Gale Warning 58, NWS Anchorage, AK

274 
FZAK51 PAFC 111040 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

UPDATED 119 AND 120

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-112315-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE ON
SHORE SUN NIGHT. A 980 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE
INTO THE EASTERN BERING MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-112315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 30 KT 
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-112315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ121-112315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-112315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-112315-
PORT VALDEZ-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-112315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-112315-
VALDEZ ARM-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-112315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-112315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-112315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-112315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-112315-
CHINIAK BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-112315-
MARMOT BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-112315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-112315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-112315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-112315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

839 
FZAK51 PAFC 111226
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120100-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE ON SHORE
TONIGHT AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH MON. A 980 MB LOW 90 NM
NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING THIS
MORNING. A 981 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 200 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-120100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING
TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-120100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ121-120100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-120100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-120100-
PORT VALDEZ-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-120100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-120100-
VALDEZ ARM-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-120100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-120100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-120100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-120100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-120100-
CHINIAK BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-120100-
MARMOT BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ138-120100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-120100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-120100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-120100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
506 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE JET STREAM REMAINS ZONALLY ORIENTED NEAR THE MID-LATITUDES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. A VERY RESILIENT TROUGH IS ELONGATED
FROM WEST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA THROUGH THE BERING SEA...WITH
A BAGGY APPENDAGE IN THE NORTHCENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS APPENDAGE HAS
BEEN THE BREEDING GROUND FOR STORM SYSTEMS AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND RECENTLY AS WESTERN NORTH AMERICA RIDGING HAS KEPT
RELATIVELY WARM AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS OF THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.
THE CURRENT INCARNATION IS DEVELOPING SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND...SENDING YET ANOTHER FRONT INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. GALE TO
STORM FORCE WINDS ACCOMPANY THE FRONT OVER THE GULF WHILE AHEAD OF
IT...CONVECTIVE SHOWERS ARE AFFECTING WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. OVER THE SOUTHWEST...A WIDE BAND OF PRECIPITATION IS
SETTING UP FROM THE WESTERN BRISTOL BAY ZONE THROUGH PORT HEIDEN
WHICH IS A DEFORMATION/CONVERGENCE BAND AS THE INCOMING SYSTEM AND
OUTGOING ONE COLLIDE. THAT PREVIOUS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING...PULLING NORTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WITH A
LAST GASP OF WIND AND SNOW OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT FIELDS
AS WELL AS THE SURFACE FIELDS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY
GIVEN THE NUMBER OF WEAK AND SMALL SCALE CIRCULATIONS EVIDENT ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE GENERAL THEME AMONG GUIDANCE IS TO KEEP
NEARLY THE SAME PATTERN IN PLACE WITH A STORM TRACK WELL TO THE
SOUTH AND A SERIES OF LOWS/FRONTS DYING IN THE GULF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
BROAD SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES ALOFT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH
MON. THE MAIN UPPER WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH A 970S MB LOW MOVES
NORTH TO OVER SW ALASKA MON MORNING. MINOR WAVES EMBEDDED IN THE
SE FLOW PROPAGATE NORTH ACROSS THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH
MON. A FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA MOVES TO THE NORTH
GULF COAST TONIGHT THEN STALLS AND SLOWLY WEAKENS THROUGH MON.

THE CURRENT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN AND SURFACE SUGGEST A
CONTINUATION OF WET CONDITIONS ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS AND EXCEPT
FOR THE OCCASIONAL SPILL OVER...RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS INLAND
THROUGH MON. WINDS ARE MORE OF INTEREST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. GALE
TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE NORTH GULF AND COASTAL
LOCATIONS TODAY WITH GAP FLOWS ACROSS FAVORED AREAS (TURNAGAIN
ARM/PORTAGE VALLEY/MAT VALLEY). WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE DIMINISHING ON
MON. HOWEVER...BARRIER JET CONDITIONS ALONG THE EASTERN GULF WILL
CONTINUE GALES OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST INTO MON AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A TROUGH EXITING THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING WILL BE FOLLOWED
QUICKLY BY ANOTHER SURFACE LOW MOVING UP FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC
TONIGHT. WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION FILTERS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST LATE
THIS MORNING WHICH WILL CHANGE PRECIPITATION MAINLY OVER TO SNOW
EXCEPT FOR ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL STAY
SLIGHTLY WARMER TO STAY ALL RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT MOVES INTO
BRISTOL BAY THIS EVENING WITH A WARMER AIR MASS BRINGING ABOUT
CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS COLD AIR
ADVECTS IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN BERING WILL KEEP GALE WINDS ACROSS
THE PRIBILOFS AND NORTH THIS MORNING...THEN WINDS TAPER DOWN
LATER TODAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST AND DIMINISHES. WEAK RIDGING
CENTERS ACROSS THE BERING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT BRINGING
ABOUT COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.
THE EASTERN BERING WILL SEE GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AS THE NEXT NORTH PACIFIC LOW SQUEEZES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ALONG THE WEST COAST. ALONG THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...THE
NEXT FRONT MOVES UP MONDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING GUSTY WINDS FROM THE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST AND MIXED PRECIPITATION.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE UPPER LEVELS AT 300 MB REFLECT AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWEST EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO THE UPPER YUKON TERRITORY
KEEPING SYSTEMS IN THE GULF. LOCATED UPSTREAM IS A TROUGH OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND A
CLOSED LOW POSITIONED JUST WEST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. THIS
GENERAL PATTERN IS CONSISTENT WITH THE 500 MB 5-WAVE GEOPOTENTIAL
HEIGHT IMAGERY WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE ONLY
CHANGE WILL BE THE AMPLIFIED RIDGE THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
AND RETROGRADE OVER THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE EXTENDING ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COASTLINE. THE TROUGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC LOCATED
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW NEAR THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL BECOME ELONGATED WITH MULTIPLE WEAKER
LOWS FORMING ALONG THE CHAIN.

REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE...THESE SYNOPTIC FEATURES WILL BE SEEN
AS AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS EXTENDING EASTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC ON TUESDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL TRANSITION INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING
EASTWARD JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND BY SATURDAY. IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA THERE WILL BE ANOTHER ELONGATED LOW POSITIONED IN THE
CENTRAL GULF EXTENDING WESTWARD INTO THE BARREN ISLAND REGION BY
TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING BY WEDNESDAY. OVERALL...THE
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL AOR WILL HAVE WARMER TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH THE NORTHERN COASTAL COMMUNITIES RECEIVING
THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND THE WESTERN
KENAI WILL HAVE DOWNSLOPE DRIER CONDITIONS AS THIS SYSTEM
DISSIPATES BY MIDWEEK. WHILE ON THE BERING SIDE...THIS PATTERN
WILL PRODUCE A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS THROUGH THE MIDWEEK TIME-FRAME HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE BROAD LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN. THIS IS RESULTING IN THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEING BELOW
AVERAGE THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORMS...119 120 130 131.
		 GALES...125 127 132 138 139 140 141 165 177 178
				 179 180 181 185 351 352 411 412 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...PD