Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Tucson, AZ

149 
WWUS55 KTWC 202235
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
335 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

AZC019-202245-
/O.CON.KTWC.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-150820T2245Z/
PIMA AZ-
335 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MST
FOR NORTH CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY...

AT 332 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR AVRA VALLEY. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY 
STATIONARY. REPORTS OF BLOWING DUST AND GUSTS TO 46 MPH HAVE BEEN 
REPORTED IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARANA...AVRA VALLEY AND PICTURE ROCKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 11140 3250 11140 3250 11115 3227 11115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 269DEG 5KT 3241 11127 

$$

RH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
155 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY FROM
TUCSON EAST AND SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. INCREASING CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BEGIN FRIDAY WITH THE BEST
CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE INCREASED
MOISTURE WILL ALSO KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO SEASONAL
AVERAGES FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUED TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SO FAR HAS BEEN
CONFINED TO SANTA CRUZ AND SOUTHWEST COCHISE COUNTIES. A FEW MODELS
SUGGESTED THAT THIS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL EXPAND NORTHWARD THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SHOWERS LINGERING OVERNIGHT. FOR
NOW...WILL NUDGE POP VALUES UP FOR TONIGHT MOST AREAS. THEREAFTER...
MODELS SHOWED THE UPPER HIGH BECOMING ESTABLISHED CLOSE TO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. DURING THIS TRANSITION OF THE UPPER
HIGH...DEEPER MOISTURE NEEDED TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE. THIS WILL LEAD TO A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WHICH HAD ALREADY BEGUN THIS AFTERNOON AND MORE SO OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FRIDAY AND SUNDAY APPEARED TO BE THE
BEST DAYS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN DEEPER MOISTURE...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
WILL LOWER A FEW DEGREES AND LEVEL OFF TO READINGS NEAR NORMAL EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 21/18Z.
SCT TO LOCALLY BKN 8-10K FT AND SCT-BKN LYRS AOA 12K FT. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED -SHRA/-TSRA FROM NEAR KTUS SOUTH AND EAST...MAINLY A
CONCERN FOR KOLS AND KDUG THRU 21/06Z. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE NEAR STRONGER TSRA. OTHERWISE...WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MOISTURE WILL START TO INCREASE WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTHERN
AREAS. THEN THE MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL INCREASE AND
SPREAD THROUGHOUT SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BE TYPICAL FOR MID AUGUST AND GENERALLY LESS
THAN 15 MPH THEN THE WIND WILL BECOME EASTERLY MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...BUT AGAIN GENERALLY REMAINING 15 MPH OR LESS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1243 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

AZZ502>504-515-202015-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
TUCSON METRO AREA INCLUDING TUCSON/GREEN VALLEY/MARANA/VAIL AZ-
TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION INCLUDING SELLS AZ-
BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS INCLUDING KITT PEAK AZ-
1243 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 115 PM
MST...

AT 1242 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THREE POINTS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING DUST AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
THREE POINTS.

LAT...LON 3186 11147 3198 11159 3220 11135 3200 11121
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 215DEG 7KT 3200 11140

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
153 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

AZZ503-507-513-202130-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-
UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON AZ-
153 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN COCHISE AND NORTHEASTERN
SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM MST...

AT 151 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS OVER CANELO...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM. IN ADDITION...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SIERRA VISTA...RIO RICO NORTHEAST...PATAGONIA...CANELO...SONOITA...
PARKER CANYON LAKE...ELGIN AND AMADO.

LAT...LON 3172 11105 3171 11069 3163 11044 3138 11044
      3149 11071 3157 11099
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 284DEG 9KT 3157 11050

CARLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
157 PM MST THU AUG 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S FORT HUACHUCA       31.56N 110.35W
08/20/2015  M60 MPH          COCHISE            AZ   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1500079

HICKFORD