Gale Warning 156, NWS Anchorage, AK

986 
FZAK52 PAFC 101257 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

CORRECTED TYPO

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110200-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 968 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTH OF
DUTCH HARBOR AT 986 MB AND DISSIPATES FRI MORNING. A 982 MB LOW
615 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU WED AFTERNOON MOVES TO 330 NM SOUTH OF
AMCHITKA AT 976 MB FRI MORNING. A SECOND 982 MB LOW 525 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ADAK THU AFTERNOON MOVES TO 415 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT 971 MB FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-110200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-110200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-110200-
BRISTOL BAY-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-110200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-110200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-110200-
UNALASKA BAY-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ172-110200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-110200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING N 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-110200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-110200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-110200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-110200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-110200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-110200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-110200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-110200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-110200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO
30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

058 
FZAK52 PAFC 101719 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

UPDATED ZONE 181

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110415-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 968 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTH OF
DUTCH HARBOR AT 986 MB AND DISSIPATES FRI MORNING. A 982 MB LOW
615 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU WED AFTERNOON MOVES TO 330 NM SOUTH OF
AMCHITKA AT 976 MB FRI MORNING. A SECOND 982 MB LOW 525 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ADAK THU AFTERNOON MOVES TO 415 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT 971 MB FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-110415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-110415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-110415-
BRISTOL BAY-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-110415-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-110415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-110415-
UNALASKA BAY-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ172-110415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-110415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING N 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-110415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-110415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-110415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-110415-
ADAK TO KISKA-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-110415-
KISKA TO ATTU-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-110415-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-110415-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-110415-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-110415-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
819 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO
30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

550 
FZAK52 PAFC 110001
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-111300-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY MOVES TO 200 NM SOUTHWEST
OF COLD BAY AT 986 MB BEFORE DISSIPATING BY LATE THU. A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED 480 NM SOUTHWEST OF KISKA THU
AFTERNOON MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTH OF ATKA FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-111300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND S...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND S...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-111300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE
WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-111300-
BRISTOL BAY-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-111300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER
E...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-111300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-111300-
UNALASKA BAY-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-111300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-111300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-111300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO
5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-111300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-111300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-111300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ178-111300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ179-111300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-111300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE
NEWENHAM NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF
CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-111300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-111300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
301 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
ICE EDGE.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
ICE EDGE.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
THE ICE EDGE. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
455 PM AKST TUE FEB 9 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
IR/WV SATELLITE SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING UP FROM THE
EASTERN PACIFIC TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND WITH ANOTHER BROADER CLOSED
SYSTEM SPINNING IN PLACE JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE
SYSTEM MOVING TOWARD KODIAK IS A STACKED SYSTEM WITH A DEEP LAYER
OF MOISTURE AROUND THE CENTER OF THE LOW. A FEW SHOWERS ARE
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND KENAI PENINSULA AS WEAK DISTURBANCES
PROPAGATE NORTH TOWARD THE MAINLAND...OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS
PREVAIL INLAND UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TO THE WEST...A
DEFORMATION ZONE IS SETTING UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING BETWEEN
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CHAIN AND RIDGING TO THE NORTH. RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS SPREAD ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODEL AGREEMENT IS GOOD THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH THE GENERAL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH THURSDAY...HOWEVER SURFACE DETAILS WERE
BEST HANDLED BY THE ECMWF AND NAM AND WERE USED TO UPDATE THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE. THE MAIN CHALLENGE FOR MIDWEEK IS THE STORM
SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARD KODIAK AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT.
GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM PEAK TONIGHT AND THEN
SLOWLY DIMINISH ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER SURFACE LOW QUICKLY FOLLOWS
A SIMILAR PATH LATE WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE LOW SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF ALASKA IS CURRENTLY LIFTING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF WHERE
EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE TONIGHT. IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF ALONG KODIAK ISLAND AS WELL AS IN SHELIKOF
STRAIT...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO STORMS LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WHICH CURRENTLY
EXTENDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL
LIFT NORTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT TO BE
STRETCHED OVER KODIAK ISLAND...THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

THE INITIAL IMPACT OF THIS FRONT WILL BE TO INCREASE NORTH TO
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH TERRAIN GAPS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
SUBSTANTIALLY TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH THOMPSON PASS BY LATE THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL SPREAD OVER
THOMPSON PASS AND THE VALDEZ AREA MID MORNING WEDNESDAY AND TO THE
MOUNTAINS OF THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AT
LOWER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE COAST PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY BE
RAIN WHILE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS WILL BE HEAVILY
RAIN SHADOWED. ANOTHER FRONTAL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH AN ADDITIONAL
SURFACE LOW ROTATING TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL SWING FROM
EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE GULF AND GULF COAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A THIRD WAVE ENTERING THE EASTERN GULF
ON THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE STORM FORCE LOW TRACKS CLOSER TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FROM
THE PACIFIC SIDE TONIGHT...THIS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW THROUGH SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
BE ALONG THE WESTERN CAPES AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA BEFORE
DIMINISHING AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WILL SPILL-OVER FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF ACROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE STORM FORCE LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS WILL ALLOW
THE WINDS TO DIMINISH TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS THROUGH
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. THE NEXT STORM FORCE LOW WILL
TRACK SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL BRING STRONG GALE FORCE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS BY LATE TONIGHT EXTENDING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE...LOOK FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THE EASTERN CHAIN
WITH THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLING AS RAIN. THE REST OF
THE BERING SEA WILL REMAIN WITH THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WITH COLDER
TEMPERATURES AS YOU GO FARTHER NORTH TOWARD THE BERING STRAIT. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE A WINTRY MIX FOR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN/BERING
SEA. WHILE THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL
BE UNDER A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH ALL PRECIPITATION FALLING
AS SNOW THROUGH THE MIDWEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE OVERALL PROGRESSION OF THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN OVER THE BERING SEA AND NORTH PACIFIC. THE
AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE TROUGH SITUATED OVER THE BERING SEA AND NORTH
PACIFIC WILL SLOWLY PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND SWITCH FROM A NEGATIVE
TILT TO A POSITIVE TILT AS THE JET ENERGY TRANSITIONS FROM THE
ENTRANCE REGION OF THE TROUGH TO THE EXIT REGION. AS THIS
HAPPENS...SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
FEATURES WILL IMPACT THE GULF OF ALASKA AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.
SEVERAL FRONTS WILL IMPACT MAINLY THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WHICH
WILL KEEP RAINFALL CHANCES PRETTY HIGH AS RAIN UPSLOPES ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS. WITH NOT A LOT OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THESE FRONT
SHOULD FALL APART ALONG THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS AND LEAVE MUCH OF
INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL ON THE DRY SIDE. SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE
BERING SEA WILL BE ON THE SHOWERY SIDE WITH NO STRONG FEATURES
EXPECTED UNTIL LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WHEN MODELS START HINTING
AT A DECENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM REPLACING THE SLOWLY DEPARTING
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE REASON FOR THE SHOWERY REGIME IS DUE IN
LARGE PART TO THE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LONGWAVE
TROUGH. THE AMPLITUDE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH IS SUCH THAT IT IS
PREVENTING ANY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TO BE
ABLE TO RE-CURVE INTO THE BERING SEA. TEMPERATURES LOOKS TO
REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND BEFORE SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION IS EXPECTED ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ON TUESDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 127 130 131 139 160 165 180.
	 	 STORM STORM 132 138 150.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 180 185.

&&