Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 137, NWS Aberdeen, SD

July 22, 2016Corson County, Dewey County, South Dakota

NWS Aberdeen, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 22, 2016, 3:48 PM MDT for Corson County, Dewey County, South Dakota. It was in force for 42 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 22, 2016, 3:48 PM MDT (21:48 UTC)
Expired: Jul 22, 2016, 4:30 PM MDT
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Aberdeen, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 50.0 mph

Counties Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 22, 3:58 PM MDT	HAIL 2.5	Isabel, SD	MOSTLY QUARTER SIZE HAIL BUT SOME AS LARGE AS TENNIS BALLS. CORRECTED TIME FROM EARLIER REPORT. .
Jul 22, 4:10 PM MDT	HAIL 1.5	Isabel, SD	.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 10 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 22, 3:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1508 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1038 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

813 
WUUS53 KABR 222148
SVRABR
SDC031-041-222230-
/O.NEW.KABR.SV.W.0137.160722T2148Z-160722T2230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
348 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN DEWEY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL CORSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 430 PM MDT

* AT 348 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ISABEL...OR
  27 MILES NORTH OF DUPREE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

  HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  KLEIN RANCH AROUND 425 PM MDT. 
  BLACK HORSE AROUND 430 PM MDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4563 10109 4531 10143 4534 10149 4538 10149
      4539 10147 4547 10147 4547 10157 4577 10143
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 212DEG 24KT 4544 10146 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

TDK

1 follow-up statement

100 
WWUS53 KABR 222220
SVSABR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
420 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

SDC031-041-222230-
/O.CON.KABR.SV.W.0137.000000T0000Z-160722T2230Z/
DEWEY SD-CORSON SD-
420 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DEWEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL CORSON COUNTIES...

AT 413 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ISABEL...OR 28
MILES NORTH OF DUPREE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN DEWEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL CORSON COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4563 10109 4531 10143 4534 10149 4538 10149
      4539 10147 4547 10147 4547 10157 4577 10143
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 210DEG 15KT 4543 10137 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

TDK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 22, 2:06 PM MDT, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 2:06 PM MDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
306 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 306 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

Looks to be an active evening coming for the region. Elevated
convection in ND became sfc rooted and is now moving southeast
through the central ABR CWA with large hail and high winds being
reported. Will likely see more convection fire up on outflows across
the region through evening, especially given very unstable airmass
across the region. Deep layer shear is fairly decent over northern
SD, but ll shear (0-1km) is somewhat week, which should limit the
tornado potential.

More activity is currently developing over western SD/NE in advance
of mid level wave tracking out of WY.  This activity is expected to
spread into the western CWA this evening, and across the rest of the
state overnight. The highest probabilities of severe this evening
are probably over NW/NC SD where instability remains high and deep
layer shear is highest.  However strong instability CWA wide could
promote strong/severe storms even over southwest CWA.

On Saturday afternoon storms a head of an advancing front could turn
severe in the afternoon, mainly east of the James Valley. The rest
of the short range looks fairly tranquil as high pressure builds
south over the area.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 306 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

The mid level flow over the CONUS will feature a developing positive
Pacific North American pattern as we head into and through the long
term. With the mid level ridge building out west, the flow will turn
to northwest across much of the Northern Plains. This presents
issues for timing any waves across the region.  Several systems look
to move through during the period with the models all over the place
concerning pcpn chances.  For now will have to accept the broad
brush approach and hope for better timing in future runs.
Temperatures overall should average out below normal due to the
influx of air from the north.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

Storms located just north of the state line may impact the KABR
terminal later this afternoon. Additional storms may also form
close to KMBG. Both these terminals could see activity through
much of the afternoon/evening, with diminishing confidence
overnight.

&&

.ABR Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
SD...Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for
     SDZ003-004-009-010-015>020-022-023-033>037-045-048-051.

MN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TDK
LONG TERM...TDK
AVIATION...Connelly

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 4:13 AM MDT, 11 hours 35 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
513 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-231015-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
513 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 /413 AM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 95 DEGREES TO 110 DEGREES ACROSS THE
AREA ONCE AGAIN TODAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...THEN OVER ALL OF THE
FORECAST AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SMALL TORNADO
THREAT OVER NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS ARE THE MAIN
THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING OVER NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA.

TMT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 22, 2:29 PM MDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
329 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             2 NNE CRESBARD          45.20N 98.94W
07/22/2016  E1.00 INCH       FAULK              SD   PUBLIC

            RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. RADAR ESTIMATED
            TIME.

&&

RL

Local storm report, Jul 22, 3:02 PM MDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
402 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N ROCKHAM             44.93N 98.82W
07/22/2016  E60 MPH          FAULK              SD   PUBLIC

            50-60 MPH WINDS, ONE QUARTER SIZED HAIL
            STONE IDENTIFIED. APPROXIMATE TIME.

&&

RL

Local storm report, Jul 22, 3:12 PM MDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
412 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             7 ENE BURDETTE          44.75N 98.68W
07/22/2016  E1.75 INCH       SPINK              SD   PUBLIC

            PHOTO VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. .

&&

RL

Local storm report, Jul 22, 3:21 PM MDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
421 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             4 SSW REDFIELD          44.82N 98.56W
07/22/2016  E1.50 INCH       SPINK              SD   PUBLIC

            RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME APPROXIMATE.

&&

RL

Local storm report, Jul 22, 3:23 PM MDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
423 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             TULARE                  44.74N 98.51W
07/22/2016  E1.00 INCH       SPINK              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

RL

Local storm report, Jul 22, 3:33 PM MDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
433 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     HAIL             4 N CRESBARD            45.23N 98.95W
07/22/2016  E1.50 INCH       FAULK              SD   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA PHOTO. APPROXIMATE TIME.

&&

RL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Aberdeen, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 22, 4:06 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABR	Campbell	24 min
Jul 22, 11:43 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Campbell, McPherson	35 min
Jul 22, 12:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Edmunds, McPherson	45 min
Jul 22, 12:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Brown, Edmunds, McPherson	42 min
Jul 22, 1:19 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Brown, Edmunds, Faulk, Spink	41 min
Jul 22, 1:55 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Brown, Edmunds, Faulk, Spink	50 min
Jul 22, 2:10 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Faulk, Hand	35 min
Jul 22, 2:24 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Faulk, Hand, Spink	51 min
Jul 22, 2:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Hand, Spink	61 min
Jul 22, 4:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson	40 min
Jul 22, 4:28 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson, Dewey	62 min
Jul 22, 4:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson, Dewey	57 min
Jul 22, 4:52 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson, Dewey	68 min
Jul 22, 5:28 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Corson, Dewey	47 min
Jul 22, 5:59 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABR	Corson, Dewey	6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Dakota, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.