Gale Warning 138, NWS Anchorage, AK

562 
FZAK51 PAFC 031223 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040145-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 962 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK MOVES TO 230 NM SOUTHWEST
OF SITKINAK EARLY THU AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN EXITS INTO
BRISTOL BAY AT 967 MB FRI MORNING. A 970 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SITKINAK THU MORNING MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK CITY AT 968 MB THU
AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATES.

$$

PKZ119-040145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-040145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-040145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-040145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-040145-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-040145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-040145-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-040145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-040145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-040145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-040145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-040145-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-040145-
MARMOT BAY-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-040145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-040145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-040145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-040145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 AM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

040 
FZAK51 PAFC 040024
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041345-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WED
NIGHT. A 969 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WED NIGHT
MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK CITY AT 964 MB THU AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES
INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATE THU NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED WEAK FRONT
ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THU NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-041345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-041345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ121-041345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 10 KT BY
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-041345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-041345-
PORT VALDEZ-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-041345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-041345-
VALDEZ ARM-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-041345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-041345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE WIND 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-041345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ132-041345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-041345-
CHINIAK BAY-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-041345-
MARMOT BAY-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-041345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-041345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-041345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-041345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
324 PM AKST WED FEB 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

354 
FZAK51 PAFC 041211
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050130-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MOVES INLAND AND WEAKENS THIS
EVENING. AN ASSOCIATED 967 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES
TO NEAR KODIAK CITY THIS AFTERNOON AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN
MOVES INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT. A WEAK FRONT ENTERS
THE SOUTHERN GULF EARLY FRI...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY
FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-050130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-050130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ121-050130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-050130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. GUSTS
TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-050130-
PORT VALDEZ-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-050130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-050130-
VALDEZ ARM-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-050130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-050130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-050130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ132-050130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-050130-
CHINIAK BAY-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-050130-
MARMOT BAY-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-050130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-050130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-050130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-050130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
311 AM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
437 PM AKST TUE FEB 2 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE MAINLAND HAS WEAKENED
BUT IS STILL KEEPING THE STORM TRACK SOUTH OF MAINLAND ALASKA.
A SHORT WAVE MOVED ACROSS THE NORTH GULF COAST THIS MORNING AND
BROUGHT A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA BEFORE HEADING INTO THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. AT THE
SURFACE A STRONG LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND CONTINUES TO MOVE
SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS MOVING
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL INCREASE WINDS
ACROSS THE GULF AND PRODUCE SOME OUTFLOW WINDS IN THE THOMPSON
PASS AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE SECONDARY LOW THAT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE GULF WEDNESDAY NIGHT CAN BE SEEN DEVELOPING ON
SATELLITE NEAR 45N 175W.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE THE LARGE LOW MOVING TOWARD THE GULF OF
ALASKA REMAINS VERY GOOD TODAY. MODELS ARE MUCH IMPROVED ON THE
SECONDARY LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WHERE THERE WAS A LARGE SPREAD ON POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS THEY
HAVE ALL LOCKED ONTO A COMMON SOLUTION WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY MERGE
THESE LOWS INTO A SINGLE LOW IN THE BRISTOL BAY REGION LATER THIS
WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE EXPECTED FORECAST FOR THE NEXT
48 HOURS FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AS THE MODELS REMAIN IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT. THE OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE VERTICALLY
STACKED 960MB LOW AROUND 50N 155W IS MOVING NORTHWARD THIS
AFTERNOON AND IS ALREADY STARTING TO BRING RAIN TO KODIAK ISLAND.
THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE ITS MARCH TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FRONT SHOULD MAINLY
REMAIN ALONG THE COAST WITH INLAND AREAS SEEING SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS STARTING WEDNESDAY EVENING AS ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL MOVE
OVER THE TERRAIN. WITH COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
AND THE ORIENTATION OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT...WINDS WILL INCREASE
IN THOMPSON PASS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH
WIND TO START BLOWING SNOW IN THE PASS. COMBINED WITH UP TO 6
INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM THE FRONT...VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED AT
TIMES IN THE PASS TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

A SECOND LOW IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF THURSDAY
MORNING AS A SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND THE UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER
THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL
BRING A SECOND SHOT OF PRECIPITATION TO COASTAL AREAS BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
INCREASING OFFSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW APPROACHING THE ALASKA
PENINSULA COUPLED WITH STRONG DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
AND ALASKA RANGES WILL HELP TO KEEP THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND MOSTLY
DRY THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE LOW AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHEAST BERING. THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL
THEREFORE BE INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER AS THE
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WITH ANY CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION LARGELY LIMITED TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND FAVORABLE UPSLOPE AREAS ALONG THE AHKLUN
MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE ADVANCING SYSTEM WILL KEEP A RATHER PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHEAST
BERING THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE LOW CENTER LINGERS NEAR THE ALASKA
PENINSULA...WITH THE INITIAL RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER THE AKPEN AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CHANGING TO ALL RAIN BY WEDNESDAY AS WARMER
NORTH PACIFIC AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
ALL SNOW AT THE ONSET AS IT SPREADS TO THE PRIBILOFS ON WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BUT TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR FREEZING SHOULD HELP TO
MITIGATE ANY BLOWING SNOW CONCERNS BEFORE RAIN BEGINS TO MIX IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD WESTWARD THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY AS A DEFORMATION BAND
FORMING OVER THE CENTRAL BERING PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
ACCOMPANIED BY LIGHT SNOW. INCREASING NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE WEATHER FROM FRIDAY ONWARDS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE
DOMINATED BY A SERIES OF WARM SYSTEMS MAKING A NORTHERLY TRACK
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE GULF AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THIS
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT SOUTHERN MAINLAND WELL ABOVE
NORMAL WITH DEEP AND MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW. THE FIRST OF THESE
SYSTEMS WILL BE BEGINNING ITS DISSIPATION PHASE OVER THE EASTERN
BERING/SOUTHWEST COAST ON FRIDAY...BRINGING GALE FORCE WINDS TO
THE WESTERN GULF AND WIDESPREAD RAIN/WET SNOW TO THE GULF COAST.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL THEN QUICKLY FOLLOW ON ITS HEELS ON
SUNDAY...BRINGING PERSISTENT RAIN/SNOW TO THE GULF COAST INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW OVER THE CHUGACH
MOUNTAINS WILL LIKELY KEEP SOUTHCENTRAL DRY AND CLOUDY THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND...WITH GUSTY GAP WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST. THE
BERING SEA REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...KEEPING ANY SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS AT BAY WITH
WINDS GENERALLY BELOW GALE FORCE.

BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK THE MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO HINT THAT
THE PERSISTENT AND BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BERING WILL
BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHWARD AND FALL APART...ALLOWING FOR RIDGING OVER
THE YUKON TO MOVE INTO THE MAINLAND. THERE IS SIGNIFICANT
UNCERTAINTY IN THE MODELS BY THAT POINT...BUT IT DOES APPEAR THAT
QUIETER AND COOLER WEATHER WILL RETURN (AT LEAST TO THE MAINLAND)
BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...131.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 130 131 132 136 137 138 139
              150 155 160 165 174 176 180 351 352
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...DEK