Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Aberdeen, SD

889 
WWUS53 KABR 252128
SVSABR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
428 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

SDC075-117-252145-
/O.CON.KABR.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160525T2145Z/
STANLEY SD-JONES SD-
428 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM
CDT/345 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHWESTERN STANLEY AND NORTHERN JONES
COUNTIES...

AT 426 PM CDT/326 PM MDT/...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF HAYES TO NEAR WENDTE...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. A TRAINED SPOTTER
         7 MILES EAST OF BUNKER REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE SEVERELY INJURED. 
         EXPECT SHATTERED WINDOWS...EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
         SIDING...AND VEHICLES. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WENDTE AROUND 330 PM MDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND TORNADOES. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE SHELTER...SUCH AS AN
INTERIOR ROOM...A BATHROOM OR CLOSET OR BASEMENT.

&&

LAT...LON 4409 10044 4404 10073 4406 10092 4421 10098
      4439 10097 4442 10094 4449 10068
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 250DEG 35KT 4443 10083 4416 10068 

HAIL...2.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
342 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 342 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

Thunderstorms are beginning to intensify just W of the CWA this
afternoon that has produced significant hail. Expect them to track E
around 20kts, and stay mainly as discrete cells through 00Z. At that
point they may diminish with the loss of daytime heating. Will
continue to closely monitor incoming and developing severe weather
potential in our high CAPE and marginal shear environment.

Current fcst would have precip exiting E shortly after 06Z, with dry
weather then being the rule through early afternoon Thursday. The
focus for showers and thunderstorms will be over the far W, and the
SE corners of the CWA. Just going with general thunderstorms for
Thursday. SPC has the Marginal and slight risk areas over the SE
corner of SD. Expect highs again tomorrow to top out in the 70s for
most areas, with low 80s possible over W Central MN.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

Thursday night will probably be a dry forecast period, while upper
level confluent flow is over the region. However, when an upper low
currently over southern California lifts north-northeast across the
region Friday through Saturday, precipitation chances will abound.
Then, it appears some weak mid-level ridging/height rises develop
over the Northern Plains, shutting off the vast majority of
precipitation chances from Saturday night through Sunday night.
Beyond that, longer range model output continues to suggest more
precipitation chances setting up across the region Monday through
Tuesday as the next low pressure system deepens while moving east
over the Dakotas into Minnesota. This system is also expected to
bring breezy to windy conditions Tuesday night and Wednesday. Highs
through the period will be mainly in the 70s and 80s across the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

MVFR to VFR clouds remain across the area this afternoon, with
ournext round of showers and thunderstorms nearing MBG-PIR around
20-22Z, before slowly sliding E and weakening with the loss of
daytime heating, and ending all together near ATY by around 06Z
Thursday.The best chance of seeing any showers/thunderstorms will
be at MBG,with only VCSH mentioned so far at the rest of the TAF
sites.Otherwise, VFR ceilings and VIS are expected for the daytime
hours Thursday.

&&

.ABR Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...KF
LONG TERM...Dorn
AVIATION...KF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1024 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-261530-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
1024 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016 /924 AM MDT WED MAY 25 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP FROM MID AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
OVER EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH
THIS EVENING...MAINLY OVER EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

KF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1152 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW HOLABIRD          44.51N 99.66W
05/25/2016  M1.33 INCH       HYDE               SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION HARROLD 3.8 ESE /SD-HY-3/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       9 N HOLABIRD            44.65N 99.60W
05/25/2016  M1.25 INCH       HYDE               SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION HOLABIRD 8.5 N /SD-HY-8/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 SW CEDAR CREEK REC AR 44.07N 100.01W
05/25/2016  M1.22 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION 6 SW CEDAR CREEK REC AREA
            /SD-LY-6/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       KENNEBEC                43.90N 99.86W
05/25/2016  M1.18 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION KENNEBEC 0.3 SE /SD-LY-2/

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GANN VALLEY             44.03N 98.99W
05/25/2016  M1.10 INCH       BUFFALO            SD   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION GANN VALLEY /GNVS2/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       12 N HIGHMORE           44.70N 99.41W
05/25/2016  M1.10 INCH       HYDE               SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION 12 N HIGHMORE /SD-HY-1/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       8 N VIVIAN              44.04N 100.27W
05/25/2016  M1.09 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION 7 NNE VIVIAN /SD-LY-5/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       9 WNW AMES              44.30N 99.26W
05/25/2016  M1.06 INCH       HAND               SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION 8 W AMES /SD-HD-7/

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MILLER                  44.52N 98.99W
05/25/2016  M1.02 INCH       HAND               SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION MILLER /SD-HD-12/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 S KENNEBEC            43.88N 99.87W
05/25/2016  M1.00 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION KENNEBEC 2.0 S /SD-LY-10/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       8 SSW KENNEBEC          43.79N 99.92W
05/25/2016  M0.94 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION 8 SSW KENNEBEC /SD-LY-27/

0730 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WNW OKATON            43.91N 100.94W
05/25/2016  M0.90 INCH       JONES              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION OKATON 2.6 NW /SD-JN-3/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 ESE ROSSEAU           44.29N 100.01W
05/25/2016  M0.89 INCH       HUGHES             SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION 3 ESE ROSSEAU /SD-HG-26/

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       RELIANCE                43.88N 99.60W
05/25/2016  M0.85 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION RELIANCE 0.1 ESE /SD-LY-12/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PRESHO                  43.90N 100.06W
05/25/2016  M0.82 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION PRESHO /SD-LY-1/

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       8 WNW IONA              43.59N 99.57W
05/25/2016  M0.82 INCH       LYMAN              SD   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION OACOMA 17.4 SSW /SD-LY-7/

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 S DOLAND              44.87N 98.10W
05/25/2016  M0.75 INCH       SPINK              SD   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION DOLAND /DOLS2/

&&