River Flood Warning 100, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
1139 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR/IFR CIGS and VSBYS will continue for the early portion of the
TAF period as rain continues to move off to the east. MVFR CIGS are
expected to hold at all sites once VSBYS improve to VFR
later...VFR CIGS expected late in the TAF period at all sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1055 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Rainfall rates have slowed as the morning has progressed...and flooding
has remained limited and of the areal type. Several mainstem
rivers in the areas of higher rainfall across ern OK and over the
past 24 hours are still expected to experience mostly minor
flooding. This update will reflect improving conditions from west
to east across the forecast area this afternoon...and will include
lowering pops and adjustments to first period QPF amounts. Have
also removed thunder mention for the remainder of the first period
as well. Some of the aforementioned areal flooding will remain
ongoing into the afternoon...but will improve as rain comes to an
end later today. Current flash flood watch set to expire at
noon which looks reasonable at this time. Another update will be
required at that time to remove headlines. Otherwise...a quiet
period of weather can be expected this week.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly.

TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch until noon CST today for OKZ049-053-057-058-
     062-063-067>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch until noon CST today for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

SHORT TERM...23

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch until noon CST today for OKZ049-053-057-058-
     062-063-067>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch until noon CST today for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION...23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1145 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141130-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1145 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FLOODING.
	RISK...LIMITED.
    AREA...PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
           ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
RAINFALL RATES HAVE SLOWED AS THE MORNING HAS PROGRESSED...AND FLOODING
HAS REMAINED LIMITED AND OF THE AREAL TYPE. RAINFALL WILL TAPER OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER SOME AREAL FLOODING WILL
REMAIN ONGOING...MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

SEVERAL MAINSTEM RIVERS IN THE AREAS OF HIGHER RAINFALL ACROSS
ERN OK AND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE
MOSTLY MINOR FLOODING.

ADDITIONALLY...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT MAY
GUST BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MILES AN TIMES THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL RELAX SOME BY LATE AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT WEEK AFTER TODAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
928 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SILOAM SPRINGS          36.19N 94.54W
12/12/2015                   BENTON             AR   PUBLIC

            2 SHEDS FROM THE LOWES BLEW INTO THE WALMART PARKING LOT.
            SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO THE GARDEN CENTER AT THE LOWES.

&&

LACY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1239 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1221 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SE INOLA              36.12N 95.47W
12/13/2015                   ROGERS             OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER COVERING ROADWAY NEAR INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROADS
            SOUTH 4240 AND EAST 620 SOUTHEAST OF INOLA.

&&

JDS