Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Albuquerque, NM

340 
WGUS75 KABQ 240138
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
738 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

NMC043-240144-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160624T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANDOVAL-
738 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SANDOVAL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED
TO POSE A THREAT. HOWEVER...MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR DOWN TOWN RIO RANCHO AND NORTHERN RIO
RANCHO...WHERE RADAR INDICATES OVER 1.75 INCHES OF RAIN FELL LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3534 10670 3536 10666 3536 10658 3522 10649
      3522 10673 3526 10675 3532 10673

$$

44

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
551 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
Showers and thunderstorms through 06z then diminishing. VCTS for
TCC and SAF with VCSH for LVS...ABQ...AEG. Storm motion will be
slow to the NE. In the northeast portion of the forecast area
thunderstorms have the the potential to be strong at times. In all
areas, gusty outflow winds are expected near thunderstorms with
brief periods of MVFR conditions possible in and around stronger
showers and thunderstorms. Similar crop of convection expected
Friday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...333 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016...
.SYNOPSIS...
Though a pretty good amount of moisture has infiltrated it,
high pressure aloft will persist over or very near New Mexico
through most if not all of next week. Temperatures will be near
to above seasonal normals nearly all areas most of this period,
but by Thursday there is some potential that northeast sections of
the state will drop several degrees below normal if an advertised
back door front remains as strong as some forecast models indicate
currently. Afternoon and evening storm coverage will continue
pretty healthy into at least the weekend across the east half of
the state as well as the Gila region, though maybe decreasing a
bit west central and northwest sections, then perhaps early next
week beginning to shift back somewhat to the west and decrease to
a degree across east central and southeast New Mexico.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure aloft still looking to prowl over and near NM
through most if not all of next week, though moisture has become
pretty well entrenched in and around its current main centroid.
Temps to be near to above seasonal normals nearly all areas most
of this period, but espec by Thu there is possibility that ne
sections of the state will drop several degrees below normal if
model-advertised back door front remains as strong as currently
progged.

As for this eve, a pretty good crop of storms has managed to
develop, a few with fairly impressive rain amts. Best coverage
near and a little ways east of central mountain chain and over
east half of Gila region. A few strong to perhaps marginally
severe storms still poss mainly from Central Highlands north into
the ne highlands and plains. Aftn and eve storm coverage will
continue pretty healthy into at least the weekend across the east
half of the state as well as the Gila region, though we may see
some diminishment across west central and nw sections by Fri or
Sat, then perhaps early next week the bulk of the activity may
begin to shift back to the west and nw while decreasing some
across east central and se NM. Having said that, given how close
the high center remains to the state, any even rather modest shift
in the high from present indications would significantly shift the
location of greatest storm coverage. 43

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Atmospheric moisture trended up significantly over the past 24 hours
with the 12z KABQ upper air sounding showing a 0.96" PWAT...which
matches a daily record high. This is reflected in higher surface
dewpoint temperatures and a more rainfall-efficient crop of showers
and storms this afternoon. The wetting rain footprint from today's
crop will be improved from yesterday's. Humidity recovery will be
fair to good west and good to excellent east and northern mountains.

Hot...dry and unstable conditions will continue through Saturday
across the northwest quarter of the state while moisture and chances
for wetting rain persist across the remainder of the forecast area
under the influence of high pressure aloft. A new high pressure
center becomes dominant by Sunday over AZ/UT and will exert influence
over areas west of the Continental Divide where hot...dry and
unstable conditions will persist. Moisture advection in the lower
levels of the atmosphere will bring good chances for storms and
wetting rain west all the way to the Continental Divide
Sunday...which looks to be a very active thunderstorm day for much
of the state. This will be the setup through Wednesday as the upper
high moves east to over the four corners.

The 12z GFS and ECMWF differ with the placement of the upper high
beyond mid week...with the GFS offering a much wetter scenario
thanks largely to a backdoor front that pushes through Wedesday
night and sends PWATs trending up. Both models are showing 500mb
pressure heights well below what we saw earlier this week...so
temperatures will likely be closer to normal for a change...
especially if the GFS works-out with what looks to be an early
start to the 2016 monsoon. 11

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
358 AM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

NMZ501>540-241200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
358 AM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS
EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNING FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ADVERSE WEATHER THROUGH THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ
OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. YOU CAN ALSO SUBMIT STORM REPORTS
AND PHOTOS ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA TWITTER USING THE HASHTAG
NMWX.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
329 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     HAIL             ROMEROVILLE             35.52N 105.24W
06/23/2016  M1.00 INCH       SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MOSTLY NICKEL SIZE HAIL BUT OCCASIONALLY QUARTER SIZE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1601316

TRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
335 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

NMZ529-532-533-232200-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
335 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN GUADALUPE AND
SOUTHWESTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

AT 335 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR TECOLOTE...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF LAS VEGAS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DILIA...TECOLOTE...TECOLOTITO...CHAPELLE...
SAN AGUSTIN AND LOS MONTOYAS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 329 AND 336.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A
SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 10536 3554 10521 3532 10483 3512 10505
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 311DEG 17KT 3543 10522

54

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
406 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

NMZ512-514-515-529-232230-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-WEST
SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS-
406 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY
UNTIL 430 PM MDT...

AT 405 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR UPPER COLONIAS...OR 19 MILES EAST OF SANTA FE...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

FREQUENT AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAS VEGAS...PECOS...ROMEROVILLE...TECOLOTE...UPPER COLONIAS...
GLORIETA...SAN PABLO...NORTH SAN YSIDRO...
SAN GERONIMO AND OJITOS FRIOS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 322 AND 343.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A
SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3561 10576 3576 10563 3554 10517 3532 10536
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 305DEG 21KT 3564 10561

54

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
509 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

NMZ508-520-232330-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
509 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SOCORRO COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM MDT...

AT 507 PM MDT...RADAR AND TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF SOCORRO...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED ONE HALF INCH SIZED HAIL COVERING
THE GROUND WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

FREQUENT AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOCORRO...ESCONDIDA...LUIS LOPEZ AND LABORCITA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 137 AND 153.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A
SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER AND HAIL ACCUMULATION ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3388 10705 3413 10708 3412 10676 3410 10676
      3406 10675 3404 10676 3403 10675 3401 10676
      3401 10675 3397 10676 3397 10674 3388 10676
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 178DEG 9KT 3396 10688

54

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
538 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

NMZ533-240015-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-
538 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY
UNTIL 615 PM MDT...

AT 537 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES SOUTH OF ANTON CHICO...OR 27 MILES WEST OF SANTA ROSA...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

FREQUENT AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILAGRO AND PINTADA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 239 AND 262.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A
SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3473 10503 3499 10530 3500 10529 3512 10515
      3493 10481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 311DEG 20KT 3501 10516

54

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
651 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

NMZ534>536-240115-
CURRY COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
651 PM MDT THU JUN 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL CURRY...NORTHWESTERN
ROOSEVELT AND SOUTH CENTRAL QUAY COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM MDT...

AT 651 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF TOLAR...OR 22 MILES EAST OF FORT SUMNER...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL
CURRY...NORTHWESTERN ROOSEVELT AND SOUTH CENTRAL QUAY COUNTIES.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A
SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3442 10388 3459 10395 3476 10352 3450 10341
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 250DEG 26KT 3453 10384

54