Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2015
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Topeka, KS
NWS Topeka, KS issued this winter storm warning at Dec 27, 2015, 4:06 AM CST for 23 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Dec 27, 2015, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 20 hr. 22 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 27, 2015, 4:06 AM CST (10:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 27, 2015, 6:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Dec 28, 2015, 2:26 PM CST
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Topeka, KS
All 23 counties
Anderson County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 6:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.5 | 3 Ene Topeka, KS | MESONET STATION TOPEKA KS /TOP/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.5 | Blue Rapids, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION BLUE RAPIDS /BRPK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.5 | Eskridge, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION ESKRIDGE /ESKK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.6 | Alta Vista, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION ALTA VISTA /ALVK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.6 | Mcfarland, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MCFARLAND /MCFK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.8 | 2 Nne Grantville, KS | COCORAHS STATION GRANTVILLE 1.6 NE /KS-JF-3/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 1 | 1 S Baileyville, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION BAILYVILLE /BLYK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 1 | 3 Ssw Valley Falls, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION VALLEY FALLS 3 SW /VLYK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 1.2 | 2 Nw Onaga, KS | COCORAHS STATION ONAGA 2.1 NW /KS-PT-1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 1.6 | 1 Nnw Manhattan, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MANHATTAN /MHTK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 2 | 2 Nnw Beattie, KS | AS OF 7 AM |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 2 | Blaine, KS | AS OF 7 AM |
| Dec 28, 7:00 AM CST | SNOW 2 | Blaine, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION BLAINE /BLNK1/ |
| Dec 28, 7:20 AM CST | SNOW 1.5 | 4 Sw Topeka, KS | COCORAHS STATION 3 SW TOPEKA /KS-SN-27/ |
| Dec 28, 8:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.6 | 1 Ese Marysville, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MARYSVILLE /MRVK1/ |
| Dec 28, 8:00 AM CST | SNOW 0.8 | 1 Wsw Holton, KS | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION HOLTON /HLTK1/ |
| Dec 28, 8:00 AM CST | SNOW 1 | Onaga, KS | COCORAHS STATION ONAGA 0.3 ESE /KS-PT-17/ |
| Dec 28, 8:01 AM CST | SNOW 0.5 | 1 Nw Lawrence, KS | COCORAHS STATION LAWRENCE 1.3 NW /KS-DG-15/ |
| Dec 28, 10:48 AM CST | SNOW 2.4 | Nortonville, KS | 12-18 INCH DRIFTS |
| Dec 28, 10:48 AM CST | SNOW 2.4 | Valley Falls, KS | 12-18 INCH DRIFTS |
| Dec 28, 11:29 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | 8 S Burlington, KS | POWER OUTAGES REPORTED ACROSS COFFEY COUNTY |
| Dec 28, 12:56 PM CST | SLEET 0.5 | Garnett, KS | SLEET TOTAL AS OF 1245 PM. SNOW STARTING TO MIX WITH THE SLEET. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 533 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 82 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -168 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
131 WWUS43 KTOP 271006 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 406 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-054>056-058-059-272100- /O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0002.151227T1800Z-151229T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0003.151228T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE- DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SENECA...HIAWATHA...WAMEGO...HOLTON... OSKALOOSA...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY... OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT 406 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM CST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM CST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL FALL MAINLY BETWEEN 6PM TONIGHT AND 6PM ON MONDAY EVENING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 9PM TONIGHT AND 3PM MONDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. AN AXIS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FROM EMPORIA TO TOPEKA TO HIAWATHA EASTWARD. HIGHER AMOUNTS OF ICE MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE BY MONDAY MORNING. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS. THERE MAY ALSO BE POWER OUTAGES AND TREE DAMAGE DUE TO THE ACCUMULATION OF ICE AND STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ KSZ008>010-020>022-034>037-272100- /O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0002.151227T1800Z-151229T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0003.151228T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON- GEARY-MORRIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...MARYSVILLE... CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...COUNCIL GROVE 406 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM CST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM CST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AFTER SUNSET SUNDAY. THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL BECOME MOST WIDESPREAD BY SUNRISE MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS DUE TO SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$
6 follow-up statements
768 WWUS43 KTOP 272124 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 324 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-054>056-058-059-281200- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.151228T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE- DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SENECA...HIAWATHA...WAMEGO...HOLTON... OSKALOOSA...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY... OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT 324 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY... * TIMING...MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATER THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 9PM TONIGHT AND 3PM MONDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. AN AXIS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FROM EMPORIA TO TOPEKA TO HIAWATHA EASTWARD. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ KSZ008>010-020>022-034>037-281200- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.151228T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON- GEARY-MORRIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...MARYSVILLE... CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...COUNCIL GROVE 324 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY... * TIMING...A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATER THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 12AM TONIGHT AND 3PM MONDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS DUE TO SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$
299 WWUS43 KTOP 272319 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 519 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-054>056-058-059-281000- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.151228T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE- DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SENECA...HIAWATHA...WAMEGO...HOLTON... OSKALOOSA...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY... OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT 519 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY. * TIMING...MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATER THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 9PM TONIGHT AND 3PM MONDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. AN AXIS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FROM EMPORIA TO TOPEKA TO HIAWATHA EASTWARD. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. && $$ KSZ008>010-020>022-034>037-281000- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.151228T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON- GEARY-MORRIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...MARYSVILLE... CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...COUNCIL GROVE 519 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY. * TIMING...A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATER THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 12AM TONIGHT AND 3PM MONDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS DUE TO SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. && $$
969 WWUS43 KTOP 280454 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 1054 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-054>056-058-059-281000- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE- DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SENECA...HIAWATHA...WAMEGO...HOLTON... OSKALOOSA...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY... OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT 1054 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY. * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 3AM AND NOON MONDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LINE FROM EMPORIA TO LAWRENCE. 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM EMPORIA TO LAWRENCE. AN AXIS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE FROM EMPORIA TO TOPEKA TO HIAWATHA EASTWARD. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. && $$ KSZ008>010-020>022-034>037-281000- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON- GEARY-MORRIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...MARYSVILLE... CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...COUNCIL GROVE 1054 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST MONDAY. * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 4 AM AND NOON MONDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH...CAUSING BLOWING SNOW AND SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. && $$
568 WWUS43 KTOP 280946 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 346 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 KSZ008-009-020-021-034-035-281800- /O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KTOP.WW.Y.0012.151228T0946Z-151229T0300Z/ REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...CONCORDIA... CLAY CENTER...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE 346 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 5 AM AND 1 PM TODAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM HERINGTON TO WASHINGTON. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH...CAUSING BLOWING SNOW AND SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-054>056-058-059-281800- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE- DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SENECA...HIAWATHA...WAMEGO...HOLTON... OSKALOOSA...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY... OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT 346 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 4 AM AND 2 PM TODAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LINE FROM EMPORIA TO LAWRENCE. 2 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM EMPORIA TO LAWRENCE. AN AXIS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO TWO TENOF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE FROM BURLINGTON TO LAWRENCE EASTWARD. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH. THESE WINDS COULD SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. && $$ KSZ010-022-036-037-281800- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ MARSHALL-RILEY-GEARY-MORRIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...MANHATTAN... JUNCTION CITY...COUNCIL GROVE 346 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 4 AM AND 1 PM TODAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH...CAUSING BLOWING SNOW AND SEVERELY LIMIT VISIBILITIES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. && $$
958 WWUS43 KTOP 281716 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 1116 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 KSZ010-022-036-037-290000- /O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/ /O.EXB.KTOP.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-151229T0000Z/ MARSHALL-RILEY-GEARY-MORRIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...MANHATTAN... JUNCTION CITY...COUNCIL GROVE 1116 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ENDING AROUND SUNSET. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE HIGHWAY 77 CORRIDOR...WITH VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ACCUMULATION. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-054>056-058-059-290000- /O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0000Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE- DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SENECA...HIAWATHA...WAMEGO...HOLTON... OSKALOOSA...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY... OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT 1116 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 10 AM AND 2 PM TODAY. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY 75 CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...AND UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN AFTER 10 AM. AREAS NEAR AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 CAN EXPECT UP TO ANOTHER INCH OF SLEET AND SNOW AFTER 10 AM. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...NORTH WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 35 MPH...LIMITING VISIBILITY DURING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. * IMPACTS...VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. && $$ KSZ008-009-020-021-034-035-290000- /O.EXT.KTOP.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-151229T0000Z/ REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...CONCORDIA... CLAY CENTER...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE 1116 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ENDING AROUND SUNSET. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED...WITH VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ACCUMULATION. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
275 WWUS43 KTOP 282026 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 226 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-054>056-058-059-290000- /O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151229T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTOP.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-151229T0000Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE- DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SENECA...HIAWATHA...WAMEGO...HOLTON... OSKALOOSA...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY... OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT 226 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ENDING AROUND SUNSET. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A DUSTING TO UP TO AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED IN FAR EASTERN KANSAS...WITH VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ACCUMULATION. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO EARLY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ KSZ008>010-020>022-034>037-290000- /O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-151229T0000Z/ REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON- GEARY-MORRIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...MARYSVILLE... CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...COUNCIL GROVE 226 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ENDING AROUND SUNSET. * SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO EARLY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 26, 11:10 PM CST, 4 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 11:10 PM CST, 4 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Topeka KS 1110 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...AVIATION UPDATE... .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday) Issued at 322 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 An inverted surface trough has developed south of the area as high pressure continues to slide down the high plains. A low level jet will develop later this evening with southwest flow aloft a mid level low ejecting. This low level jet will supply moisture and focus lift north of the surface trough. Rain has already began to spread northward from OK. Meanwhile the freezing line is currently located just northwest of the area. Through the evening the majority of the area will see rain, but there will be a change over to a wintry mix. As of now the temperature of the warm nose would suggest snow and sleet once temps are below freezing at the surface. There could be a brief period of freezing rain at the onset. The freezing line will advance eastward through the evening and overnight, so expect the wintry mix on the northwest side of the precip shield. Snow and sleet totals could amount to a few inches with a glaze of ice in the southwest portions of the forecast area by sunrise. After this initial round there should be a break in the precip with the exception of the far southern portion of the forecast area. Areas along and near I-35 could see a light wintry mix through the day tomorrow. Further east temperatures will be above freezing so mainly rain would occur. Again light accumulations are possible in these areas. The main mid/upper level low pressure begins to lift northward over the plains. Precip should overspread the area tomorrow evening as the large scale lift increases. There will be plenty of moisture and lift with this system have discounted the GFS, which has a lull Sunday night. As the system moves over eastern KS the mass fields increase and a low level jet increases out of the east wrapping moist warm air back over the sub freezing surface area. There is some model disagreement as to how warm these temperatures will actually be during the overnight. The NAM is the warmest solution and would suggest more freezing rain. This would mean a band of potentially devastating ice amounts across the area. The ECMWF, GFS, GEM, ARM, NMM show cooler warm nose temps and would imply more sleet and snow than freezing rain therefore it is the preferred solutions. As the mid/upper low tracks over MO the mid levels are forecast to cool and a change over to snow will be more likely. At the surface the freezing line is forecast to set up in east central KS, near a line from Lawrence to Burlington from tomorrow morning through Monday morning with some variability. So locations east of this line could see mostly rain through this period, but a major uncertainty in this forecast. Periods of moderate precip will be possible late tomorrow evening through Monday afternoon. The models cool most of the warm nose to support mainly snow some time Monday morning. Precip could start as a mix mainly across eastern KS. This is where up to a quarter inch of ice is possible especially near this freezing line. This is also where there could be a tight gradient of snow by Monday evening. The axis of heavy snow looks to be in the western half of the forecast area with generally 6 to 8 inches. Mesoscale banding and potential instability could lead to localized higher amounts. .LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Saturday) Issued at 322 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 Snow will come to an end overnight Monday as the main system lifts northeast out of the area. High pressure will move over northeast Kansas during the day Tuesday allowing dry conditions with partly sunny skies. The next chance for precipitation is Tuesday night through Wednesday morning associated with a quick moving trough. Precipitation would fall in the form of snow as thermal profiles keep the entire column below freezing. Light snow accumulations would be possible in addition to what is still on the ground from the previous system. While models disagree on the overall synoptic pattern the rest of the period, the consensus is dry conditions. High temperatures will stay at or below freezing next week with lows ranging from the mid-teens to single digits. Wind chills near zero and below zero are possible. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday) Issued at 1110 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The HRRR/RAP/NAM/GFS all show low level dry air working in from the north overnight, which explains the diminishing radar returns over northeast KS. Therefore will continue to show precip coming to an end over the next few hours. There may still be a wintry mix at TOP and FOE before the end of precip. Otherwise the MVFR CIGS and gusty north winds are expected to persist through Sunday. There are some signs that the MVFR CIGS could scatter out by late in the day Sunday. Confidence is low in this as model progs of RH show TOP on the RH gradient. MHK may have a better chance to become VFR late in the day. Models are showing the next round of precip to move in mainly after 06Z SUnday. Therefore once this evenings precip ends, think conditions will remain dry until late Sunday night. && .TOP Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Winter Storm Watch from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon for KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059. && SHORT TERM...Sanders LONG TERM...Heller AVIATION...Wolters
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 3:42 PM CST, 12 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 342 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-272145- REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY- POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS- WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- 342 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW TONIGHT WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WINTER WEATHER IS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR IMPACTFUL WINTER WEATHER FROM ACCUMULATING SNOW IS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL AS ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED FOR MORE INFORMATION IN LATER FORECASTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2015Every winter storm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.