Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jul 5, 2015, 4:42 PM CDT for Sebastian County, Arkansas. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 5, 2015, 4:42 PM CDT (21:42 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 5, 2015, 5:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 33 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
County Sebastian County, AR
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2020 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -25 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 617 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 18 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 48 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 5, 3:51 PM CDT, 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 3:51 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 351 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 .DISCUSSION... SEASONABLY HOT TODAY. UNSEASONABLY HUMID. DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 70S...MANY MID 70S. VINITA LAST HOUR 79 DEWPOINT! HRRR KEEPS TRYING TO MAKE SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDER IN THE SHORT TERM. WILL CONFINE MENTIONABLE POPS TO AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY 75 THIS EVENING. LOWS TONIGHT IN 70S WITH SOUTHERLY BREEZE. VERY WET PERIOD..MONDAY NIGHT TUESDAY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. LOCATIONS FROM ABOUT INTERSTATE 40 ON NORTH MOST AT RISK. HEAVY RAIN ASSURED NORTHEAST OK AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. UPPER FLOW DURING ABOVE PERIOD NOT FAR FROM PARALLEL TO FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IN ADDITION PWA VALUES IN 2.0-2.2 BALLPARK. CLASSIC HEAVY RAIN SET-UP. HEADLINES WITHHELD AT THIS TIME. STAY TUNED. GW && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 76 93 75 81 / 10 20 80 90 FSM 74 92 74 86 / 30 20 20 50 MLC 74 91 75 84 / 20 10 30 50 BVO 73 93 72 79 / 10 30 90 90 FYV 70 87 72 80 / 20 30 40 60 BYV 70 88 72 80 / 30 20 50 70 MKO 73 91 74 82 / 20 10 40 80 MIO 73 90 72 78 / 20 20 90 80 F10 74 91 74 81 / 10 10 40 70 HHW 74 93 75 88 / 10 10 20 30 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. AR...NONE. && SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....21
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 12:35 PM CDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1235 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1235 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
COULD PRODUCE BRIEF DOWNBURST WINDS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL DIMINISH
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
IN ADDITION...NEAR TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES WILL AFFECT MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO
MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 44 IN
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS A SLOW MOVING FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD...
WITH HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIAL FLOODING LIKELY. RIGHT NOW...IT
APPEARS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO SEE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND...LEADING TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 5, 4:42 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
442 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
ARZ020-029-052215-
SEBASTIAN AR-FRANKLIN AR-
442 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL SEBASTIAN AND
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...
AT 441 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
WASHBURN. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHARLESTON...GREENWOOD...WASHBURN...BURNVILLE...BLOOMER...FORT
CHAFFEE AND MILLTOWN.
LAT...LON 3523 9403 3514 9403 3514 9414 3511 9414
3517 9423 3532 9416 3527 9392 3523 9392
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 304DEG 3KT 3519 9411The office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 7:22 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Choctaw | 53 min |
| Jul 4, 8:19 PM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Franklin, Johnson, Logan | 26 hr |
| Jul 5, 3:09 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | Carroll | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 3:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Carroll | 4 hr |
| Jul 5, 4:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin, Sebastian | 40 min |
| Jul 5, 5:42 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 5:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Crawford | 46 min |
| Jul 5, 5:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 39 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.