Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 160, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 11, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 11, 2016, 9:53 PM AKST. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2016, 9:53 PM AKST (06:53 UTC)
Expired
Feb 13, 2016, 3:32 AM AKST
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

335 
FZAK51 PAFC 120653 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

UPDATE TO ZONE 119

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121915-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 988 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK DRIFTS TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK
AT 990 MB EARLY FRI...THEN DISSIPATES. A 987 MB LOW 480 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 140 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 988 MB
FRI AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATES. A 984 MB LOW DEVELOPS 340 NM SOUTH
OF SITKINAK LATE FRI NIGHT AND MOVES TO 150 NM EAST OF SITKINAK AT
987 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-121915-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-121915-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-121915-
RESURRECTION BAY-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-121915-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-121915-
PORT VALDEZ-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-121915-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-121915-
VALDEZ ARM-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-121915-
PASSAGE CANAL-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-121915-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-121915-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-121915-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-121915-
CHINIAK BAY-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-121915-
MARMOT BAY-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-121915-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-121915-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-121915-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-121915-
KACHEMAK BAY-
953 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
4 follow-up statements
607 
FZAK51 PAFC 121205
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130100-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 984 MB LOW 325 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF FRI EVENING. A FRONT MOVES
INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF SAT MORNING THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
GULF SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-130100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130100-
PORT VALDEZ-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130100-
VALDEZ ARM-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130100-
CHINIAK BAY-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130100-
MARMOT BAY-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-130100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
305 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
438 
FZAK51 PAFC 130000
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131245-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD BECOMES MOVE INLAND OVER THE
KENAI PENINSULA THIS EVENING AND WEAKENS. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF SAT MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF
SAT NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED 981 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK
SAT MORNING MOVES INLAND NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AT 987 MB SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-131245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT NEAR THE COAST...BECOMING
S 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT...EXCEPT 18 FT NEAR THE COAST
E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-131245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-131245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-131245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-131245-
PORT VALDEZ-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-131245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-131245-
VALDEZ ARM-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-131245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-131245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-131245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-131245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-131245-
CHINIAK BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-131245-
MARMOT BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-131245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-131245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-131245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-131245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
274 
FZAK51 PAFC 131059 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

UPDATED AREA 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-132315-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD BECOMES MOVE INLAND OVER THE
KENAI PENINSULA THIS EVENING AND WEAKENS. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF SAT MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF
SAT NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED 981 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK
SAT MORNING MOVES INLAND NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AT 987 MB SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-132315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT NEAR THE COAST...BECOMING
S 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT...EXCEPT 18 FT NEAR THE COAST
E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-132315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-132315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-132315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-132315-
PORT VALDEZ-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-132315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-132315-
VALDEZ ARM-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-132315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-132315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-132315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-132315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-132315-
CHINIAK BAY-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-132315-
MARMOT BAY-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-132315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-132315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-132315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-132315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
159 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
201 
FZAK51 PAFC 131232
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140115-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK ISLAND WILL BE A 985 MB
LOW 25 NM NORTH OF KODIAK CITY SAT NIGHT THEN MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA AND DISSIPATES.

$$

PKZ119-140115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-140115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-140115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-140115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-140115-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-140115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-140115-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-140115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-140115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-140115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-140115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING
SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-140115-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-140115-
MARMOT BAY-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-140115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-140115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-140115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-140115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 11, 4:39 PM AKST, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 4:39 PM AKST, 5 hours 14 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
439 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN EXPANSIVE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPANNING ACROSS THE GULF TO THE
EASTERN BERING HAS A STRONG DEVELOPING WAVE LIFTING NORTH TOWARD
THE EASTERN GULF. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR RAIN AND
SNOW DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS THE GULF
AND SOUTHERN MAINLAND. ANOTHER CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
PUSHED A FRONT INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND IS SLOWLY ORGANIZING
AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE CHAIN. A THIRD LOW...IS NEARLY STATIONARY
OVER THE NORTHWEST TERRITORY AND IS MOVING WEAK WAVES TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST COAST.

 &&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE NAM AND GFS WERE BEST ALIGNED THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT AND WERE USED FOR INITIAL FORECAST EDITS. A SHIFT TOWARD THE
ECMWF PATTERN WAS MADE FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...AS IT HAS PERFORMED
WITH THE BEST CONSISTENCY IN HANDLING THE FRONT MOVING TOWARD THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF FRONTS MOVING THROUGH THE GULF WILL
SPREAD ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF COAST
TONIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
MAINLY RAIN IN MOST LOCATIONS. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL THEN
MOVE INLAND ON FRIDAY MORNING AND BRING A CHANCE FOR A FEW SNOW
SHOWERS ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE COASTAL RANGE. A FEW POCKETS OF
FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FROM ANCHORAGE INTO THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY AS A LAYER OF WARMER AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ALOFT
AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES HOVER JUST BELOW FREEZING. HOWEVER...ANY
PRECIPITATION THAT DOES MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT WITH NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
REMAIN FOCUSED ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO THE WEEKEND IN PERSISTENT
ONSHORE FLOW AS AN EMBEDDED SURFACE LOW MOVES TOWARDS THE GULF
COAST. AN ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW WILL OPEN INTO A TROUGH AND LIFT
NORTHWARD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION TO INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAK DEFORMATION BAND SETTING UP OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
THIS EVENING WILL BRING SNOWFALL TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF BRISTOL
BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THIS WILL BE A RELATIVELY WEAK
FEATURE...SO ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER AND INCH OR TWO IN
MOST PLACES. FURTHER TO THE EAST MOST AREAS OF BRISTOL BAY SHOULD
REMAIN DRY WITH DOWNSLOPING OFF OF THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGES.
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA SHOULD ALSO SEE ONLY PASSING SNOW SHOWERS AS
THE DEFORMATION BAND WILL MOSTLY DISSIPATE OFF TO THE EAST.
OTHERWISE THE WEATHER WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET INTO SATURDAY WITH
DIMINISHING WINDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
BROAD EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE BERING WILL KEEP WEATHER THROUGHOUT MUCH
OF THE AREA QUIET THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL CLIP THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS...BRINGING RAIN/SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE ASSOCIATED LOW WILL HOWEVER REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA SO IMPACTS
SHOULD BE MINIMAL. THIS FRONT WILL THEN SLIDE INTO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS/AKPEN FOR SATURDAY...HOWEVER WINDS THROUGHOUT THE AREA
WILL REMAIN BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A DRAMATIC WEATHER CHANGE IS CURRENTLY IN STORE FOR THE LONG
TERM...AS THE JET PUSHES NORTHWARD AND USHERS IN A MUCH MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. CURRENTLY THE JET IS LOCATED IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC WELL TO THE SOUTH OF ALASKA. HOWEVER...BY DAY THREE THE
JET UNDULATES AND PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN BERING. MODELS INDICATE
THE SUBSEQUENT RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT
WILL STRENGTHEN AND RUSH TOWARDS THE WESTERN COAST OF ALASKA BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL USHER IN A MUCH WETTER PATTERN
FOR THE WESTERN MAINLAND...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS THROUGH GAPS AND
ALONG THE COAST. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL THEN
LIKELY PUSH ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND. WHILE THERE
CURRENTLY IS COPIOUS UNCERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY AND TIMING OF
THE FRONT...IT IS LIKELY THAT AT LEAST A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL
IMPACT SOUTHCENTRAL BY NEXT THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...EN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 3:19 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Feb 11, 3:32 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Feb 12, 3:05 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Feb 12, 3:05 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.