Gale Warning 324, NWS Anchorage, AK

644 
FZAK52 PAFC 012322
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-021215-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 985 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT MOVES TO 50 NM WEST OF
NOME AS A 1003 MB CENTER BY SUN MORNING. A 981 MB LOW 280 NM
SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT AT
996 MB BY SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-021215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-021215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-021215-
BRISTOL BAY-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-021215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-021215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-021215-
UNALASKA BAY-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-021215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-021215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-021215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-021215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-021215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-021215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ178-021215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-021215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ180-021215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-021215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-021215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
322 PM AKDT FRI APR 1 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 25 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 
25 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
450 PM AKDT THU MAR 31 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN THAT HAS CONTROLLED SOUTHERN ALASKAS
ACTIVE WEATHER THIS WEEK REMAINS LARGELY IN PLACE DUE TO THE
PERSISTENCE OF A STRONG BLOCKING RIDGE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA.
HOWEVER...THE RIDGE IS STARTING TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD AND
BREAK DOWN AS A STACKED LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN A NEGATIVELY TILTED
TROUGH UPSTREAM BEGINS TO ERODE THE RIDGE. THIS PATTERN CHANGE IS
ONLY SLOWLY STARTING TO EVOLVE...SO FOR NOW THE RECENT PATTERN
OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA PERSISTS. MOISTURE ADVECTION CONTINUES OVER
SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA AND INTO THE INTERIOR AS THE MOISTURE SPILLS
OVER THE RIDGE AXIS. A SURFACE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NORTH PACIFIC LOW HAS PROGRESSED NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD AND
STRETCHES FROM THE CENTRAL INTERIOR THROUGH THE NORTON SOUND AND
ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. BEHIND THIS
FRONT THE WARMER AIR IS SLOWLY STARTING TO MAKE ITS WAY TO THE
SURFACE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THIS IS RESULTING IN A MIXED BAG
OF PRECIPITATION TYPES OVER THE AREA. RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE VALLEY TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN OVER BETHEL
SUPPORTED BY SUB-FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WARMER AIR
ALOFT. THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTION OF THE DELTA IS
EXPERIENCING SNOW AS COLD STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW SLOWS THE
ADVANCE OF THE WARMER AIR ALOFT MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST.

ELSEWHERE..AS THE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
SHIFTS NORTHWARD GUSTY AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE
BERING AND ALEUTIANS. A NORTHWARD ADVANCING GALE FORCE FRONT OVER
KODIAK ISLAND AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS BRINGING GUSTY
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TO THE WESTERN GULF COAST. QUIETER WEATHER IS
IN PLACE OVER THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL...WHICH IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE. LACK OF SURFACE SNOW COVER AND WARM
AIR STREAMING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST IS SUPPORTING NEAR RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY OVER THE MATANUSKA AND SUSITNA VALLEYS...THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN...ANCHORAGE...AND THE KENAI PENINSULA. THE ONLY
FACTOR KEEPING THE TEMPERATURES RELATIVELY MODERATED IS MID-LEVEL
AND HIGH- LEVEL CLOUD COVER SPILLING OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

SYNOPTICALLY MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT. DIVING IN TO MORE
LOCAL DETAILS...THE MAIN PROBLEM AREA OF FOCUS TODAY IS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. PRECIPITATION TYPE CONCERNS REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN
KUSKOKWIM DELTA WHERE A COLD POOL REMAINS IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE
WHILE IT SLOWLY ERODES FURTHER EAST. QUESTIONS ARISE AS TO HOW
LONG THAT COLD POOL WILL STICK AROUND..WHICH WILL INFLUENCE
PRECIPITATION TYPE ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM COAST. ANOTHER AREA OF
FOCUS TODAY HAS BEEN THE HANDLING OF A NORTH PACIFIC TRIPLE POINT
LOW AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA. WHILE
THE MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE TRACK AND
INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM...THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO HOW MODELS
ARE HANDLING WINDS OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AS THE STRENGTHENING
LOW MOVES ACROSS THE PENINSULA. WITH ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES
SYNOPTICALLY BETWEEN THE MODELS...A HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM/GEM
BLEND WAS USED FOR THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE SHARP UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA
PANHANDLE UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WILL SHIFT NORTHEAST
AND INLAND TONIGHT ALLOWING A FRONTAL SYSTEM TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK NORTH TO CROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE NORTH THROUGH
THE EASTERN BERING. MEANWHILE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE THE
GULF WITH PRESSURE RISES FURTHER STRENGTHENING SOUTHEASTERLY GAP
WINDS ONCE THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH ON FRIDAY. GENERALLY SHOWERY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH
ABUNDANT SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING
MOUNTAINS AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS IN DOWNSLOPING
REGIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
FREEZING RAIN OVER THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM DELTA CONTINUES TO WRAP-UP
EARLY THIS EVENING (MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF BETHEL)...AS A VERY
POTENT WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN BERING.
WHILE SIGNIFICANT WARM AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE IN ALOFT FROM THE
SOUTH (AS SEEN ON THE 12Z BETHEL RAOB)...GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS AT THE SURFACE CONTINUE TO TAP INTO AND FILTER COLDER AIR
FROM THE INTERIOR. FREEZING RAIN BY NATURE WARMS UP SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AS LATENT HEAT IS RELEASED WHEN THE RAIN FREEZES.
HOWEVER...THE COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE INTERIOR HAS
HINDERED SURFACE TEMPERATURES FROM CLIMBING AS MUCH AS EXPECTED
TODAY. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING WEST OF BETHEL...BEFORE PICKING
UP AGAIN OVER THE ENTIRE ZONE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS ANOTHER
FRONT QUICKLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE REGION THIS
EVENING...AS THE NEXT FRONT TRACKS NORTHWARD OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT. IT DOES NOT LOOK AS IF PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE OF MUCH
CONCERN...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE FREEZING DURING
MUCH OF THE EVENT. THIS RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...AS TEMPERATURES DIP BELOW OR NEAR FREEZING BUT
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINOR.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

WINDS AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY TAPPER OFF EARLY THIS
EVENING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTHWEST OF THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS. A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG A SECOND
FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...WHICH WILL
STRENGTHEN AS IT PUSHES THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN BERING BY SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO
THE EASTERN HALF BERING SEA...WHILE THE WESTERN HALF WILL SEE
WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF
THE SYSTEM THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS ARE SHOWING A DECENT SWATH OF
PRESSURE RISES ALONG THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN...WHICH CAN
PRODUCE SOME SLIGHTLY STRONGER GAP DRIVEN WINDS ALONG THE AKPEN
AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
STARTING THIS WEEKEND THE CURRENT PERSISTENT PATTERN OF A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE BERING/NOPAC WITH RIDGING OVER THE
PANHANDLE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AS RIDGING DIMINISHES AND
SHIFTS WELL TO THE SOUTH ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE
UPPER TROUGH AXIS TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM...SHIFTING THE STORM TRACK
FROM THE AKPEN/SOUTHWEST MAINLAND (WHERE IT CURRENT IS) EASTWARD
INTO THE GULF. THIS SHIFT WILL BRING MORE ACTIVE WEATHER
THROUGHOUT THE GULF AND SOUTH MAINLAND AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE
INTO THE AREA BY MONDAY. PRECIPITATION IN THIS PATTERN WILL
HEAVILY FAVOR TO GULF COAST...WHILE INTERIOR LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE
MAINLY SPOTTY SHOWERS AND CLOUDY SKIES WITH PERSISTENT
DOWNSLOPING. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY FROM THE CURRENT NEAR
RECORD WARMTH AS RIDGING DISSIPATES...HOWEVER WITH MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW MOST OF THE SOUTH MAINLAND WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 132 150 177 179 181 185 352 411 412 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...DEK