Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ

June 24, 2015Greenlee County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this special weather statement at Jun 24, 2015, 1:01 PM MST for Greenlee County, Arizona. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2015, 1:01 PM MST (20:01 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2015, 2:00 PM MST
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

County Greenlee County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 186 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KDMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2015-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2015-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3933 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 24, 8:46 AM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 24, 8:46 AM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
846 AM MST WED JUN 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AS THE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE...THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GREATLY INCREASE TODAY. SOME STORMS
TODAY WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS WITH AREAS OF BLOWING DUST
POSSIBLE. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN CONTINUE
INTO NEXT WEEK...WITH THE WEEKEND SHAPING UP FOR A BUSY THUNDERSTORM
PERIOD. AS THIS HAPPENS...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE CLOSER
TO SEASONAL NORMALS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST IR/WV IMAGERY SHOWS MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WITH SOME LEFTOVER DEBRIS CLOUDINESS
MAINLY ACROSS THE TOHONO OODHAM NATION. THE INVERTED TROUGH THAT
WE'VE BEEN WATCHING OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS IS NOW LOCATED OVER
CHIHUAHUA WITH NORTHEAST STEERING FLOW BETWEEN THIS FEATURE AND THE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION. 12Z KTWC SOUDNING WAS STILL FAIRLY DRY WITH PWAT VALUES
UNDER 1 INCH. HOWEVER...LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND MODEL DATA
ARE ALL DEPICTING CONSIDERABLE MOISTENING OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS. THE TUCSON AREA REMAINS ON THE EDGE OF THE MOISTURE BUT WE
ARE SEEING LOWER LEVELS MOISTEN IN THE TUCSON METRO WITH SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S AND THE 50S WITH 50S TO EVEN SOME LOWER 60S
ACROSS GRAHAM/GREENLEE/COCHISE COUNTIES.

IN TERMS OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TODAY...WE EXPECT A FAIRLY EARLY
START ALONG A LOWER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE...INITIALLY  ACROSS CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE AREA FROM EASTERN PIMA COUNTY INCLUDING THE TUCSON
METRO AREA AND ADJACENT CATALINA/RINCON MOUNTAINS SOUTHWARD INTO
THE SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS AND SANTA CRUZ COUNTY. WITH THE STRONG
INVERTED-V PROFILES THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
BLOWING DUST PUSHING MAINLY TO THE WEST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY BE LESS THAN ONE HALF OF AN INCH IN VALLEYS  WITH THE
MAJORITY OF VALLEY LOCATIONS FROM TUCSON WESTWARD SEEING PRIMARILY
WIND IMPACTS. SOME HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
MOUNTAINS. MEANWHILE...WE ALSO EXPECT DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL PUSH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND LIKELY
RESULT IN GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS MAINLY ACROSS PINAL COUNTY INTO THIS
EVENING. LATEST FORECAST HAS THIS SCENARIO COVERED WELL SO NO
UPDATES THIS MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THROUGH 25/18Z. MOSTLY CLEAR THIS MORNING WITH
DEBRIS CLOUDS CLEARING. HOWEVER...SCT-BKN CLOUDS ABOVE 7-9KFT AGL
WILL INCREASE STARTING AFTER 24/18Z WITH SCT TSRA COVERAGE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AFFECTING MUCH OF SE AZ AFTER 24/19Z.
STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS OF 40-50 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH RELATIVELY BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BE DIRECTED INTO SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
CONTINUING TO RAMP UP THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL
SPREAD WESTWARD EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH REST OF THE WEEK.  INITIAL
THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOWS AND DRY
LIGHTNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY UNTIL MOISTURE BECOMES MORE ENTRENCHED.
WIND GUSTS OF 35-45 MPH WILL BE FAIRLY COMMON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE STRONGEST AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING STORMS TO PRODUCE WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 50 MPH.

EASTERLY WINDS CURRENTLY OVER MUCH OF ZONE 152 WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY AND THURSDAY. WINDS WILL SWING BACK AROUND TO A NORTHWESTERLY
DIRECTION ON FRIDAY. SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WINDS WILL BE
EASTERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

GL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 24, 12:38 PM MST, 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1238 PM MST WED JUN 24 2015

AZZ508-512-242015-
CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING CHIRICAHUA NATIONAL MONUMENT AZ-
EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET INCLUDING DOUGLAS/WILLCOX AZ-
1238 PM MST WED JUN 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COCHISE COUNTY UNTIL
115 PM MST...

AT 1237 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR BISBEE-DOUGLAS AIRPORT...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
COCHISE COUNTY WEST OF DOUGLAS.

LAT...LON 3149 10934 3165 10945 3189 10905 3161 10905
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 021DEG 15KT 3141 10962

GL
Special weather statement, Jun 24, 12:59 PM MST, 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1259 PM MST WED JUN 24 2015

AZZ503-513-242045-
DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
1259 PM MST WED JUN 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SANTA CRUZ COUNTY UNTIL
145 PM MST...

AT 1257 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR KINO SPRINGS. THIS STORM WAS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NOGALES...RIO RICO SOUTHEAST...PATAGONIA...PATAGONIA LAKE...LOCHIEL
AND KINO SPRINGS.

LAT...LON 3170 11089 3154 11055 3133 11056 3133 11099
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 026DEG 3KT 3144 11074

GL
Special weather statement, Jun 24, 1:01 PM MST, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
101 PM MST WED JUN 24 2015

AZZ509-510-242100-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES INCLUDING HANNAGAN
MEADOW AZ-
UPPER GILA RIVER AND ARAVAIPA VALLEYS INCLUDING CLIFTON/SAFFORD AZ-
101 PM MST WED JUN 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GREENLEE AND NORTH
CENTRAL GRAHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM MST...

AT 100 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A SERIES OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF POINT-OF-PINES...MOVING SOUTHWEST
AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANNAGAN MEADOW...POINT-OF-PINES AND ROSE PEAK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3372 10911 3341 10939 3330 10983 3354 10989
      3355 10985 3350 10981 3349 10981 3348 10977
      3356 10967 3357 10968 3358 10966 3358 10962
      3361 10961 3363 10956 3362 10953 3366 10948
      3370 10947 3373 10936 3374 10936 3377 10928
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 041DEG 17KT 3346 10969

CANTIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 6:34 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC41 min
Jun 24, 12:38 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise37 min
Jun 24, 12:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima28 min
Jun 24, 12:59 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz46 min
Jun 24, 2:10 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC50 min
Jun 24, 3:00 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise60 min
Jun 24, 3:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham33 min
Jun 24, 3:41 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise2 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.