Gale Warning 706, NWS Anchorage, AK

162 
FZAK51 PAFC 120028
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121345-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 MB LOW 30 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE AS IT
MOVES ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND INLAND TONIGHT. A FRONT
ENTERING THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO THE
CENTRAL GULF SAT AND NORTHERN GULF COAST SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-121345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-121345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 13 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-121345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-121345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-121345-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-121345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-121345-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-121345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-121345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-121345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-121345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-121345-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-121345-
MARMOT BAY-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-121345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-121345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-121345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-121345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

998 
FZAK51 PAFC 121231
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130200-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ENTERING THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS EVENING. A 971 MB LOW WILL
ENTER THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT AND TRACK TO 250 NM SOUTH OF
CORDOVA AT 961 MB SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN TO 25 NM EAST OF KODIAK
CITY AT 968 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-130200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130200-
PORT VALDEZ-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130200-
VALDEZ ARM-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130200-
CHINIAK BAY-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130200-
MARMOT BAY-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-130200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
331 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
430 PM AKST Thu Nov 10 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A longwave trough stretches from the Gulf of Alaska into the
eastern Bering with a consolidated upper level low centered in
the the southern Gulf of Alaska. To the north, a potent upper
level shortwave is over the Kenai Peninsula, with an associated
tight surface low. This low has been supporting a low level jet
along the north Gulf Coast with storm force gusts, and is
supporting gap winds through Seward and Whittier. In addition,
this low has been bringing a mixed bag of widespread precipitation
across much of Southcentral. In the western portions of the Copper
River Basin, where deeper and colder air is well-entrenched,
precipitation has been falling mainly as snow. However, in the
eastern and central Copper River basin, some freezing rain has
been occurring near and south of Glennallen, as warmer air
associated with the low pushes northward. Meanwhile, broad
northerly flow is established across the Eastern Bering and
bringing widespread showers.
&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in generally good agreement today in the short-term,
although the higher resolution NAM is capturing the low level jet
currently along the North Gulf coast the most accurately. Models
continue to show fairly good agreement as the weather pattern
remains active into the midterm.

.AVIATION...
PANC...With the strong low passing just a little south of the
airport this afternoon and continuing to move northwest the winds
will switch to the southeast and become gusty early this evening.
This will also likely usher in some turbulence around the area as
well. Precipitation type will remain all rain. Conditions should
improve by midnight as the low weakens and moves farther from the
area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The small but strong low moving across the Kenai Peninsula this
afternoon is bringing significant winds to coastal locations.
These winds are expected to diminish rapidly this evening as the
low moves inland and weakens. This low is also associated with
much warmer air streaming in from the Gulf, which by early evening
will end any lingering threat of freezing rain. This will also
raise snow levels above the level of valley floors throughout the
region.

On Fri the parent low will move to the north Gulf coast in the
afternoon and then inland near Prince William Sound. Another
round of wind (not as strong as this afternoon's wind) with
coastal rain, and snow in the mountains is expected. Behind the
low, warm and moist southeast flow will continue to spread rain to
the coast on Sat. Inland areas on the downslope side of the
Chugach and Kenai mountains will be dry.

 &&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A weather front stalled over the Kuskokwim Delta continues to
produce light accumulating snow and gusty winds over the area
through Friday morning, with some localized areas of blowing snow
reducing visibilities. A second front associated with a low
developing over the eastern Bering Friday will bring another wave
of rain and snow mainly along the coast, with the possibility of
overrunning light snow in the Lower Kuskokwim Valley Friday night
into early Saturday. A more organized front, associated with a
low south of the Alaska Peninsula, will track northward into the
Southwest Mainland Saturday morning brining gusty winds and more
precipitation the area through Sunday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A nearly stationary weather front will remain along the 170th
longitude line for much of the next couple of days, and will
largely serve as the dividing line between snow to the west over
the Central Aleutians/Bering, and rain to the east. Predominant
northerly flow over the central and eastern Aleutians/Bering will
continue to filter in gusty winds and cold arctic air over the
area through Sunday morning. With cold and gusty northerly flow
and persistent snow showers over the central and eastern bering,
there remains some potential for blowing snow to cause some minor
reductions to visibility over the Pribilof islands tonight into
Friday morning, and again overnight Friday into Saturday.

Toward the Western Aleutians, a strong gale-force front will
pivot across the region tonight. High pressure will weaken this
front and push it south of the Aleutians by Friday morning,
bringing colder northerly flow over the area along with the
potential for some snow showers.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

An upper level low will remain situated across the Alaska
Peninsula through Monday morning as another upper level low over
eastern Russia forms a pseudo-Rex block feature. This blocking
feature will break down Monday afternoon as the upper level
pattern amplifies in response to a potent jet streak and upper
level disturbance pushing off the Kamchatka Peninsula. In the mean
time, the upper level low over the Alaska Peninsula will have a
front that extends into the North Pacific. A triple point low
looks to develop along the front and move into the southern Gulf
of Alaska on Monday. This will bring another potent area of low
pressure toward the northern gulf coast with another gale force
barrier jet (possibly stronger deepening on how quickly the low
wraps up) and another decent rainfall event to much of the Gulf
coast and eastern Kenai Peninsula. Downsloping during the event
looks to keep much of the interior portion on the dry side as well
as keep temperatures above normal. However, a transition from
above normal to near normal (possibly below normal across the
Copper River Basin) will return as the upper level pattern shifts
and colder air finally filters in over the mainland.

The Bering Sea will be quiet for much of the extended period as
the bulk of the action will be east of the Alaska Range. Gale
force winds will be seen across the Pribilof Islands south toward
Dutch Harbor due to the tight pressure gradient but lighter winds
are expected for the western half of the Bering. This all changes
on Wednesday as a strong low will push off Kamchatka and into the
Bering Sea but models struggle on the exact placement and timing
of this low.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Freezing Rain Advisory 141.
MARINE...Gale 119-125 129 170 172-179 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ELN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...MC