Gale Warning 843, NWS Anchorage, AK

262 
FZAK51 PAFC 191354 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 971 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA MOVES INLAND AND
DISSIPATES THIS MORNING. A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE
TONIGHT AND MOVES TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY TUE AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER LOW FORMS 75 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-200200-
PORT VALDEZ-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-200200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-200200-
VALDEZ ARM-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS
AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS
AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-200200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-200200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 24 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-200200-
CHINIAK BAY-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-200200-
MARMOT BAY-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-200200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
454 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

487 
FZAK51 PAFC 200107
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201345-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 981 MB LOW 215 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY TUE MORNING MOVES TO 150
SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 978 MB TUE AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATES WED
MORNING. A 980 MB LOW FORMS AT 110 NM WEST OF KODIAK TUE MORNING
AND MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD AT 987 MB WED MORNING THEN
SLIPS TO 215 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK AT 989 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-201345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201345-
PORT VALDEZ-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201345-
VALDEZ ARM-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N
OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 16 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201345-
CHINIAK BAY-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201345-
MARMOT BAY-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
407 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

558 
FZAK51 PAFC 201224
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210145-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND MOVES INTO THE
NORTHEAST GULF THIS EVENING AND DISSIPATES. ANOTHER 983 MB LOW
FORMS 50 NM NORTHWEST OF SITKINAK ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON...MOVES
TO 50 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 987 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVES
TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 994 MB LATE WED NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-210145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210145-
PORT VALDEZ-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210145-
VALDEZ ARM-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210145-
CHINIAK BAY-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210145-
MARMOT BAY-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
324 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
438 PM AKST Sun Dec 18 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a vertically stacked low over the southern Bering Sea.
There is an upper level high over the northern Bering creating a
Rex block. The surface low is still quite strong at 950 mb, but
slowly weakening. There is an upper level low over the northwest
Gulf of Alaska that is in the process of "closing off". The
associated surface low (around 963 mb) is centered over the
northern tip of Kodiak island, with a strong front draped across
the northern Gulf coast. There is a slowly retrograding upper low
over west- central Alaska. The main jet stream is over the north
Pacific well to the south of the state.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in good agreement today. There are some
differences in how they handle the development of a low moving
across the Gulf on Monday, but these differences are minor. The
GFS and NAM were the preferred solutions. Forecast confidence is
a little higher than normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will continue through
tonight. Snow and thus MVFR conditions are expected beginning
Monday morning, with conditions improving in the afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The strong front and embedded NW Gulf low will impact the N. Gulf
Coast and inner coastal waters this evening, then will quickly
subside as the front falls apart. Precipitation seems to be
remaining all snow for the coast except for near Cordova where
some mixing with rain may be expected. There is some possibility
of moisture making it over the mountains with weak isentropic
lift, once downslope flow ends, but dynamics are weak.

As the system slides eastward across the Gulf tonight, southwesterly
flow aloft over the Cook Inlet region resumes. The result will be
a weak deformation band that moves up the Inlet, bringing light
snow to the Kenai Peninsula. Confidence is increasing that the
deformation band makes it to the Anchorage and possibly even the
Mat-Su before fizzling out, with snow amounts expected generally
up to 2 inches.

Monday night into Tuesday the storm track stays out over the Gulf toward
the Yukon where most of our area stays in weak flow with embedded
shortwaves. The best chance of snow will thus remain toward the
eastern Prince William Sound and southeastern Copper River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
As the remnants of the front that made landfall along the Bristol
Bay coast early today continue to slowly weaken, widespread snow
will break up into showers over much of Bristol Bay this evening.
This will also allow showers to develop over eastern Bristol Bay
that have otherwise been dry due to downsloping as the strong
cross-barrier flow diminishes. By Monday an upper level trough
descending from the interior will merge with the Bering trough,
producing a broad upper level trough that will continue into
Tuesday. This trough will bring clouds and a chance of snow
showers to much of the area into mid-week. Most of these showers
should occur over Bristol Bay where the greatest moisture will be
present, though accumulations will be light throughout the area
with diminishing winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The hurricane force low that moved into the Bering on Saturday
will continue to weaken to below gale force by Monday morning as
it slowly moves through the Southern Bering. With persistent
gale-storm force winds, high seas from this system will continue
south of the chain into Monday morning. Behind the low, cold air
beginning to descend into the Western Bering is causing showers to
begin to switch over the snow. This trend will continue into
Monday and Tuesday as the low very slowly moves south of the
chain, spreading widespread snow showers throughout much of the
region. This system will move out of the area on Tuesday as winds
fall below gale force, which slightly slower than initially
expected.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
An active pattern will continue through the weekend and into early
next week with multiple lows traversing through the area. The
models are struggling with the placement, timing, and intensity of
these lows so ensemble guidance was used to avoid the extremes of
the deterministic runs. Until early next week there is some
agreement that the storm track will keep the heaviest
precipitation away from the mainland.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm...132 172 173 174 176  Gale...119 120 127 128 130
131 138 139 150 155 170 171 175 177.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...DEK