Gale Warning 737, NWS Anchorage, AK

838 
FZAK51 PAFC 230247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231530-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 200 NM EAST OF SITKINAK MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK AT 983 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN EXITS INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC WED MORNING. WEAK TROUGHING WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH THU.

$$

PKZ119-231530-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231530-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231530-
RESURRECTION BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231530-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231530-
PORT VALDEZ-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231530-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231530-
VALDEZ ARM-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231530-
PASSAGE CANAL-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231530-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231530-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231530-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 33 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231530-
CHINIAK BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231530-
MARMOT BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231530-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231530-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231530-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231530-
KACHEMAK BAY-
547 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

114 
FZAK51 PAFC 231232
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240115-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD COMPLEX LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL EXIT TO THE
SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK TROUGHING WILL PERSIST OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THU. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-240115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240115-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240115-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 33 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240115-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240115-
MARMOT BAY-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ141-240115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
435 AM AKST Tue Nov 22 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Two lows are responsible for the majority of the active weather
for the area. The first is in the southern Gulf that is bringing
rain to Kodiak Island and the northern Gulf. The other low is
tracking east through the western Bering with its associated front
stretching across the northern Bering through the eastern Bering
and Alaska Peninsula. Enough warm air was pulled up ahead of the
front to bring rain to the Aleutians as it passed. Ahead of the
front weak ridging is helping with stratus and fog formation in
areas around southwest Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement with the major features until the
mid term where there is disagreement on a low moving through the
northern Bering. These differences will factor into the timing of
the low's associated front as it moves across the Eastern
Aleutians and Pribilof Islands and how much precipitation will
fall. For this system the NAM and GFS were preferred which have
middle ground timing and lower precipitation amounts.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The low moving into the Gulf of Alaska from the east is weakening
and will only push some high clouds inland for part of the day as
high pressure remains to the north over the mainland part of the
state. The IR satellite shows what looks at first like a
significant amount of lifting with this low, but surface
observations along the Gulf coast show very high ceilings (if at
all) indicating that the IR satellite is mostly detecting high
clouds which show up very well on the IR band. As this low begins
to exit the Gulf to the south tonight it will leave a large area
of clear skies over southcentral Alaska the next few days.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A weakening front over the eastern Bering Sea will stall near
Nunivak Island this afternoon which will help bring increased snow
chances to the Alaska Peninsula and Bristol Bay areas. With much
of the synoptic forcing offshore, coverage in snow showers should
be quite scattered at best but it's well within the realm of
possibilities a few locations may get a dusting between King
Salmon and Dillingham. A few flurries have been observed near
Bethel this morning which is likely due to some low clouds that
have resided over the area. These low clouds are in the snow
growth zone and with forcing from the front edging eastward a few
flurries have developed. The flurries should not last long this
morning as drier air aloft will limit snowfall processes.
Otherwise, snow chances will continue across the Bristol Bay area
through Wednesday morning while the rest of Southwest Alaska
remains on the dry side. Below normal temperatures will continue
through Wednesday before a slight warming trend will be observed
on Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A gale force front continues to push across the eastern Bering Sea
this morning as the parent low has now entered the far western
Bering Sea. A nice stinger jet on the back side of the low is
helping to produce winds of 50 to 55 kts near Shemya and wave
heights approaching 35 to 40 ft. The core of stronger winds will
continue to shift east/southeast throughout the day while
gradually weakening with wind gusts in the 50 to 60 mph range over
Adak and Atka. The front will stall out just to the west of
Nunivak Island and bend backwards towards Saint Matthew Island
which will help keep gale force winds in the vicinity of the front
through this afternoon before the front quickly falls apart this
evening. The low pressure system over the western Bering will
quickly exit into the western Gulf of Alaska tonight and be
replaced by yet another area of low pressure coming off the
Kamchatka Peninsula. This second low is expected to take a nearly
identical track Wednesday and Thursday to the low currently over
the Bering Sea which will bring another round of gale force winds
to the Aleutian Islands and Bering sea and another period of
moderate rainfall.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
A storm force low near the Kamchatka Peninsula will have an
associated weather front extending through the Central
Aleutians/Bering region by Thu morning. This system then tracks
into the northern Bering by the weekend. Therefore, the
Bering/Aleutians will be under the influence of a showery weather
regime as the aforementioned system becomes almost stationary
before dissipating by late Sunday evening. Meanwhile, a storm
force low develops in the base of the longwave trough located
south of the Western Aleutians. This system eventually gets kicked
out, and tracks just south of the Central Aleutians by Friday
afternoon before being positioned south of the Gulf of Alaska
heading into the weekend. By Thursday evening the Southwest Alaska
region has a weak weather front approaching the Kuskokwim Delta
coastline. This feature moves through the Bristol Bay interior
before falling apart by Friday, and will bring a wintry mix along
the coastline with snow showers inland. At the same time the
Southcentral region remains in offshore flow with the coldest
temperatures remaining in the Copper River Basin. There is a gale
force low tracking into the Gulf by Friday afternoon before
dissipating by Saturday. The majority of the precipitation will
remain in the the northern Gulf and coastal areas.

The models remain in decent agreement with the storm tracks of
the different synoptic systems, but have discrepancies in the
placement of the surface lows. Therefore, the forecast confidence
remains average as we head into the weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 177 178
         Gales 155 173-176 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...dk
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ez
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...mc
LONG TERM...pd/ds