Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Watches in 2015
Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood watch at May 7, 2015, 2:12 PM CDT for 22 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas. It took effect at May 7, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 7, 2015, 2:12 PM CDT (19:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 7, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 11, 2015, 3:49 AM CDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Flood severity
- None
All 26 counties
Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 324 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -126 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 979 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 228 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 217 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
018 WGUS64 KTSA 071912 FFATSA URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 212 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015 ...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081000- /O.NEW.KTSA.FF.A.0002.150508T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE- TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL- LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI... PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 212 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON... CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG... CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES... MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE... OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH... TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. * FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FROM THE WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY IN THE STRONGER STORMS. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES...AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 7 TO 8 INCHES. IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MATERIALIZE AS EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY. THE THREAT FOR RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO BE LIKELY IN AREAS WHERE THE HEAVIER RAIN OCCURS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT SWEEPS EAST OF THE AREA WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
8 follow-up statements
502 WGUS64 KTSA 080830 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 330 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 ...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-082100- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE- TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL- LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI... PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 330 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL... LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA... OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG... PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING A WEAKENING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL GRADUALLY MOVE OUT OF WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL TO THE WEST TODAY...WITH THE ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY MOVING INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MAINLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES...AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 7 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MATERIALIZE AS EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY. THE THREAT FOR RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO BE LIKELY IN AREAS WHERE THE HEAVIER RAIN OCCURS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT SWEEPS EAST OF THE AREA WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA... KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
143 WGUS64 KTSA 082024 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 324 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 ...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-090930- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE- TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL- LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI... PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 324 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL... LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA... OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG... PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING * MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...AND PERHAPS LASTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES...AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT SWEEPS EAST OF THE AREA WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ISOLATED TOTALS TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MATERIALIZE AS EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING AND WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA... KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
975 WGUS64 KTSA 090844 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 344 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015 ...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-092130- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE- TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL- LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI... PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 344 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL... LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA... OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG... PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING * MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAKENING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT SWEEPS EAST OF THE AREA WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MATERIALIZE AS EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING AND WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA... KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
950 WGUS64 KTSA 092027 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 327 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-100900- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE- TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL- LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI... PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 327 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL... LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA... OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG... PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING * THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE SPREADING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT SWEEPS EAST OF THE AREA WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA... KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
617 WGUS64 KTSA 100828 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 328 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-102130- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE- TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL- LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI... PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 328 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL... LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA... OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG... PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING * ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO LIFT OUT OF TEXAS AND INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY MID MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH STORMS SWEEPING ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL DIMINISH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT EXITS. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA... KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
013 WGUS64 KTSA 102051 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 351 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-110500- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE- TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL- LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI... PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 351 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL... LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA... OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG... PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING * ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO LIFT OUT OF TEXAS AND INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT IS MOVING INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT BEFORE STORMS SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WHERE UP TO 9 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. REMEMBER...MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES AND FLOODING IS THE LEADING CAUSE OF WEATHER RELATED DEATHS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA... KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
679 WGUS64 KTSA 110254 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 954 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 OKZ054>057-059>061-064>066-110400- /O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-CREEK- OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA... VINITA...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE 954 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED. $$ ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-058-062-063-067>076- 111200- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OTTAWA-MAYES-DELAWARE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR- MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...MIAMI...PRYOR...JAY...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL... MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON... POTEAU 954 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PARTS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE... MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...OTTAWA...PITTSBURG... PUSHMATAHA...SEQUOYAH AND WAGONER. * UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE BUT WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES REMAINS POSSIBLE IN SOME PLACES. SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY IN SOME AREAS WITH WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO EARLY THIS COMING WEEK. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WHERE UP TO 9 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. REMEMBER...MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES AND FLOODING IS THE LEADING CAUSE OF WEATHER RELATED DEATHS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA... KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
546 WGUS64 KTSA 110849 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 349 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2015 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-058-062-063-067>076- 111000- /O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-150511T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OTTAWA-MAYES-DELAWARE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR- MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...MIAMI...PRYOR...JAY...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL... MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON... POTEAU 349 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED. HOWEVER...AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 7, 12:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 7, 12:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1220 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015 .AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. BREAK IN THE STORMS EARLY IN THE PERIOD. CONVECTIVE CLUSTER MOVING ACROSS SW OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PARTS OF EASTERN OK...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS 22Z WITH POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS WITHIN HEAVIER CELLS. ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT DEVELOP TO THE WEST LATER TODAY MAY EVENTUALLY IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH A TREND TOWARD WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 850 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2015/ DISCUSSION... ISSUING ANOTHER UPDATE TO LOWER POPS ACROSS NW ARKANSAS FOR LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS ONGOING CLUSTER OF STORM WILL MOVE OUT IN NEXT 1-2 HOURS AND LEAVE STABLE AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE. FOR LATER AFTERNOON...WELL DEFINED WAVE IN WSW FLOW SEEN MOVING ACROSS TX PANHANDLE THIS MORNING WITH SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING. SOME CLEARING AHEAD OF THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME DESTABILIZATION OVER AT LEAST WESTERN OK AND STORMS SHOULD EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO EASTERN OK BEFORE 00Z. HAVE RAISED POPS TO LIKELY FOR WESTERN AREAS THIS AFTERNOON...SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH WE CAN DESTABILIZE IN EASTERN OK. NOT CERTAIN AT THIS TIME. REST OF FORECAST GOOD FOR NOW. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 629 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2015/ AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. ONGOING CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD AND IMPACT WESTERN AR SITES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THEREAFTER CONDITIONS WILL BE STABILIZED FOR SOME TIME BEFORE STORMS AGAIN DEVELOP WEST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING...AND SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. WHILE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING EITHER WITH STORMS OR SPOTTY LOW CLOUDS...THE TREND WILL BE TOWARD VFR CONDITIONS UNTIL THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIP ARRIVES. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2015/ DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS AS SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OF AROUND 50 KNOTS PERSISTS ACROSS THE REGION. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE ACTIVE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER OREGON DIVES SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND AND WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY SUNDAY EVENING. A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRY LINE ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN OKLAHOMA LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THIS ACTIVITY WILL PUSH INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH ELEVATED INSTABILITY THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. A SIMILAR SCENARIO IS EXPECTED TO PLAY OUT ON FRIDAY AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA NEAR THE DRY LINE AND PROGRESS TO THE EAST DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE WILL ALSO BE THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS FRIDAY EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE MOST ACTIVE DAYS AS FAR AS SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN ARE CONCERNED. THIS COINCIDES WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS AND BRINGING IT IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND PUSH EAST INTO THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME-FRAME WITH BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. SUNDAY WILL SEE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DURING THE AFTERNOON. A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE WILL MARCH ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO SUNDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME LOCATION. THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL COME TO AN END ON MONDAY AS THE COLD FRONT EXITS TO THE EAST. IN GENERAL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE FROM NOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SOME LOCATIONS RECORDING UPWARDS OF 7 INCHES OF RAIN. FLASH FLOOD HEADLINES WILL MOST LIKELY BE NEEDED AT SOMETIME OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MORE BENIGN WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM. && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. AR...NONE. && SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...14
Hazardous weather outlook, May 7, 1:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 100 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081015- ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK- CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK- LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK- OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK- PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR- 100 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. TORNADO. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA. ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA. ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. FLASH FLOOD. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 69. ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 69. ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. DISCUSSION... A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS THESE STORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SOME AS THEY APPROACH EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH TIME TO RECOVER FROM THE MORNING STORMS...WITH ENOUGH WIND SHEAR TO SUPPORT A SEVERE WEATHER RISK OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. AN INCREASING CONCERN IS THE EXPECTATION OF ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IS UNCERTAIN...RECENT RAINS WILL ALLOW FOR FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP RATHER QUICKLY. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS. WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... THE WEATHER PATTERN FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL SUPPORT SEVERAL ROUNDS OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY...AND SPREAD EASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA FRIDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SATURDAY APPEARS TO THE BE A DAY OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY INCLUDING LONG TRACK TORNADOES. THESE STORMS HAVE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND POSSIBLY WESTERN ARKANSAS. SUNDAY WILL AGAIN BE A SEVERE WEATHER DAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE FLOODING LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ANY WEEKEND PLANS NEED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THIS IS A POPULAR TIME FOR OUTDOOR FESTIVALS AND THOSE EVENTS SHOULD TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING POTENTIAL. WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 12:28 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Okfuskee | 47 min |
| May 7, 12:41 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | Okfuskee | 94 min |
| May 7, 3:11 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Okmulgee | 34 min |
| May 7, 3:54 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Pittsburg | 51 min |
| May 7, 4:25 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee | 50 min |
| May 7, 5:15 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Cherokee, Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee | 45 min |
| May 7, 5:56 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 49 min |
| May 7, 6:38 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Adair | 52 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every flash flood watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.