Gale Warning 553, NWS Anchorage, AK

906 
FZAK62 PAFC 041705 AAA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
905 AM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

UPDATED 411 AND 413

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-050330-
905 AM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 990 MB LOW NEAR 57N 178E DISSIPATES TONIGHT. A 976 MB NORTH
PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 49N 173E AT 968 MB TONIGHT...THEN TO 52N
178W AT 979 MB BY WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-050330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
905 AM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW TO NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE UP TO 15 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE UP TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ412-050330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
905 AM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT BUILDING TO 14 TO
22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.

$$

PKZ413-050330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
905 AM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT BUILDING TO 13 TO
22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ414-050330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
905 AM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT BUILDING TO 11 TO
20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.

$$

953 
FZAK62 PAFC 042320
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
320 PM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-051300-
320 PM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 971 MB LOW NEAR 49N 168E MOVES TO 50N 178E WED AFTERNOON AND
MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN TO 57N 179W AT 981 MB BY THU AFTERNOON.
A 955 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 48N 168E THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-051300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
320 PM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 56 N AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 56 N IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-051300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
320 PM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ413-051300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
320 PM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 55N
AND W OF 175W.
.WED...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.

$$

PKZ414-051300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
320 PM AKDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

185 
FZAK62 PAFC 051122
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
322 AM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-060115-
322 AM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 969 MB LOW NEAR 49N 174E MOVES TO 53N 180 AT 976 MB LATE
TONIGHT...THEN MOVES NORTHWEST TOWARDS KAMCHATKA BY THU NIGHT. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING MOVES TO THE EASTERN
BERING TONIGHT AND STALLS THERE THROUGH LATE THU NIGHT. A 948 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 50N 175E LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-060115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
322 AM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

.TODAY...NE TO SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 56 N IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE TO NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-060115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
322 AM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.

$$

PKZ413-060115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
322 AM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ414-060115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
322 AM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.

$$

366 
FZAK62 PAFC 052327
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
327 PM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-061400-
327 PM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 MB LOW NEAR 53N 178E MOVES TO 56N 179W AT 977 MB THU
MORNING...THEN MOVES NORTHWEST TOWARDS KAMCHATKA BY THU AFTERNOON.
AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING MOVES TO THE EASTERN
BERING TONIGHT AND STALLS THERE THROUGH FRI MORNING. A 954 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 52N 180 EARLY FRI MORNING.


$$

PKZ411-061400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
327 PM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING W 10 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING E UP TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-061400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
327 PM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ413-061400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
327 PM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-061400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
327 PM AKDT WED OCT 5 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

747 
FZAK62 PAFC 061124
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
324 AM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-070145-
324 AM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING MOVES TO THE EASTERN BERING
TONIGHT...THEN STALLS THERE THROUGH LATE FRI NIGHT. A 960 MB LOW
NEAR 48N 174E TONIGHT MOVES TO 52N 179W AT 955 MB FRI
MORNING...THEN MOVES TO 57N 180 AT 960 MB LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-070145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
324 AM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE UP TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-070145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
324 AM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING E 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 28 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ413-070145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
324 AM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT BUILDING TO 15 TO 23
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-070145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
324 AM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

119 
FZAK62 PAFC 062315
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
315 PM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-071230-
315 PM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING STALLS THROUGH LATE FRI NIGHT AND
WEAKENS. A 965 MB LOW NEAR 48N 175E TONIGHT MOVES TO 54N 176W AT
955 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO 59N 177E AT 965 MB SAT
AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS FRI MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING BY LATE
FRI.

$$

PKZ411-071230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
315 PM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ412-071230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
315 PM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING E 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ413-071230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
315 PM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ414-071230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
315 PM AKDT THU OCT 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

461 
FZAK62 PAFC 071139
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
339 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-080130-
339 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING MOVES INTO MAINLAND ALASKA SAT
EVENING. A 958 MB LOW NEAR 50N 180 MOVES TO 57N 176W AT 955 MB
LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVES NEAR KAMCHATKA SAT AFTERNOON. A 988 MB
LOW NEAR 51N 163W LATE TONIGHT MOVES TO 61N 170W AT 978 MB LATE
SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-080130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
339 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING N 20 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-080130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
339 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING E 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 27 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-080130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
339 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING E 35 TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ414-080130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
339 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING S 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

956 
FZAK62 PAFC 072307
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
307 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-081300-
307 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 955 MB LOW NEAR 54N 176W WILL MOVE TO 60N 178E AT 962 MB SAT
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO EASTERN SIBERIA SUN AFTERNOON. A 990 MB
LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR 56N 163W SAT AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 62N 168W
AT 988 MB BY SUN MORNING. A NORTHWEST PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 51N
173E AT 970 MB SUN AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ411-081300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
307 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-081300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
307 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 26 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-081300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
307 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-081300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
307 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

403 
FZAK62 PAFC 081137
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
337 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-090100-
337 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 959 MB LOW NEAR 57N 178W MOVES TO NEAR EASTERN RUSSIA THIS
EVENING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT NEAR THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST MOVES
INLAND TONIGHT. A 981 MB LOW NEAR 49N 174W SUN MORNING MOVES TO
53N 178W AT 965 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
337 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
337 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT BECOMING SW 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 TO 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
337 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
337 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

992 
FZAK62 PAFC 082302
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
302 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-091300-
302 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 962 MB LOW NEAR 60N 178E WILL MOVE TO NEAR EASTERN RUSSIA
TONIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE
INLAND OVER THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST TONIGHT. A NORTHWEST
PACIFIC LOW WILL BECOME A BROAD COMPLEX LOW CENTERED NEAR 53N
174W AT 964 MB BY MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-091300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
302 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ412-091300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
302 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 TO 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-091300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
302 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 22 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ414-091300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
302 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
419 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The current satellite loop shows the weak upper level trough
dropping south into the building ridge across southwest Alaska
resulting in continued cloud cover from Susitna Valley to the
northern Cook Inlet region and across Prince William Sound and the
Copper River Basin. West southwest flow across the ridge into the
southwest mainland is pushing some patches of marine stratus to
the Bristol Bay coast, although the subsidence under the ridge is
resulting in the evaporation of much of it. We have a large
anchoring low over eastern Russia with a developing storm over the
western bering Sea evident in the latest satellite imagery. a
trough is rapidly pushing west to east along the Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models continue to remain in excellent agreement in the short
term over the next few days. Toward the end of the week the models
have become much better aligned with respect to the next strong
storm expected over the central Aleutians Friday then diverge on
the solution as we progress through the weekend. This system will
have the remnants of former Typhoon Chaba in it. Forecast confidence
through Wednesday is very high.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Cigs and fog are the main issue for this evening and overnight
as clearing is anticipated as the ridging continues to build over south
central Alaska. Light to weak low level north wind overnight between
03Z and 18Z with the potential clearing may bring in some MVFR Cigs/Vsby
although confidence in this is low at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The upper level trough over Southcentral is being slow to clear
out of the areas which will keep cloud cover over most of the
region through tonight. Clearing should come from the Northeast
tomorrow, except for the Copper River Basin which will clear out
pretty good by morning. The clearing will cause temperatures to
drop to the coldest levels of the season so far Tuesday and
Wednesday nights over much of the area. Winds through channeled
terrain along the North Gulf Coast will persist through the night
and then ease up tomorrow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The next few days across the southwest mainland will be
characterized by dry conditions and partly to mostly sunny skies.
this is all thanks to a ridge of high pressure that will be
protecting the area from the multiple weather fronts that will be
sweeping through the Bering Sea this week. Meanwhile, with high
pressure and generally light winds for the next few forecast
periods, overnight/morning patchy fog is likely to remain a
concern in protected parts of the Bristol bay zone and
potentially up along the Kuskokwim Delta coast as well.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Unsettled weather/typical fall storminess will continue as
multiple gale- force fronts sweep through the western 2/3 of the
area this week. gusty winds and rounds of heavy rain will continue
for much of the area. The storm mid-week looks to be a bit
stronger than the current front impacting the western Aleutians,
and will be monitored for the potential to reach minimal storm-
force criteria over the next few forecast packages. In the eastern
1/3 of the area, much more benign conditions will prevail as high
pressure aloft causes the weather fronts to weaken considerably or
dissipate altogether before reaching the far eastern sections of
the Bering Sea/Aleutians.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The most active weather through the end of this week will continue
to be focused around the Bering Sea and Aleutians, where a series
of at least gale force lows will quickly pass through the region.
Meanwhile over the Mainland, ridging should prevent the associated
fronts from reaching the southwest coast. The main challenge over
the past few days continues to be determining the strength and
longevity of the blocking ridge that will develop over the
Mainland. The models have trended back towards stronger ridging
that would persist through the end of this week. This pattern
would keep most of the active weather that will be moving through
the Bering this week from reaching the Mainland or Gulf until this
weekend. Starting Friday, there remains reasonable agreement that
the remnants of Super Typhoon Chaba will move through the
Aleutians, and likely shift the blocking ridge northward, however
the challenge remains how far. Due to this uncertainty the
forecast for this weekend heavily uses ensembles from WPC
guidance, but this will likely need to be updated as model
agreement improves.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales 173 174 175 176 177 178 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AD
LONG TERM...DEK