Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Topeka, KS

May 8, 2015Clay County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this river flood warning at May 8, 2015, 1:43 AM CDT for Clay County, Kansas. It took effect at May 8, 2015, 7:30 AM CDT. It was in force for 26 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 8, 2015, 1:43 AM CDT (06:43 UTC)
In effect from: May 8, 2015, 7:30 AM CDT
Expired: May 9, 2015, 9:24 AM CDT
In force: 26 hr
Issued by: NWS Topeka, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Clay County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Republican River at Concordia (CNKK1). The gauge peaked at 15.44 ft at May 8, 2015, 1:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 10 ft
Minor stage: 15 ft
Moderate stage: 18 ft
Major stage: 30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06856000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

870 
WGUS43 KTOP 080643
FLWTOP
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
143 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a flood 
warning for the following streams in Kansas...

  Republican River at Concordia affecting Cloud and Clay Counties
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC027-081443-
/O.NEW.KTOP.FL.W.0007.150508T1400Z-150509T1424Z/
/CNKK1.1.ER.150508T1400Z.150508T1800Z.150509T0224Z.NO/
143 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a 

* Flood warning for 
  The Republican River at Concordia.
* from this morning to Saturday morning.
* At  1:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 15.4 feet by this afternoon.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from the 
  Nebraska border downstream to Clay Center along the Republican 
  River.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 9752 3961 9737 3957 9737 3958 9772 3960 9772




$$

KSC027-081443-
/O.NEW.KTOP.FL.W.0008.150508T1722Z-150512T0515Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.150508T1722Z.150509T1800Z.150511T1715Z.NO/
143 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a 

* Flood warning for 
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* from this afternoon to late Monday night.
* At  1:30 AM Friday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 17.7 feet by Saturday evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

5 follow-up statements

337 
WGUS83 KTOP 080941
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
441 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Republican River near Scandia affecting Republic County
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River near Hollenberg affecting Washington County
  Republican River at Concordia affecting Cloud County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-081741-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150511T0652Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.150508T0158Z.150509T0600Z.150510T1252Z.NR/
441 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until late Sunday night.
* At 10:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 22.7 feet...The farm field north of the river and west 
  of Kansas Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC201-081740-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150510T0352Z/
/HBGK1.3.ER.150507T2123Z.150508T1200Z.150509T1552Z.NR/
441 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River near Hollenberg.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  4:00 AM Friday the stage was 21.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river has crested near 23 feet. The river will 
  continue falling to below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.8 feet...Right bank floods just south of the 
  Hollenberg Avenue bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4006 9711 4009 9706 3992 9691 3992 9695 3994 9700




$$

KSC117-081740-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150511T1740Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.150508T0540Z.150509T1800Z.150511T0540Z.NO/
441 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  4:00 AM Friday the stage was 30.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 44.5 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC027-081740-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0007.150508T1400Z-150509T1424Z/
/CNKK1.1.ER.150508T1400Z.150508T1800Z.150509T0224Z.NO/
441 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Concordia.
* from this morning to Saturday morning.
* At  4:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 15.4 feet by this afternoon.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from the 
  Nebraska border downstream to Clay Center along the Republican 
  River.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 9752 3961 9737 3957 9737 3958 9772 3960 9772




$$

KSC027-081740-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.150508T1722Z-150512T0515Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.150508T1722Z.150509T1800Z.150511T1715Z.NO/
441 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* from this afternoon to late Monday night.
* At  3:30 AM Friday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 17.7 feet by Saturday evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC157-081740-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150509T0507Z/
/SNDK1.2.ER.150507T0526Z.150507T2345Z.150508T1107Z.NO/
441 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River near Scandia.
* until late tonight.
* At  4:15 AM Friday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Houses in Scandia near the river begin to 
  experience first floor flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9789 3992 9782 3960 9769 3960 9773 3962 9779




$$

340 
WGUS83 KTOP 081231
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
731 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River near Hollenberg affecting Washington County
  Republican River at Concordia affecting Clay County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-082031-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150510T2113Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.150508T0158Z.150509T0000Z.150510T0313Z.NR/
731 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday before 
  midnight.
* Impact...At 22.7 feet...The farm field north of the river and west 
  of Kansas Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC201-082031-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150509T0748Z/
/HBGK1.2.ER.150507T2123Z.150508T0215Z.150508T1948Z.NR/
731 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River near Hollenberg.
* until late tonight.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.8 feet...Right bank floods just south of the 
  Hollenberg Avenue bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4006 9711 4009 9706 3992 9691 3992 9695 3994 9700




$$

KSC117-082031-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150511T1708Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.150508T0540Z.150509T1200Z.150511T0508Z.NO/
731 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 32.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.5 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC027-082031-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0007.150508T1230Z-150509T1424Z/
/CNKK1.1.ER.150508T1138Z.150508T1800Z.150509T0224Z.NO/
731 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Concordia.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.4 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from the 
  Nebraska border downstream to Clay Center along the Republican 
  River.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 9752 3961 9737 3957 9737 3958 9772 3960 9772




$$

KSC027-082031-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.150508T1748Z-150512T0515Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.150508T1748Z.150509T1800Z.150511T1715Z.NO/
731 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* from this afternoon to late Monday night.
* At  6:30 AM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 17.7 feet by Saturday evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

303 
WGUS83 KTOP 081433
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
933 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River near Hollenberg affecting Washington County
  Republican River at Concordia affecting Clay County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-082233-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150510T1125Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.150508T0158Z.150509T0000Z.150509T1725Z.NO/
933 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 10:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday early 
  afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC201-082233-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150509T0600Z/
/HBGK1.2.ER.150507T2123Z.150508T0215Z.150508T1800Z.NR/
933 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River near Hollenberg.
* until late tonight.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.4 feet...Hollenberg avenue floods about a quarter 
  mile west of the railroad tracks.

&&

LAT...LON 4006 9711 4009 9706 3992 9691 3992 9695 3994 9700




$$

KSC117-082233-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150511T2254Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.150508T0540Z.150509T1800Z.150511T1054Z.NO/
933 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 33.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.7 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC027-082233-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150509T1500Z/
/CNKK1.1.ER.150508T1138Z.150508T1800Z.150509T0300Z.NO/
933 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Concordia.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.5 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from the 
  Nebraska border downstream to Clay Center along the Republican 
  River.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 9752 3961 9737 3957 9737 3958 9772 3960 9772




$$

KSC027-082233-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.150509T1000Z-150512T0840Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.150509T1000Z.150510T0600Z.150511T2040Z.NO/
933 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* from late tonight to late Monday night.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 17.1 feet by early Sunday morning.the river will 
  fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

571 
WGUS83 KTOP 082212
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
512 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Republican River at Concordia affecting Clay County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-090612-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150511T2254Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.150508T0540Z.150509T1800Z.150511T1054Z.NO/
512 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  4:00 PM Friday the stage was 37.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.7 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC117-090612-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150510T1125Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.150508T0158Z.150509T0000Z.150509T1725Z.NO/
512 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Sunday morning.
* At  4:00 PM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday early 
  afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC027-090612-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150509T1500Z/
/CNKK1.1.ER.150508T1138Z.150508T1915Z.150509T0300Z.NO/
512 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Concordia.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  5:00 PM Friday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from the 
  Nebraska border downstream to Clay Center along the Republican 
  River.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 9752 3961 9737 3957 9737 3958 9772 3960 9772




$$

KSC027-090612-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.150509T1000Z-150512T0840Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.150509T1000Z.150510T0600Z.150511T2040Z.NO/
512 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* from late tonight to late Monday night.
* At  5:00 PM Friday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 17.1 feet by early Sunday morning.the river will 
  fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

499 
WGUS83 KTOP 090152
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
852 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following streams in 
Kansas...

  Republican River at Concordia affecting Clay County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-090952-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150511T2254Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.150508T0540Z.150509T1800Z.150511T1054Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 39.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.7 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC117-090952-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150510T1200Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.150508T0158Z.150508T2100Z.150509T1800Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Sunday morning.
* At  4:00 PM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.7 feet...The farm field north of the river and west 
  of Kansas Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC027-090222-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150509T1500Z/
/CNKK1.1.ER.150508T1138Z.150508T1915Z.150508T2255Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Republican River at Concordia.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  5:55 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 10.8 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from the 
  Nebraska border downstream to Clay Center along the Republican 
  River.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 9752 3961 9737 3957 9737 3958 9772 3960 9772




$$

KSC027-090952-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.150509T1000Z-150512T0840Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.150509T1000Z.150510T1200Z.150511T2040Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* from late tonight to late Monday night.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 17.3 feet by Sunday morning.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 8, 12:12 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 8, 12:12 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1212 AM CDT Fri May 8 2015

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 405 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

Challenging forecast again tonight with somewhat disorganized
convection this evening and overnight.  Band of stronger
thunderstorms forming in weak convergence and max instability axis
from central KS to southeast Nebraska.  0-6 km bulk shear in that
area in the 30 kt range while 0-1 km shear is weak.  Storms could
display some organization with hail and wind the main severe
threats.  Very heavy rain may also be a concern with slow storm
movement and the potential for some training.  Showers and isolated
thunderstorms in east central KS in an area of weak isentropic lift
and have persisted for awhile today and are not going away by late
afternoon.  RAP and last few HRRR runs have done alright with
development along boundary/instability axis and have this area
persist and then move southeast overnight.  Heavy rain will be the
main threat later tonight.

Challenge for Friday is how much remnant showers/storms will occur
in the morning.  Believe best chances of persistence into the
morning will be in east central Kansas.  Several models are then
supportive of a shortwave impulse coming out of the southwest moving
into forecast area around early evening on Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 405 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

By Friday evening severe convection will form along the dry line
across far southwest KS. That area of convection will likely expand
in coverage as it moves northeastward through the overnight hours.
At the surface a warm front will begin to lift back northward into
the day Saturday. Convection looks to generally track along this
front passing through most of southern KS. Lapse rates decrease
during the evening hours as mid to upper 60 dewpoints spread into
the southern half of the forecast area. This places cape values in
the 1500-2500 j/kg valid at 00Z. Models agree that the cape will
decrease, but remains somewhat modest as the deep layer shear
increases to around 35 kts. The NAM is the most aggressive with an
increasing low level jet developing over southern KS as the storms
approach the area. Given the parameters in place strong to severe
storms are possible. The models are fairly consistent in bringing a
decent amount of QPF through the area by 12Z Sat. Flooding will
definitely be a concern especially given the recent rainfall and
saturated ground at some locations. There is a chance for a dry
period during the day Sat before the next round associated with the
main mid level low ejecting out of the Rockies. The chance for
severe storms overnight Saturday is greater across the area given
the dry line will be further east into central KS. Also, the deep
layer shear looks to be closer to 50 kts and the cape remains as
high as 2000 j/kg. Low level jet increases again leading to wind
profile favorable for supercells and possibly tornadoes. This threat
may diminish during the early morning hours as depicted by the NAM,
which barely brings QPF into the area overnight. The dry line
continues eastward as the main mid level low lifts through NE and
SD. By the time the atmosphere destabilizes the dry line will be
located somewhere in far eastern KS where storms are likely to form.
The vertical wind profile appears to be more unidirectional out of
the southwest, which is more parallel to the boundary possibly
leading to more cell interaction. So discrete supercells initially
may quickly transition into a cluster or line, and there is plenty
of cape and deep layer shear for these storms to be severe Sun
afternoon.

The upper level system finally begins to lift northeast late Sunday
into Monday and becomes and open wave by Tuesday over the Upper
Mississippi Valley.  Dry and stable conditions are left in its wake,
which will be very needed by this point as the area needs to dry out
a bit before the next system develops.  The upper levels will
transition to a more zonal flow pattern over the Central Plains.
Meanwhile, the next trough will begin to set up over the Western
CONUS.  At this point, it could be a similar upper level pattern
developing as has recently been in place.  However, at this point,
it doesn't appear moisture recovery, necessary for as wet of a
pattern, will be in place at least through Thursday night.  A quick
upper level shortwave may be ejected out of the Southern Rockies in
the afternoon time frame on Wednesday and possibly interact with a
weak warm boundary near the KS/NE border.  There could be some
isolated convection flare up, but at this point it doesn't appear to
be too noteworthy of an event.  Will have to stay tuned as this is
too far out to have much confidence at this point in how exactly it
will play out.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFs through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1210 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

Have terminals prevailing VFR with tempo MVFR at TOP/FOE as
showers and thunder may clip the area overnight. Winds become
easterly through the period and next round of convection
approaches late in the TAF period. Will leave for next issuance to
add and refine a time.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...GDP
LONG TERM...Drake/Sanders
AVIATION...67

Hazardous weather outlook, May 7, 4:15 PM CDT, 9 hours 28 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
415 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-082115-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
415 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA. SEVERE STORMS ARE
AGAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. THE TORNADO RISK IS
MUCH LESS THAN WEDNESDAY...BUT DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WHICH MIGHT CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE REPUBLICAN, LITTLE AND BIG
BLUE RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE AND ALL
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND
FLOODING.

THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH A RISK
OF ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS OVER THE EASTERN PARTS OF KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 7, 8:10 PM CDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
810 PM CDT THU MAY 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SW HARVEYVILLE        38.73N 96.01W
05/07/2015  M1.25 INCH       LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.25 INCHES OF TOTAL RAIN HAS FALLEN SO FAR TODAY.

&&

BDRAKE

Local storm report, May 7, 8:33 PM CDT, 5 hours 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
833 PM CDT THU MAY 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSW AUBURN            38.86N 95.83W
05/07/2015  M1.40 INCH       OSAGE              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER MEASURED 1.40 INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE 6PM CDT.

&&

BDRAKE

Local storm report, May 7, 11:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1145 PM CDT THU MAY 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             6 N WELLS               39.22N 97.55W
05/07/2015  M1.00 INCH       OTTAWA             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL 2 MILES NORTH AND 1
            MILE EAST OF HIS STATIONARY LOCATION.

0440 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HANOVER                 39.89N 96.88W
05/07/2015  M2.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         KS   PUBLIC

            FELL IN LAST 45 MINUTES.

0500 PM     HAIL             E HANOVER               39.90N 96.87W
05/07/2015  E0.88 INCH       WASHINGTON         KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 PM     FLOOD            E HANOVER               39.90N 96.87W
05/07/2015                   WASHINGTON         KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED 3.5 INCHES OF RAIN AS OF 5 PM. FLOODING IS
            OCCURRING NEAR HANOVER AND ROADS ARE BEING CLOSED.

0505 PM     FLOOD            E HANOVER               39.90N 96.87W
05/07/2015                   WASHINGTON         KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED 5.3 INCHES OF RAIN IN HANOVER AS OF 505 PM.
            NORTH ST AND WULFF ST ARE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0530 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE BREMEN            39.95N 96.75W
05/07/2015  M1.90 INCH       MARSHALL           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STILL RAINING

0630 PM     HEAVY RAIN       E HANOVER               39.90N 96.87W
05/07/2015  M6.05 INCH       WASHINGTON         KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED RAINFALL SINCE 330 PM.

0801 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SW HARVEYVILLE        38.73N 96.01W
05/07/2015  M1.25 INCH       LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.25 INCHES OF TOTAL RAIN HAS FALLEN SO FAR TODAY.

0832 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSW AUBURN            38.86N 95.83W
05/07/2015  M1.40 INCH       OSAGE              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER MEASURED 1.40 INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE 6PM CDT.

&&

KC

Local storm report, May 8, 12:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1200 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     FLASH FLOOD      E HANOVER               39.90N 96.87W
05/07/2015                   WASHINGTON         KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED 5.3 INCHES OF RAIN IN HANOVER AS OF 505 PM.
            NORTH ST AND WULFF ST ARE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

KC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 7, 7:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TOP	Geary	29 min
May 8, 1:43 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TOP	Clay	4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.