Gale Warning 56, NWS Anchorage, AK

472 
FZAK51 PAFC 110053
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111330-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE ONSHORE
SUN NIGHT. A 980 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN BERING MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-111330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 30 KT 
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-111330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ121-111330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-111330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-111330-
PORT VALDEZ-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-111330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-111330-
VALDEZ ARM-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-111330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-111330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-111330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-111330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-111330-
CHINIAK BAY-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-111330-
MARMOT BAY-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-111330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-111330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-111330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-111330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
353 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

274 
FZAK51 PAFC 111040 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

UPDATED 119 AND 120

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-112315-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE ON
SHORE SUN NIGHT. A 980 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE
INTO THE EASTERN BERING MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-112315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 30 KT 
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-112315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ121-112315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-112315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-112315-
PORT VALDEZ-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-112315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-112315-
VALDEZ ARM-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-112315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-112315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-112315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-112315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-112315-
CHINIAK BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-112315-
MARMOT BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-112315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-112315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-112315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-112315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
140 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

839 
FZAK51 PAFC 111226
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120100-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE ON SHORE
TONIGHT AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH MON. A 980 MB LOW 90 NM
NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING THIS
MORNING. A 981 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 200 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-120100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING
TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-120100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ121-120100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-120100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-120100-
PORT VALDEZ-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-120100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-120100-
VALDEZ ARM-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-120100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-120100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-120100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-120100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-120100-
CHINIAK BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-120100-
MARMOT BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ138-120100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-120100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-120100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-120100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
326 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
502 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE REGION SHOWS THE RIDGE OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA IS STILL THERE AND ANOTHER AREA OF HIGHER HEIGHTS
IS PRESENT OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE INTO THE CHUKCHI
SEA. THE FRONT THAT PUSHED ONSHORE FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA THIS
MORNING IS SEPARATING THESE TWO REGIONS BUT THIS FEATURE WILL
RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS THE RIDGE IS IN NO HURRY TO GO ANYWHERE. THE
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND SOUTHEAST
TO AROUND 35N 150W. THE MAIN JET STREAM IS SOUTH OF THIS TROUGH
AND IS RUNNING WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A JET
STREAK RUNNING SOUTH TO NORTH OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF
OF ALASKA IN THE AREA WHERE THE GRADIENT IS BEING INCREASED
BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND THE TROUGH BUT THIS IS NOT PART
OF THE MAIN JET STREAM. THERE IS A SURFACE LOW LOCATED IN THE
EASTERN BERING SEA. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW MOVED ON
SHORE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY REGION LAST NIGHT AND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA THIS MORNING. THIS LOW AND FRONT ARE SOURCE OF MOST OF
THE WEATHER OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA TODAY. A STRONGER LOW IS LOCATED
NEAR 40N 150W WHERE THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IS STRONGEST. THIS
LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND WILL BE THE SOURCE OF THE
NEXT ROUND OF STORMINESS IN SOUTHERN ALASKA...BUT WILL BE WEAKENING
AS IT REACHES THE AREA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE VERY CONSISTENT OVER THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
BEFORE THE FIRST REAL ISSUES BEGIN TO CREEP IN. THE NAM AND ECMWF
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE WAY THE LOW NEAR BRISTOL BAY
ELONGATES ON MONDAY. THE GFS HAS A MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE SOLUTION
WHICH KEEPS THE ENERGY MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AS A CLOSED OFF
LOW WITH THE MAIN LOW REMAINING IN THE GULF. MEANWHILE THE NAM
AND ECMWF DAMPEN OUT THIS SECONDARY LOW AND JUST SHOW IT AS A
WEAK TROUGH. WITHOUT ANY SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THE MORE
LIKELY SOLUTION IS THE ONE SHOWN BY THE NAM AND ECMWF.

ANOTHER AREA OF NOTE IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS MONDAY AND
BEYOND. UP UNTIL THEN THE MODELS RECOGNIZE THE PARENT LOW TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF ATTU WITH A STRONG TRIPLE POINT LOW TO ITS SOUTHEAST.
THE TRIPLE POINT WILL STALL AND ELONGATE AS IT APPROACHES THE
ALEUTIANS BUT THE SOLUTIONS BETWEEN THE MODELS IN HOW THIS WILL
HAPPEN VARY GREATLY. THE ECMWF AND GEM SOLUTIONS ARE MORE INTUITIVE
AND DEVELOP AS ONE WOULD EXPECT THE PATTERN TO DEVELOP. THE GFS
LOOKS LIKE IT IS CONSOLIDATING THE ENERGY INTO MOSTLY A SINGLE
CENTER WHICH IS LESS LIKELY GIVEN THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE WINDS AND PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISSIPATING
FRONT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ANOTHER
WAVE APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT.
THUS...THERE WILL ONLY BE A VERY SHORT BREAK IN PRECIPITATION (IF
ANY) FOR COASTAL AREAS. WINDS WILL PICK BACK UP AGAIN AHEAD OF
THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE GULF SUNDAY...AND
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT. GUSTY WINDS WILL
REMAIN THE MAIN FOCUS OF THIS FORECAST...WITH GALES REDEVELOPING
ACROSS MANY MARINE AREAS (WITH BRIEF STORMS FOR THE BARREN ISLANDS
MIDDAY SUNDAY) AND STRONG/BRISK GAP FLOWS IN THE FAVORED AREAS
SURROUNDING PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND TURNAGAIN ARM INTO SUNDAY
EVENING.

THE OTHER FOCUS FOR THIS FORECAST IS THE SPOTTY FREEZING RAIN
ACROSS THE MATSU/ANCHORAGE BOWL CONTINUING INTO THIS EVENING...AS
CROSS BARRIER FLOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND WE START TO SEE A SMALL
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION SPILL OVER INTO THE AREA. RAIN IS GENERALLY
EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL AREA...WITH A MIX OVER MOST INLAND
AREAS. SHOWERY CONDITIONS HAVE STARTED TO CONVERT TO A MORE STEADY
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST REGION...AS WARMER
TEMPS ALOFT BEGIN TO WORK INTO THE AREA AND STABILIZE THE AIRMASS.
STRATIFORM RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THIS AREA THROUGH SUNDAY...AS
THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. AS THIS FRONT
LINES UP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...AREAS ALONG THE COAST
WILL CONTINUE TO RECEIVE THE BRUNT OF THE PRECIPITATION...AS
DOWNSLOPE DRYING WILL LIMIT THE PRECIPITATION VALUES ON THE
LEEWARD SIDE OF THE CHUGACH AND KENAI RANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL REMAIN IN A SOMEWHAT ACTIVE BUT LOW
IMPACT PATTERN THROUGH EARLY IN THE WEEK AS VARIOUS WEAK
DISTURBANCES FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC CONTINUE TO TRACK
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND SKIRT THE COAST.
THIS WILL KEEP THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION FOCUSED FROM BRISTOL
BAY TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...ESPECIALLY WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL BE FURTHER ENHANCED
BY SOUTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW. TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR OR ABOVE
FREEZING WILL GENERALLY SUPPORT A RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THESE
AREAS...HELPING TO LIMIT ANY POTENTIAL ACCUMULATIONS. MEANWHILE...
LOCATIONS IN THE LEE OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL PRIMARILY SEE
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS GIVEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT CROSS BARRIER FLOW.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE DELTA WILL COME
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER FRONT NOSES IN THE
SOUTHEAST BERING...WITH TEMPERATURES LOOKING TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW FOR NOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A DECAYING FRONTAL ZONE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL KEEP A BAND
OF SNOW FOCUSED OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING SNOW LATER TONIGHT AS
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP IN COLD ADVECTION ON THE BACKSIDE
OF A SURFACE LOW RIDING ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO
IMPROVING CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW TRACKS TOWARDS THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA...WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUING
ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
IN AT THE SURFACE AND BRINGS A BRIEF ROUND OF DRY WEATHER TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE UPPER LEVELS AT 300 MB REFLECT AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWEST EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO THE UPPER YUKON TERRITORY
KEEPING SYSTEMS IN THE GULF. LOCATED UPSTREAM IS A TROUGH OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND A
CLOSED LOW POSITIONED JUST WEST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. THE
ONLY CHANGE WILL BE THE AMPLIFIED RIDGE WILL BE CONTINUE TO BUILD
AND RETROGRADE OVER THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE EXTENDING ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COASTLINE. THE TROUGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC LOCATED
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. WHILE THE UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW NEAR
THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL BECOME ELONGATED WITH MULTIPLE WEAKER
LOWS FORMING ALONG THE CHAIN.

REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE...THESE SYNOPTIC FEATURES WILL BE SEEN
AS A ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS EXTENDING EASTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC ON TUESDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL TRANSITION INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING
EASTWARD JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND BY SATURDAY. IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA THERE WILL BE ANOTHER ELONGATED LOW POSITIONED IN THE
CENTRAL GULF EXTENDING WESTWARD INTO THE BARREN ISLAND REGION BY
TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING BY WEDNESDAY. OVERALL...THE
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL AOR WILL HAVE WARMER TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES RECEIVING THE BULK
OF THE PRECIPITATION. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND THE WESTERN KENAI
WILL HAVE DOWNSLOPE (DRIER) CONDITIONS AS THIS SYSTEM DISSIPATES
BY MIDWEEK. ON THE BERING SIDE...THIS PATTERN WILL PRODUCE A
SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH
THE MIDWEEK TIME-FRAME HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MODELS CONTINUE
TO STRUGGLE WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPING OVER THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THIS IS
RESULTING IN THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEING BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH
THIS UPCOMING WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 130 131.
         GALE WARNING 120 125 132 136 137 138 139 140 165 170
                      179 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...PD