Gale Warning 333, NWS Anchorage, AK

423 
FZAK51 PAFC 042333
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051230-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF TONIGHT WITH A REINFORCING SURGE ON WED. THE ASSOCIATED 991
MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK TUE AFTERNOON MOVES TO NEAR
SITKINAK WED MORNING.


$$

PKZ119-051230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT...STRONGEST ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT ALONG THE COAST IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-051230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT...STRONGEST ALONG THE COAST...DIMINISHING
TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT IN THE EVENING BUILDING TO 10
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-051230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING N WIND 15 KT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-051230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE WIND 25
KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-051230-
PORT VALDEZ-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-051230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-051230-
VALDEZ ARM-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE WIND 20
KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-051230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-051230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-051230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-051230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-051230-
CHINIAK BAY-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-051230-
MARMOT BAY-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-051230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT IN THE MORNING BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-051230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-051230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-051230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
333 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

615 
FZAK51 PAFC 051153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060100-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT MOVES OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH WED. A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF KLAWOCK AT 1007 MB WED AFTERNOON AND
TRACKS TO 95 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT INTENSIFYING TO 997 MB THU
MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-060100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO
30 KT NEAR THE COAST EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-060100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. GUST TO 25 KT EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-060100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-060100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-060100-
PORT VALDEZ-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-060100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-060100-
VALDEZ ARM-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-060100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-060100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-060100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-060100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-060100-
CHINIAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-060100-
MARMOT BAY-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-060100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-060100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-060100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-060100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
418 PM AKDT SUN APR 3 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC
WITH A STRONG RIDGE TO THE WEST AND A LESS AMPLIFIED RIDGE TO THE
EAST. THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE TO THE EAST STRETCHES FROM THE
SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE MAINLAND AND EXTENDS
THROUGH THE SEWARD PENINSULA. A STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR IS SENDING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS. ANOTHER FRONT...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF AND
ADVANCING NORTHWESTWARD IS ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER STACKED LOW
THAT IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE GULF.

DRIVING THIS PATTERN OVERALL IS A STRONG AMPLIFYING JET STREAK
OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THIS JET
LOCATED SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS IS SUPPORTING
STRENGTHENING OF DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH AND SUBSEQUENT WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEMS AS THEY
TRACK FURTHER NORTH TOWARDS THE MAINLAND AND AWAY FROM THE UPPER-
LEVEL SUPPORT.

OVER THE MAINLAND...WEAK UPPER-LEVEL WAVES WITHIN MOIST
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ARE SUPPORTING SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AND A GRADUALLY WEAKENING SURFACE HIGH...LEADING TO ANOTHER
MILD AND DRY SPRING DAY. FURTHER WEST...NORTHERLY FLOW WITH COLD
AIR ADVECTION OVER THE BERING IS SUPPORTING THE TYPICAL SHOWERS
OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES
THROUGH THE MID TERM. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD WHILE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE MAINLAND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. LATEST MODEL
RUNS ARE TRENDING TOWARDS SLIGHTLY HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS OVER COASTAL
SOUTHCENTRAL AS THE FRONT PUSHES ONSHORE TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING. OTHER THAN THAT...MODELS ARE STILL INDICATING A
PRECIP SHADOW OVER THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND OVER ANCHORAGE
WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE MOISTURE REMAINING ON THE WINDWARD SIDE
OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. AS HAS BEEN THE TREND RECENTLY...THE NAM
WAS USED FOR THE FORECAST PACKAGE FOR ITS HIGHER RESOLUTION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...MON AND TUE)...
A VERY SPRING-LIKE DAY HAS SET UP FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL AK.
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING GAVE WAY TO SOME
FAIR-WEATHER AFTERNOON CUMULUS CLOUDS AND SEA BREEZES THIS
AFTERNOON. THE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE THIS EVENING AFTER DAYTIME
HEATING AND MAKE FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DECENT AURORA VIEWING
CONDITIONS FOR MANY PLACES. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS IS KODIAK. A
WEAK FRONT IS STRETCHED ACROSS THE ISLAND FROM SOUTHEAST TO
NORTHWEST. THIS IS BRINGING GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND LIGHT
PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF THE ISLAND...ESPECIALLY AREAS NEAR
AKHIOK. THIS FRONT WILL FALL APART THIS EVENING BEFORE BEING
REINFORCED BY YET ANOTHER FRONT ON MON. THE NEW FRONT WILL BE
COURTESY OF A LOW APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC NEAR COLD
BAY. THIS LOW WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO START
THE WORK WEEK. AS THE FRONT SLIDES NORTH THROUGH KODIAK...IT WILL
JOIN FORCES WITH ANOTHER WEAK FRONT OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF. THIS
WILL ALL WORK IN TANDEM TO INCREASE THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WHICH SHOULD HELP TO RAMP UP SOME OF THE LOCAL OUTFLOW WINDS
(MATANUSKA VALLEY...THOMPSON PASS...RESURRECTION BAY).

BY TUE...THE ELONGATED FRONT WILL SWING INTO THE COAST. THIS WILL
USHER CLOUD COVER BACK OVER THE MAINLAND AND SPREAD A HEALTHY
AMOUNT OF RAIN TO COASTAL SITES. IT WILL ALSO MAKE FOR A MINIMUM
GALE-FORCE BARRIER JET. MANY INLAND LOCATIONS COULD REMAIN DRY
THROUGH TUE UNDER CROSS-BARRIER FLOW. BUT WE CANNOT RULE OUT THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT SPILL OVER PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY
LATER TUE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER AROUND THE COASTAL AREAS OF
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THIS EVENING...AS THE WEAK TROUGH TRACKS
FURTHER NORTHWEST AND OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. A FRONT
ATTACHED TO A LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
PARTS OF THE BRISTOL BAY AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
FRONT WILL STRUGGLE TO MOVE FURTHER INLAND AS THE PARENT LOW
WEAKENS AND STALLS SOUTH OF COLD BAY MONDAY MORNING....LIMITING
THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND.
THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL START OFF CONFINED TO UPSLOPE
LOCATIONS OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE A
FEW SHOWERS BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE AREA REMAIN UNSEASONABLY WARM...AND THE MODELS SHOW THAT THIS
ABNORMALLY WARM PERIOD OF WEATHER SHOWS NO SIGNS OF CHANGING IN
THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA
THROUGH MONDAY...BEFORE A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW ENTERING THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA TUESDAY MORNING. PRIOR TO
THAT...A LOW CURRENTLY SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE SOUTH OF
COLD BAY MONDAY AFTERNOON...PUSHING A FRONT THROUGH THE
SOUTHEASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
MUCH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE TEMPERATURES A GOOD BIT
ABOVE NORMAL. HOWEVER...THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO
FEEL THE EFFECT OF A COLDER AIR MASS THAT CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH
FROM SIBERIA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRETCH ACROSS THE BERING WITH ITS
MAIN CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN BERING LATE ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL
BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE BERING AND NORTH GULF COAST. EARLY
FRIDAY RIDGING WILL BUILD BACK IN OVER EASTERN ALASKA WHILE THE
TROUGH STAYS OVER THE BERING WHICH WILL BRING ANOTHER PUSH OF
WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. THERE IS OVERALL
DECENT AGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS WITH PLACEMENT OF THE MAJOR
FEATURES...ESPECIALLY WITH THE RIDGE. HOWEVER...THEY ARE STILL
STRUGGLING WITH SMALLER LOWS THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BROAD
TROUGH.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120 130 131 138 150 155 172 173 174.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PEPE
LONG TERM...DK