Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Albuquerque, NM

727 
WGUS65 KABQ 060939
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
339 AM MDT TUE SEP 6 2016

NMZ515-527>533-062200-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FF.A.0003.160906T1800Z-160907T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
339 AM MDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW 
  MEXICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...FAR NORTHEAST 
  HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...HARDING COUNTY...NORTHEAST 
  HIGHLANDS...RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA AND UNION COUNTY. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE NORTHWARD TODAY AND FUEL
  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
  TONIGHT. STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BETWEEN 1 AND
  2 INCHES OF RAINFALL VERY QUICKLY...AND SOME AREAS MAY RECEIVE
  SIGNIFICANTLY MORE DUE TO TRAINING STORMS. HEAVY RAINS LAST
  NIGHT HAS SATURATED THE GROUND ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW
  MEXICO WHICH WILL INCREASE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS...SUCH AS CLAYTON...LAS VEGAS AND
  RATON... MAY BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE IMPACTS
  ASSOCIATED WITH RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NMZ526-534>540-062200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.160906T1800Z-160907T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
339 AM MDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA 
  COUNTY...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...QUAY COUNTY...ROOSEVELT 
  COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE NORTHWARD TODAY
  ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND WILL FUEL
  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
  TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AN TWO INCHES WILL BE
  COMMON...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR FOUR INCHES
  POSSIBLE. THOUGH STORMS MAY START AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON...
  HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING STORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
  HOURS. RECENT RAINFALL HAS GROUNDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
  AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO RELATIVELY SATURATED...WHICH WILL
  INCREASE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL 
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS...SUCH AS ROSWELL...CLOVIS AND 
  PORTALES... MAY BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE IMPACTS 
  ASSOCIATED WITH RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

34

957 
WGUS65 KABQ 062044
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
244 PM MDT TUE SEP 6 2016

NMZ506>509-520-071200-
/O.EXB.KABQ.FF.A.0003.160907T1200Z-160908T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
244 PM MDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW 
  MEXICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...LOWER RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...WEST 
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. 

* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* REMNANT MOISTURE FROM WHAT IS NOW CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE NEWTON
  WILL SURGE NORTHWARD WEDNESDAY AND FUEL WIDESPREAD NUMEROUS
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STORMS
  WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF
  RAINFALL VERY QUICKLY...AND SOME AREAS ALONG AND NEAR THE CREST
  OF THE MOGOLLON MOUNTAINS SUCH AS MOGOLLON AND WHITEWATER BALDY
  COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NMZ515-526>540-071200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160907T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
244 PM MDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA 
  COUNTY...EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN LINCOLN 
  COUNTY...EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...
  GUADALUPE COUNTY...HARDING COUNTY...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...QUAY 
  COUNTY...RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA...ROOSEVELT COUNTY...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY AND UNION COUNTY. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
  EASTERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AN TWO
  INCHES WILL BE COMMON...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR FOUR
  INCHES POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING STORMS WILL PERSIST
  THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RECENT RAINFALL HAS GROUNDS ACROSS
  PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO RELATIVELY
  SATURATED...WHICH WILL INCREASE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOOD
  POTENTIAL.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS...SUCH AS ROSWELL...CLOVIS...CLAYTON...
  RUIDOSO AND PORTALES...MAY BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE
  IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

191 
WGUS65 KABQ 071007
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
407 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

NMZ515-527>532-071115-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160907T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
407 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. STORMS HAVE ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. 

$$

NMZ505-519-521-524-071200-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FF.A.0003.160907T1200Z-160908T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
407 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW 
  MEXICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA...SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WILL CONTINUE TO
  SURGE NORTHWARD TODAY AND FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  PRODUCE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL VERY QUICKLY AND
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS... INCLUDING THE ALBUQUERQUE
  METRO...AND BURN SCARS...INCLUDING THE DOG HEAD BURN SCAR WILL
  BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NMZ526-533>540-071200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160907T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
407 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA 
  COUNTY...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...GUADALUPE COUNTY...QUAY 
  COUNTY...ROOSEVELT COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST 
  CHAVES COUNTY. 

* UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING

* NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
  EASTERN NEW MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE LESS THAN ONE INCH.
  HOWEVER...RECENT RAINFALL HAS GROUNDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
  SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO RELATIVELY
  SATURATED...WHICH WILL INCREASE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOOD
  POTENTIAL.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS...SUCH AS ROSWELL...CLOVIS...RUIDOSO
  AND PORTALES...MAY BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE IMPACTS
  ASSOCIATED WITH RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NMZ506>509-520-071200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.160907T1200Z-160908T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
407 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER 
  VALLEY...SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND WEST 
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WILL SURGE NORTHWARD
  TODAY AND FUEL WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
  TONIGHT. STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BETWEEN 1 AND
  2 INCHES OF RAINFALL VERY QUICKLY. ADDITIONALLY...RAINS WILL
  PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING RESULTING IN STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 4
  INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS ACROSS THE
  SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY ARE EXPECTED
  TO SEE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS. AREAS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE WHITEWATER-BALDY
  BURN SCAR WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

34

258 
WGUS65 KABQ 071203
FFAABQ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
603 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

NMZ526-533>540-071315-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160907T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
603 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND PORTIONS
OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING.
THOUGH STORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...THOUGH SOME
NUISANCE OR MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. 

$$

NMZ505>509-519>521-524-072200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160908T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
603 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY... 
  SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...SOUTHWEST 
  MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND 
  WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WILL SURGE
  NORTHWARD TODAY AND FUEL WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
  THROUGH TONIGHT. STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
  BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL VERY QUICKLY.
  ADDITIONALLY...RAINS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS THE
  SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY RESULTING IN
  STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS AND AREAS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE
  WHITEWATER-BALDY AND DOG HEAD BURN SCARS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

34

079 
WGUS65 KABQ 071546
FFAABQ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
946 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

NMZ505>509-519>521-524-072200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160908T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
946 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY... 
  SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...SOUTHWEST 
  MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND 
  WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WILL SURGE 
  NORTHWARD TODAY AND FUEL WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
  THROUGH TONIGHT. STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE 
  BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL VERY QUICKLY. ADDITIONALLY... 
  RAINS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST 
  MOUNTAINS AND SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY RESULTING IN STORM 
  TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL 
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS AND AREAS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  WHITEWATER-BALDY AND DOG HEAD BURN SCARS WILL BE ESPECIALLY 
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

309 
WGUS65 KABQ 072147
FFAABQ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
347 PM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

NMZ505>509-519>521-524-080500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160908T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
347 PM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY... 
  SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...SOUTHWEST 
  MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND 
  WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL STORM
  NEWTON WILL CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD TODAY...FUELING WIDESPREAD
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. STORMS WILL HAVE THE
  POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL VERY
  QUICKLY. ADDITIONALLY...RAINS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING
  ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY
  RESULTING IN LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL 
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. URBAN AREAS AND AREAS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  WHITEWATER-BALDY AND DOG HEAD BURN SCARS WILL BE ESPECIALLY 
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

294 
WGUS65 KABQ 080155
FFAABQ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
755 PM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

NMZ505>509-519>521-524-080300-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160908T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
755 PM MDT WED SEP 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NEWTON WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...RAINFALL
RATES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE AND THE THREAT FOR
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED.

$$

FONTENOT/54

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1145 AM MDT MON SEP 5 2016

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist with a couple
of exceptions. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase
today compared to yesterday, focusing over the higher terrain
initially then moving east or northeast over adjacent highlands.
KLVS has the greatest chance of thunderstorm impacts this
afternoon, with brief MVFR conditions likely. MVFR cigs will
likely redevelop overnight at KROW and KTCC, and possibly KLVS,
although IFR cigs are unlikely. Otherwise, moderate southerly flow
will persist in the lower layers of the atmosphere, with surface
wind gusts exceeding 30kts at KLVS and possibly KTCC this
afternoon.

11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...325 AM MDT MON SEP 5 2016...
.SYNOPSIS...
A few more storms are expected this afternoon compared to
yesterday, but the big uptick in storm coverage is expected on
Tuesday as moisture from Tropical Storm Newton is pulled into New
Mexico. Storms will favor areas east of the Continental Divide,
but the highest rainfall totals are expected across eastern New
Mexico. Flash flooding remains possible as moisture values will be
well above normal. Forecast models are showing a decrease in
storm coverage on Wednesday as mid level dry air moves into the
state, but as the remnants of Tropical Storm Newton move into New
Mexico on Thursday, storm coverage may increase once again.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Patchy low clouds have developed across portions of northeast and
east central NM this morning. Stronger winds near the TX border
should preclude low clouds from becoming too widespread there. Opted
to not put fog in the grids early this morning, but if vsbys
would fall anywhere, KLVS and KROW would be on the list.

Otherwise, still looking for slightly more storm activity today.
Most models showing storms favoring areas along the central mtn
chain and perhaps northeast NM in the afternoon. Enough instability
exists for a few strong or perhaps briefly severe storms with hail
across the plains. Later, most models show a cluster of storms
developing over north central NM this evening. Areas along and west
of the ContDvd should remain dry and low level moisture has been
slow to move up the Rio Grande Valley this morning as well. This is
a bit concerning for storms later, but there is much richer moisture
lurking further south in the RGV near El Paso.

Tuesday still looking like an active day as mid level moisture from
now Tropical Storm Newton is pulled northward into NM. Heaviest
rains should exists near and east of the central mtn chain where
abundant low level moisture already exists and where models are
tracking a weak disturbance in the flow aloft. Despite what should
be quite a bit of cloud cover, models are also showing quite a bit
of instability. Thus, there is certainly potential for heavy
rain/flash flood producing storms. Meanwhile, areas west of the
ContDvd may miss out altogether on Tuesday.

Models are in much better agreement this morning regarding the
strength and track of TS Newton. Not surprisingly, the GFS has come
in line with the ECMWF, tracking a stronger system over the Baja and
up the Gulf of California and finally moving into Arizona on
Wednesday. Interestingly, models, with some exception to the ECMWF,
have backed off on QPF on Wednesday afternoon across the southern
half of NM. A shortwave trough sliding eastward north of the state
has been expected to usher in much drier and stable mid level air at
least across northern NM, but it is even more pronounced this
morning across the southern half. The ECMWF continues to be the most
bullish, but it too has backed off on QPF amounts.

The remnant circulation of Newton will open into a shortwave trough
on Thursday as it moves into NM. ECMWF is holding steady showing
much of the precip impacts associated with this feature over the NW
and NC areas. The trough is VERY slow to move eastward and will
remain over NM through at least Friday. A healthy back door front
will slide down the plains Friday aftn/eve. With plenty of
moisture remaining in place, in addition to some lift with the
stagnant trough, most models break out precip across the east
Friday. The front should push through the gaps of the central mtn
chain late Friday night setting the stage for the west central and
sw mtns to be the more active area on Saturday.

34

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A period of unsettled weather expected this week with a decent
amount of wetting rain at most locations by the end of the week. The
remnant moisture from tropical storm Newton could be a significant
factor in our weather later this week.

Much drier air worked into western NM Sunday with single digit
humidities in the northwest. Areas west of the Continental Divide
will be dry again today with minimum RH values in the teens and
Haines indices of 5, even a 6 over the four corners region.
Locally breezy conditions around Gallup will actually result in an
hour or two of critical fire weather conditions this afternoon. It
will be a different story for central and eastern NM with much
higher dewpoints and humidities. Southerly winds at the surface
will continue to advect moisture north and deliver a decent crop
of showers and thunderstorms today for the central and especially
the east. Excellent vent rates are forecast for nearly the entire
forecast area. Mostly excellent RH recovery tonight except good
across far western areas.

Moisture will continue to increase Tuesday with wetting rain likely
over much of central and eastern NM. Min RH values will be 5 to 15
percent higher compared to today. Vent rates will be good to
excellent. Haines values of 5 will be common in the northwest.

We will reverse the moisture trend Wednesday with lower values of
dewpoints and resulting relative humidities, thanks to a short wave
trough passing to our north. Thunderstorm coverage will diminish as
well, especially across the north.

All eyes will then turn to the remnant moisture from the current
tropical storm Newton. Models in better agreement today, bringing
the center of low pressure into AZ late Wednesday into Wednesday
night. The upper low will open into a trough as it drifts into NM
later Thursday into Friday. If this scenario pans out, deep moisture
will fuel widespread rain with embedded thunderstorms primarily over
the west. Heavy rain and flash flooding will be a concern. The east
will be less active Thursday and Friday.

GFS and ECMWF both stall the trough over southwest NM this coming
weekend. Meanwhile, a back door cold front dropping south across the
eastern plains Friday night will usher in low level moisture. POPs
will increase significantly in the east. The front should spill into
the Rio Grande Valley Saturday. Areas south of I 40 will be favored
areas for wetting rain Saturday, then across the west on Sunday.

CHJ

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
Windy conditions east of the central mt chain tonight pulling in
deeper moisture for storms on Labor Day. Winds to taper overnight
as low cloud deck and patchy fog redevelops. Greatest confidence
area will stretch from near KSRR east to KROW. Models hinting at
-shra before sunrise around the RGV and nearby central mt chain
but did not include as coverage would most likely be too isolated.

Guyer

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

33

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
400 AM MDT MON SEP 5 2016

NMZ501>540-061000-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
400 AM MDT MON SEP 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG OR BRIEFLY SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE PLAINS. LARGE HAIL IS THE MAIN THREAT.
ADDITIONALLY, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING
THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WILL BE PULLED INTO
NEW MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING WHERE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY
OCCUR. REMNANTS OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE
STATE LATER IN THE WEEK AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER AND RAINFALL
REPORTS THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. YOU CAN ALSO
SUBMIT STORM REPORTS AND PHOTOS ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA
TWITTER USING THE HASHTAG NMWX.

34