Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Las Vegas, NV

423 
WWUS55 KVEF 051116
SVSVEF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
416 AM PDT MON OCT 5 2015

CAC027-NVC023-051126-
/O.CAN.KVEF.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151005T1145Z/
INYO CA-NYE NV-
416 AM PDT MON OCT 5 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN INYO AND SOUTHERN
NYE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3601 11611 3644 11618 3645 11589 3601 11590
TIME...MOT...LOC 1115Z 178DEG 21KT 3621 11601 

$$

PULLIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
208 AM PDT MON OCT 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG AND COOL EARLY SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY
AS WELL AS ACCUMULATING HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. AS THE STORM SYSTEM DEPARTS
TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY...LINGERING SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH WITH
DRY WEATHER RETURNING FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. COOL
TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK...BUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
DURING THE WEEK TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO ABOVE NORMAL READINGS
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

UPPER LOW WHICH WAS CENTERED NEAR LOS ANGELES EARLIER IN THE EVENING
HAS STARTED TO SHIFT EAST THIS MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT MAINLY WEST OF A LINE
FROM LAUGHLIN TO LAS VEGAS TO TONOPAH. STORMS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN
MOVING AROUND 30 MPH TO THE NORTHWEST AND HAVE BEEN PRODUCING BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN AS THEY MOVE OVERHEAD. AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO SHIFT EAST
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
EAST WITH AREAS SUCH AS MOHAVE...CLARK...EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO AND
INYO COUNTIES SEEING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
DUE TO THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND IN INYO COUNTY ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL COULD CAUSE SOME ISSUED WITH RUNOFF WITH OTHER AREAS HAVING
THE POTENTIAL OF SEEING MINOR FLOODING DURING THE DAY. SHEAR
PROFILES ARE ALSO VERY GOOD AND SHOULD HELP SUPPORT ANOTHER DAY OF
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MAINLY THE EASTER HALF OF THE
CWA.

THE LOW WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY EAST TODAY SO THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AND
EVENING. MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY SEE BETWEEN A QUARTER AND HALF
AN INCH OF RAIN WITH SOME LOCALIZED AREAS RECEIVING BETWEEN A HALF
AND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW WAS REPORTED IN
THE SIERRA WITH UPWARDS OF 4 INCHES AROUND THE 9K FOOT LEVEL. SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WERE ALSO NOTED IN THE SPRING MOUNTAINS AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER TO SOUTHERN NEVADA SNOW
LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP AND LOCATIONS ABOVE 8500 FEET COULD SEE
A FEW INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS AFTERNOON. WILL KEEP THE CURRENT WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IN PLACE. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO TRACK
DIRECTLY OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN NEARLY
STALL THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL KEEP AT LEAST SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS GOING THROUGH TUESDAY WITH MOST
OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY CONFINED TO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA.

THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY EJECT EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH JUST
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST THIS MORNING. THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WILL KEEP THE SHORT TERM PERIOD ACTIVE WILL BE
PUSHING SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHERN AZ WEDNESDAY BEFORE STALLING OVER
SOUTHERN NM/AZ BORDER THURSDAY MORNING AND DRIFTING SOUTH. THIS WILL
ALLOW HIGH PRESSURE TO NOSE INTO THE REGION...BRINGING DRIER...
WARMER...AND CALMER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO DOMINATE WELL INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES RISING
BACK ABOVE NORMAL (BACK INTO THE LOW-MID 90'S FOR LAS VEGAS).

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT THE SAME UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
RETROGRADE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND OVER THE PACIFIC SOUTH OF
SAN DIEGO OVER THE WEEKEND. RUN-TO-RUN AGREEMENT ON JUST WHERE THE
LOW ENDS UP IS VERY POOR AS EXPECTED FOR THIS TYPE OF FEATURE...BUT
IT'S CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY THAT IT COULD IMPACT THE REGION (AGAIN)
SOMETIME NEXT WEEK.
&&

AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING
THE MORNING HOURS WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EXPECTED AFTER 15Z
THIS MORNING. CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
MOVES INTO THE VALLEY. THE BEST WINDOW FOR CIGS TO DROP TO 5K FEET
OR LOWER WILL BE BETWEEN 12Z AND 22Z THIS AFTERNOON. VSBYS MAY ALSO
LOWER TO UNDER 6SM AT TIMES. LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE LIKELY.
WINDS WILL FAVOR A NORTHEAST DIRECTION AROUND 6-7 KTS THIS MORNING
AND THEN BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS
AROUND 7-9KTS. ACTIVITY WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE BY LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WITH SHRA REMAINING AROUND
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA EXPECTED THIS MORNING OVER MOST
AREAS WITH RAIN BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER 12Z AND CONTINUING
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.  CIGS MAY DROP AS LOW AS 3K-6K FEET AND VSBY
MAY DROP TO MVFR OR LOWER IN ANY STEADIER OR HEAVIER RAIN AND NEAR
TSRA. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION SHOULD
BECOME MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE BY MONDAY EVENING.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...GORELOW
LONG TERM...WOLCOTT

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1221 AM PDT MON OCT 05 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     SNOW             4 SSE ASPENDELL         37.19N 118.56W
10/04/2015  M4.0 INCH        INYO               CA   PUBLIC

            AN EMPLOYEE AT THE PARCHERS RESORT NEAR SOUTH LAKE
            REPORTED 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW. THE RESORT ELEVATION IS
            9284 FEET.

&&

ASG