Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Aberdeen, SD

May 30, 2016Dewey County, South Dakota

NWS Aberdeen, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2016, 4:09 PM MDT for Dewey County, South Dakota. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2016, 4:09 PM MDT (22:09 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2016, 4:39 PM MDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Aberdeen, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Dewey County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 1:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 459 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -195 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

660 
WUUS53 KABR 302209
SVRABR
SDC041-302330-
/O.NEW.KABR.SV.W.0027.160530T2209Z-160530T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
409 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN DEWEY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 530 PM MDT

* AT 409 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LANTRY...
  MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
           WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EAGLE BUTTE AND SOUTH EAGLE BUTTE AROUND 420 PM MDT. 
  GREEN GRASS AROUND 440 PM MDT. 
  PARADE AROUND 445 PM MDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4537 10104 4496 10079 4494 10114 4499 10114
      4499 10141 4500 10142 4509 10147
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 248DEG 16KT 4504 10133 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DORN

1 follow-up statement

180 
WWUS53 KABR 302239
SVSABR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
439 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2016

SDC041-302249-
/O.CAN.KABR.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160530T2330Z/
DEWEY SD-
439 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DEWEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ABERDEEN.

LAT...LON 4537 10104 4496 10079 4494 10114 4499 10114
      4499 10141 4500 10142 4509 10147
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 248DEG 16KT 4509 10115 

$$

DORN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 2:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
318 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 318 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

Storms now beginning to develop across western and central portions
of the state in association with a cold front. Models are in good
agreement that this activity will line out and track eastward across
the state through the evening and early overnight hours. MUCAPE has
increased to 3000+ J/KG across the Missouri river area...along with
some increase in low level shear. Expect the line of storms will
have the potential to produce large hail and gusty winds through its
life span late this afternoon into tonight. The low pressure system
will swing northward late tonight with some precipitation on the
back side of it possibly affecting the northwestern CWA Tuesday
afternoon.

Low temperatures tonight will range from the upper 40s northwest to
the upper 50s east. High temperatures on Tuesday will range from the
mid 60s northwest to the mid 70s east.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Evening through Monday)
Issued at 318 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

The upper low is expected to continue to pull out of the region on
Wednesday. In its wake, cold air advection will continue with the
coolest temps of the week. Winds will be breezy from the northwest.

The trend of the western CONUS ridge rebounding through the period
looks good. This will leave most of the region under northwest flow,
with warmest temps in the west, trending cooler east. The threat of
thunderstorms in the northwest flow are too tricky to time at this
moment, but I would expect some thunderstorms possible later this
week and weekend. Pops will remain low at this time however.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

For the most part...VFR conditions will prevail across the area
through the TAF period. However...a line of storms is expected to
develop west of the Missouri River during the early to mid
afternoon hours...then will track eastward during the late
afternoon and evening. Vsbys will likely fall into the MVFR
category with the stronger storms. Gusty winds and hail are also
possible.

&&

.ABR Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Parkin
LONG TERM...Scarlett
AVIATION...Parkin

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 3:33 AM MDT, 12 hours 36 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
433 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-310945-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
433 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016 /333 AM MDT MON MAY 30 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA...THEN POSSIBLY AFFECTING NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS ARE THE MAIN
THREATS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT EXISTS ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA. ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS EVENING
ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

TMT

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 30, 1:45 PM MDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
245 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

SDZ003-004-009-015-302030-
CORSON SD-CAMPBELL SD-DEWEY SD-WALWORTH SD-
245 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTHEASTERN DEWEY...SOUTHWESTERN
CAMPBELL...SOUTHEASTERN CORSON AND NORTHWESTERN WALWORTH COUNTIES
UNTIL 330 PM CDT/230 PM MDT/...

AT 244 PM CDT/144 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM OVER NORTHEASTERN LAKE OAHE...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF
MOBRIDGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOBRIDGE...SELBY...WAKPALA...GLENHAM...NEW EVERETS RESORT...INDIAN CREEK
REC AREA...LAKE HIDDENWOOD REC AREA...INDIAN MEMORIAL REC AREA...GRAND
RIVER CASINO...BLACKFOOT AND REVHEIM BAY REC AREA.

LAT...LON 4525 10044 4539 10061 4570 10054 4558 9986
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 230DEG 25KT 4538 10045

SCARLETT

Local storm report, May 30, 2:17 PM MDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
317 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0312 PM     HAIL             4 NNW SELBY             45.56N 100.06W
05/30/2016  M1.00 INCH       WALWORTH           SD   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1600245

KG

Local storm report, May 30, 3:07 PM MDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
407 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             3 N EUREKA              45.81N  99.62W
05/30/2016  M0.88 INCH       MCPHERSON          SD   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1600246

KG

Local storm report, May 30, 3:31 PM MDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
431 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     HAIL             7 NNE EUREKA            45.86N  99.57W
05/30/2016  M1.00 INCH       MCPHERSON          SD   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1600247

KG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Aberdeen, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 29, 11:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Buffalo, Lyman	35 min
May 30, 12:07 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABR	Buffalo	38 min
May 30, 1:45 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABR	Walworth	45 min
May 30, 1:55 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Campbell, Corson, Dewey, McPherson, Walworth	50 min
May 30, 2:35 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson	25 min
May 30, 2:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Campbell, McPherson, Walworth	44 min
May 30, 2:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson	57 min
May 30, 3:24 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Campbell, McPherson	36 min
May 30, 3:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Dewey	48 min
May 30, 4:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Jones	49 min
May 30, 4:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson, Dewey	36 min
May 30, 5:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Hughes, Stanley	32 min
May 30, 5:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Walworth	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Dakota, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.