Gale Warning 209, NWS Anchorage, AK

376 
FZAK51 PAFC 291248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010215-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT PRESSES OVER SOUTHERN KODIAK ISLAND TOWARDS THE
NORTH GULF COAST BY TUE MORNING. A 993 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF
KLAWOCK MOVES TO 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AS A 999 MB
LOW WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-010215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010215-
PORT VALDEZ-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010215-
VALDEZ ARM-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010215-
CHINIAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010215-
MARMOT BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-010215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

491 
FZAK51 PAFC 292350
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011230-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF
COAST MON NIGHT. RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE GULF THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT TOWARD THE COAST. SEAS
16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING N 
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT TOWARD EVENING. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011230-
PORT VALDEZ-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011230-
VALDEZ ARM-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 20 KT DEVELOPING LATE AFTERNOON NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2
FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011230-
CHINIAK BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011230-
MARMOT BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
TOWARD MORNING. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-011230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
535 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW SITS SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH
MULTIPLE SMALLER LOWS EMBEDDED IN IT. ONE OF THOSE LOWS IS MOVING
FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF TO THE WEST TO BE ABSORBED BY THE MAIN LOW.
ITS FRONT ALREADY PUSHING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. WITH RIDGING
OFF TO THE EAST WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW IS BEING BROUGHT UP FROM THE
SOUTH OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA KEEPING MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION RAIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING WHEN THEY
STRUGGLE WITH A NEW LOW MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH TOWARDS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND ITS MERGING WITH THE OLD PARENT LOW. THERE
ARE ALSO DISCREPANCIES WITH THE FORMATION OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW
ALONG THE FRONT OF NEW LOW. THE EC SOLUTION WAS PREFERRED WHICH
PUSHES THE TRIPLE POINT LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A FRONT CURRENTLY STRETCHES ACROSS CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA...WITH
A TRIPLE POINT CENTERED NEAR KODIAK ISLAND. TO THE NORTH OF THIS
FRONT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ACROSS THE NORTH
GULF COAST...WITH EVEN A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES OCCURRING JUST
SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AS THIS
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTHWARD TODAY. ALTHOUGH COOLER AIR
EXISTS BEHIND THIS FRONT AT MID-LEVELS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
ADVECT WARMER SURFACE MARINE AIR TOWARDS THE GULF COAST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AS A RESULT...ONCE MORE PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY RAIN OR RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW TODAY
INTO TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
ELEVATED PASSES IN EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND NEAR HATCHER PASS WHERE
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL. ONCE MORE DOWNSLOPING IS
EXPECTED TO LIMIT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND
WEST KENAI PENINSULA.

ON MONDAY...DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG
THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHCENTRAL...BEFORE THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHES
THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT WET PATTERN THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AS A FRONT AND A TRAILING SHORTWAVE TRANSIT THE
REGION THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE THIS EVENING AS THE TRAILING SHORTWAVE
ROTATES NORTHWARD. AS THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH...PRECIPITATION WILL
TAPER OFF MONDAY MORNING WITH DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION.

WINDS WILL BE GUSTY ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST TODAY INTO THIS
EVENING AS THE LOW NEAR COLD BAY MOVES EASTWARD. WINDS OVER THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION WILL INCREASE AGAIN TOMORROW AS A SECOND LOW
APPROACHES THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ON MONDAY
WILL LIKELY BE ALONG THE BRISTOL BAY COAST AND THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD
TROUGH WITH A SERIES OF LOWS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION
OF THE REGION. AS THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR COLD BAY
THIS MORNING MOVES EASTWARD AND ELONGATES...WIDESPREAD AREAS OF
PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS TODAY. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA TOMORROW MORNING AS THIS FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD.
A SECOND NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHING THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
MONDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS BEFORE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR OR AT GALE FORCE ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE BERING SEA AS THE RIDGE REMAINS FIRMLY IN PLACE
OVER NORTHEASTERN RUSSIA. GALES SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING BEFORE RAMPING BACK UP TO GALE FORCE BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE SECOND LOW MOVES INTO THE AREA. BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND BRISTOL
BAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE THROUGH MONDAY LATE EVENING BEFORE
SLOWLY DIMINISHING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ACTIVE WET PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF AND ALASKA
PENINSULA AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS THE DOMINANT WEATHER PATTERN
SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INLAND DUE
TO DOWNSLOPING ALONG MOUNTAINS AND SURFACE RIDGING THAT REBUILDS
INTO CENTRAL ALASKA AT THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE IN
FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST WAS INFLUENCED WITH THE ECMWF AS IT PROVIDED BETTER
CONSISTENCY FOR UPDATES.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 130 131 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 172 179
              180 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RF
LONG TERM...KH