300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-291300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-291300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ141-291300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
315 PM AKST WED DEC 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT BECOMING N 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
411 PM AKST Mon Dec 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A broad upper level trough centered in the eastern Bering continues
to dominate the weather pattern. An associated upper wave is
centered just east of Kodiak Island, and providing support for
a small surface low stacked beneath it. This low and a weak
baroclinic zone along the coast are generating widespread showers.
Meanwhile, the surface low centered near Bethel is supporting
light snow showers. Widespread fog is occurring across Bristol
Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta coast due to broad moist westerly flow
across the eastern Bering. Meanwhile, a shortwave and its
associated surface low are supporting gales across the central
and eastern Aleutian Islands.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in excellent synoptic agreement in the short term. Out
west, models are in good agreement on the timing and intensity of
the gusty winds as they push across the eastern Aleutians.
However, there is some discrepancy among models on the location
and intensity of precipitation as the low over the Pribilof
Islands pushes inland towards Bristol Bay. Along the north Gulf
Coast, there is uncertainty as well in precipitation coverage
especially tonight and early tomorrow.

&&

.Aviation...
The sounding this morning indicates that there is enough dryness
in lower levels to prevent most showers from reaching the ground,
and VFR conditions are expected through this evening. By early
Tuesday morning there may be enough moisture for a quick shower
over Anchorage, but generally conditions should remain VFR.&&

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The northern Gulf has a 980 mb low pressure system parked just
south of Seward. This system gradually moves into the Prince
William Sound area heading into Tuesday. As the system tracks
northward look for snow showers to develop on the backside of this
system along the Western Kenai Peninsula from Anchor Point
southward through Homer tonight. Therefore, look for the
possibility of up to 2 inches of snow in the Homer Bluff area as
the inverted trough moves through tonight. Otherwise, the
Southcentral region remains in a showery weather regime, and the
precipitation will mainly affect the northern coastal communities.
Meanwhile, the Anchorage Bowl continues under drier conditions
with northerly flow heading into Tuesday. Look for the Barren
Islands region to have westerly flow as colder air filters into
the area, and will begin to produce gusty westerly winds by
Tuesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
With weak flow aloft, and continued weak onshore flow at the
surface, fog will remain over southwest Alaska until a shortwave
pushes through the area Tuesday. It will come from the northwest
and bring dry air with it helping to clear out cloud cover. Weak
ridging will then move in ahead of the next front.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The weak low in the eastern Bering will push off to the east as it
dissipates bringing showers to the Eastern Aleutians and Alaska
Peninsula. Ridging will follow behind the low and also track east.
Then on Tuesday a strong front will push through the Western
Aleutians from the south bringing a strong push of warm air with
it. The front will move over the Central Aleutians later on
Tuesday and through the Eastern Aleutians and Pribilof Islands by
early Wednesday morning. There will be enough warm air for snow
to transition over to rain as the front passes. Storm force winds
will follow behind the front for areas around the Western and
Central Aleutians.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The longwave pattern continues to amplify from Wednesday afternoon
onward, with strengthening jet streaks on both the upstream and
downstream sides of the upper level ridge that builds ahead of a
strong cyclone moving into the western Bering. This will mean
increasing north to westerly outflow winds with cold advection
from the mainland into the Gulf and adjacent inside waters that
will peak Wednesday evening before winding down as low pressure
moves away from the area.

To the west, as mentioned before a storm-force low and front will
move north and east across the Bering region, and will be
accompanied by a very warm and moist air mass as the strong
southerly jet streak moves in tandem with the surface front. This
will mean a pronounced warm front moving across the Southwest
mainland Wednesday afternoon into the evening, with the potential
for significant accumulations of snow especially for the Kuskokwim
Delta. This will be followed by an unseasonably warm air mass
pushing across the region and changing snow to rain. Additionally,
as the warm air moves across the ice- and snow-covered ground, fog
is likely to form and could pose significant visibility issues
ahead of the main surface cold front.

As this system continues to move into the mainland, most of the
energy will be diverted well north toward northern Alaska;
however, there will still likely be a residual triple-point low
that develops over the Northern Gulf Friday. The exact track and
placement of this low will determine the extent of any light snow
that may impact the Anchorage area at that time.

The remainder of the period through the weekend into next week is
likely to be dominated by a highly-amplified blocking high
pressure system over the Gulf and mainland, with low pressure
systems being shunted well north from the Pacific through the
Bering and into the Arctic. This may allow for rain and warm
temperatures to move unusually far north along the west coast of
Alaska during this time period, while tranquil conditions persist
over Southcentral with strong valley inversions.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 177 178. Gales 150 155 160 170 171 172 173 174 175
176.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...CC