Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 9, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Aug 4, 2015, 7:37 AM EDT for Hillsborough County, Florida. It took effect at Aug 4, 2015, 12:20 PM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 4, 2015, 7:37 AM EDT (11:37 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 4, 2015, 12:20 PM EDT
- Expired
- Aug 8, 2015, 2:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Hillsborough County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge (MORF1).
- Action stage
- 30.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 32 ft
- Moderate stage
- 34 ft
- Major stage
- 36 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02303330, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
921
WGUS42 KTBW 041137
FLWTBW
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
737 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...A river Flood Warning has been issued for the Hillsborough River
at Morris Bridge...
.Heavy rain the past several days will cause the Hillsborough River at
Morris Bridge to rise above flood stage tonight.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC057-050037-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0009.150805T0000Z-150808T0600Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.150805T0000Z.150805T1200Z.150808T0000Z.NO/
737 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* From this evening until late Friday night
* At 06 AM Tuesday the stage was...31.6 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 32 feet
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue
to rise to near 32.2 feet by tomorrow morning. The river is expected to fall
below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Impact...at 32 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from
Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass
canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.2 feet on Aug 14
1965.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Hillsborough
Morris Brid 32 31.6 Tue 06 AM 32.2 32.1 32.0 31.9 31.8
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230
$$6 follow-up statements
030
WGUS82 KTBW 041414
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Ancolte River at Elfers...
the Hillsborough River at Hillsborough River State Park...
the Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Alafia River at Lithia...
the Little Manatee River at Wimauma...
and the Myakka River at the Myakka River State Park...
.Very heavy rain over the past several days has caused numerous
rivers across west central Florida to rise above flood stage.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC101-051414-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150807T0936Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.150803T0921Z.150804T1800Z.150807T0336Z.NO/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until late Thursday night
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.2 feet
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 25.6 feet by this afternoon. The river
is expected to fall below flood stage Thursday before midnight.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
Estates. Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers
Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.8 feet on Jun 26
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Anclote River
Elfers 20 25.2 Tue 09 AM 25.0 22.5 18.8 16.1 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC057-051414-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.150804T1620Z-150808T1800Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.150804T1620Z.150805T0600Z.150808T1200Z.NR/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues
for
The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* From this afternoon through Saturday afternoon
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 31.8 feet
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue
to rise to near 32.4 feet by after midnight tomorrow.the river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from
Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass
canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.5 feet on Sep 30
2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Hillsborough
Morris Brid 32 31.8 Tue 09 AM 32.4 32.2 32.1 32.0 31.8
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230
$$
FLC057-051414-
/O.ROU.KTBW.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOWF1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.4 feet
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 24.9 feet this afternoon
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Hillsborough
Temple Terr 29 24.4 Tue 09 AM 24.9 24.7 24.3 24.1 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8234 2798 8237 2798 8241 2806 8241
$$
FLC057-051414-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZPHF1.1.ER.150803T2037Z.150805T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Hillsborough River Near Zephyrhills
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.5 feet
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 11.9 feet by this evening then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed. Lowland
flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet on Sep 28
2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Hillsborough
Zephyrhills 10 11.5 Tue 09 AM 11.9 11.8 11.6 11.0 10.2
&&
LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
2817 8225 2817 8215
$$
FLC101-051414-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150805T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.1 feet
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by tomorrow early afternoon
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 10.1 Tue 09 AM 10.4 10.4 10.1 9.9 9.6
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC057-051414-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.150804T1404Z-150806T1200Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.150804T1314Z.150805T0600Z.150806T0600Z.NO/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning continues
for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* From late this morning through Thursday morning
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.0 feet
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and
continue to rise to near 13.4 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 29
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Alafia
Lithia 13 13.0 Tue 09 AM 13.3 12.9 12.2 11.6 11.1
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-051414-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150807T1330Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.150801T0115Z.150805T0000Z.150807T0730Z.NO/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday morning
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.6 feet
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 14.1 feet by this evening. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.3 feet on Sep 26
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11 13.6 Tue 09 AM 13.9 12.5 10.7 9.4 8.7
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-051414-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150801T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1014 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.6 feet
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet
* The river will continue near 7.6 feet this afternoon then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 7.6 Tue 09 AM 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.2
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$810
WGUS82 KTBW 050136
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Ancolte River at Elfers...
the Hillsborough River at Hillsborough River State Park...
the Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Alafia River at Lithia...
the Little Manatee River at Wimauma...
and the Myakka River at the Myakka River State Park...
.River flooding continues from the past several days of heavy rains.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC101-051436-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150807T1200Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.150803T0921Z.150804T1545Z.150807T0600Z.NO/
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Friday morning
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.0 feet
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.8 feet on Jun 26
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Anclote River
Elfers 20 25.0 Tue 09 PM 24.5 22.4 19.3 17.3 16.3
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC057-051436-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150807T1200Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.150804T1615Z.150805T0600Z.150807T0600Z.NO/
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* Until Friday morning
* At 08 PM Tuesday the stage was 32.3 feet
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 32.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from
Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass
canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.5 feet on Sep 30
2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Hillsborough
Morris Brid 32 32.3 Tue 08 PM 32.3 32.2 31.9 31.8 31.6
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230
$$
FLC057-051435-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150808T0900Z/
/ZPHF1.1.ER.150803T2037Z.150804T1445Z.150808T0300Z.NO/
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until late Friday night
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.2 feet
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed. Lowland
flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on State Road 579.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet on Sep 28
2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Hillsborough
Hillsboroug 10 11.2 Tue 09 PM 11.1 10.8 10.4 9.7 8.8
&&
LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
2817 8225 2817 8215
$$
FLC101-051435-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150805T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by early Thursday morning
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 10.3 Tue 09 PM 10.5 10.5 10.3 9.9 9.4
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC057-051435-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150806T1200Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.150804T1315Z.150805T0100Z.150806T0600Z.NO/
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday morning
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 29
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Alafia
Lithia 13 13.2 Tue 09 PM 13.2 12.8 12.3 11.8 11.3
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-051435-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150808T0400Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.150801T0115Z.150804T1745Z.150807T2200Z.NO/
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late Friday night
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.3 feet on Sep 26
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11 13.5 Tue 09 PM 13.2 12.5 11.6 10.1 9.0
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-051435-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150809T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150801T0115Z.150809T1200Z.NO/
936 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Sunday afternoon
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.6 feet
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 7.6 Tue 09 PM 7.6 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.0
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$850
WGUS82 KTBW 051458
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Ancolte River at Elfers...
the Hillsborough River at Hillsborough River State Park...
the Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Alafia River at Lithia...
the Little Manatee River at Wimauma...
and the Myakka River at the Myakka River State Park...
.River flooding continues from the past several days of heavy rains.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC101-061458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150807T1115Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.150803T0921Z.150804T1545Z.150807T0515Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Friday morning
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.1 feet
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
Estates. Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers
Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 feet on Apr 2
2011.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Anclote River
Elfers 20 24.1 Wed 10 AM 22.2 19.2 17.3 16.2 15.6
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC057-061458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150808T0000Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.150804T1615Z.150805T1345Z.150807T1800Z.NR/
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* Until Friday evening
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 32.5 feet
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from
Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass
canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.5 feet on Sep 30
2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Hillsborough
Morris Brid 32 32.5 Wed 10 AM 32.3 32.0 31.9 31.7 31.5
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230
$$
FLC057-052153-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150805T2153Z/
/ZPHF1.1.ER.150803T2037Z.150804T1445Z.150805T1553Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for
The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until this afternoon
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed. Lowland
flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.9 feet on Dec 14
2002.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Hillsborough
Hillsboroug 10 10.1 Wed 10 AM 9.3 9.0 8.3 7.4 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
2817 8225 2817 8215
$$
FLC101-061458-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150805T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.4 feet
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by this afternoon then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 10.4 Wed 10 AM 10.5 10.3 10.0 9.4 8.9
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC057-061458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150806T1500Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.150804T1315Z.150805T1330Z.150806T0900Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning continues
for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday morning
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.4 feet
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 29
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Alafia
Lithia 13 13.4 Wed 10 AM 12.9 12.4 11.8 11.3 10.8
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-061458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150808T0200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.150801T0115Z.150804T1745Z.150807T2000Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday evening
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.3 feet on Sep 26
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11 12.8 Wed 10 AM 12.3 11.5 10.0 9.0 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-061458-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150809T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150801T0115Z.150809T1200Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Sunday afternoon
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.5 feet
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 7.5 Wed 10 AM 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.0 6.8
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$352
WGUS82 KTBW 060111
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
911 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Anclote River at Elfers...
the Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Alafia River at Lithia...
the Little Manatee River at Wimauma...
and the Myakka River at the Myakka River State Park...
.River flooding continues from the past several days of heavy
rains. Water levels are expected to recede over the next few days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC101-070111-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150807T0224Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.150803T0921Z.150804T1545Z.150806T2024Z.NO/
911 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Thursday evening
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.4 feet
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow
afternoon.
* Impact...at 23 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of
Anclote River.
Estates. Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22 feet...There is water over the roadway along
the Elfers Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9
feet on Apr 2 2011.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mon
Anclote River
Elfers 20 22.4 Wed 08 PM 18.8 17.3 16.2 15.6
MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC057-070110-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150807T1200Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.150804T1615Z.150805T1345Z.150807T0600Z.NR/
911 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 32.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 32 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Friday
morning.
* Impact...at 32 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park
downstream from Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern
end of the Tampa Bypass canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.5
feet on Sep 30 2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mon
Hillsborough
Morris Brid 32 32.4 Wed 08 PM 31.9 31.7 31.3 31.0
MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230
$$
FLC101-070110-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150805T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
The Flood Warning continues for The Cypress Creek At Worthington
Gardens
* Until further notice
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by after
midnight tomorrow then begin falling.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State
Road 54.
* Impact...at 8 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on
State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8
feet on Sep 30 2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mon
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 10.5 Wed 08 PM 10.3 10.0 9.5 8.9
MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC057-061800-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150806T1800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.150804T1315Z.150805T1800Z.150806T1200Z.NO/
911 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood
Warning continues for The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...at 13 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way
downstream of State Road 640 are completely covered by water.
One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and
Squirrel Run Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4
feet on Aug 29 2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mon
Alafia
Lithia 13 13.3 Wed 08 PM 12.4 11.8 11.3 10.8
MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-070110-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150807T0300Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.150801T0115Z.150804T1745Z.150806T2100Z.NO/
911 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood
Warning continues for The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow
afternoon.
* Impact...at 13 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4
feet on Sep 17 2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mon
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11 12.1 Wed 08 PM 10.5 9.7 9.0 8.3
MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-070110-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150810T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150801T0115Z.150809T1800Z.NO/
911 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.5 feet
* Flood stage is 7 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday early
afternoon.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2
feet on Sep 9 2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mon
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 7.5 Wed 08 PM 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.9
MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$796
WGUS82 KTBW 061443
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1043 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Anclote River at Elfers...
the Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Little Manatee River at Wimauma...
and the Myakka River at the Myakka River State Park...
.River flooding continues from the past several days of heavy
rains. Water levels are expected to recede over the next few days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC101-071245-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150807T1245Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.150803T0921Z.150804T1545Z.150807T0645Z.NO/
1043 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Friday morning
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 22.3 feet
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
Estates. Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers
Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 feet on Apr 2
2011.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Anclote River
Elfers 20 22.3 Thu 10 AM 19.3 17.3 16.3 15.6 15.1
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC057-071200-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150807T1200Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.150804T1615Z.150805T1345Z.150807T0600Z.NR/
1043 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* Until Friday morning
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 32.2 feet
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from
Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass
canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.5 feet on Sep 30
2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Hillsborough
Morris Brid 32 32.2 Thu 09 AM 31.9 31.6 31.3 31.0 30.6
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230
$$
FLC101-071443-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150806T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 10.5 feet
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 10.3 feet by .
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 10.5 Thu 10 AM 10.3 9.9 9.5 8.9 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC115-071443-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150810T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150801T0115Z.150810T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning continues
for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until late Sunday night
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 7.5 feet
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 7.5 Thu 10 AM 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.7
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC057-061513-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150807T0300Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.150801T0115Z.150804T1745Z.150806T1345Z.NO/
1043 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until this evening
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Sep 17
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11 11.0 Thu 10 AM 9.9 8.7 8.2 8.0 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$039
WGUS82 KTBW 070101
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
901 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Anclote River at Elfers...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Little Manatee River at Wimauma...
the Myakka River at the Myakka River State Park...
...The flood warning for the Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge has
been cancelled as the river has dropped below flood stage...
.Water levels area wide are expected to recede over the next few
days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC101-071401-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150806T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State
Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8
feet on Sep 30 2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 10.4 Thu 08 PM 10.3 10.0 9.5 9.0 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC115-071401-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150811T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150801T0115Z.150811T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood
Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park.
* Until late Monday night.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 7.4 feet
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Monday
evening.
* Impact...at 7 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2
feet on Sep 9 2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 7.4 Thu 08 PM 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-071401-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150807T1800Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.150803T0921Z.150804T1545Z.150807T1200Z.NO/
901 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...The Flood
Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 21.5 feet
* Flood stage is 20 feet
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...at 22 feet...There is water over the roadway along
the Elfers Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.6
feet on Mar 14 2010.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Anclote River
Elfers 20 21.5 Thu 08 PM 20.0 17.8 16.5 16.3 15.6
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC057-070131-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150807T1200Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.150804T1615Z.150805T1345Z.150806T2030Z.NR/
901 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 31.8 feet
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* Impact...at 32 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park
downstream from Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the
Tampa Bypass canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.5
feet on Sep 30 2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Hillsborough
Morris Brid 32 31.8 Thu 08 PM 31.5 31.1 30.9 30.8 30.6
&&
LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 4, 3:46 AM EDT, 3 hours 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 4, 3:46 AM EDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
346 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015
.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...BROAD UPPER LONGWAVE
TROUGH FROM EASTERN CANADA SOUTHWARD TO THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES
TO LIFT NEWARD WHILE THE REGION REMAINS IN A WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER
RIDGE FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO OVER TEXAS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO SHOW SEVERAL RESIDUAL VORT MAXES
MEANDERING OVER OUR NORTHERN AREAS IN THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE...BUT THE AREA CONTINUES TO LOOSE THE LARGE SCALE
SYNOPTIC FORCING ALOFT.
AT THE SURFACE...THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO MOVE INTO THE CAROLINAS
WHILE A WEAK AND INCREASING DIFFUSE SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS
STRETCHED BACK OVER THE N FL PENINSULA AND NE GULF THIS MORNING AS
THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS OVER S FL PROGRESSES NORTHWARD TODAY. THE
LOW LEVEL SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL CONVERGENCE BETWEEN THESE FEATURES
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING
ASHORE INTO THE FLOOD WATCH ZONES THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. NOT EXPECTED TO SEE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS
LIKE LAST FEW DAYS BUT INCREASED MOISTURE FROM SURFACE EVAPORATION
OF EXISTING RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAINS TO EXACERBATE
ONGOING FLOODING PROBLEMS TODAY AND WILL KEEP THE FLOOD WATCH
GOING FOR THIS POTENTIAL. FOR WEDNESDAY...SURFACE TO UPPER RIDGING
TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION FOR A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
SCATTERED DIURNAL SEABREEZE INTERACTION CONVECTIVE PATTERN.
.MID/LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT-MONDAY)...
MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL HOLD OVER THE SOUTHERN U.S. WITH TROUGHING
ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST DEEPENING SOME LATE IN THE WEEK BEFORE THE
RIDGE BUILDS EAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THE
SURFACE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL HOLD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH A GENERAL WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING
THROUGH THE PERIOD. FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD WE SHOULD SEE THE MORE
TYPICAL CONVECTIVE PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
WHICH HAS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LATE NIGHT CONVECTION OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS MOVING ONSHORE IN THE MORNING AND INTO THE INTERIOR
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. HOWEVER...WITH THE TROUGH DEEPENING LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND AND SOME UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVING THROUGH IT WE COULD
SEE BETTER RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE NATURE COAST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
FOR NOW HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE CHANCE (30 TO 50 PERCENT) POPS FOR
MOST OF THE PERIOD...EXCEPT LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NATURE
COAST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
NEAR NORMAL IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID 70S INLAND TO AROUND 80
NEAR THE COAST...POSSIBLY LOWER 80S IN SOME LOCATIONS ALONG THE
COAST THAT DO NOT RECEIVE LATE NIGHT RAINFALL.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
.AVIATION... GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH VCTS THIS
AFTERNOON FOR POSSIBLE BRIEF CIG/VIS RESTRICTIONS UNTIL 00Z.
&&
.MARINE... THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS RELAXING AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE CAROLINAS TODAY AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES OVER THE WATERS FROM THE SOUTH. WEAKENING SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW SEAS TO SUBSIDE FROM 2 TO 4 FT EARLY THIS MORNING TO 2
FT OR LESS BY THE AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH TONIGHT THOUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK TO A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMER PATTERN WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS POSSIBLE.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER... NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER OR FOG CONCERNS ARE
EXPECTED.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...YESTERDAYS RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF RURAL AND URBAN
AREAS WITH NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES ACROSS WESTERN PASCO...NORTHERN
PINELLAS...AND NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES. THE GROUND REMAINS
SATURATED DUE TO HEAVY RAIN THE PAST WEEK...SO FLOOD WATERS WILL
BE VERY SLOW TO RECEDE TODAY.
RECENT HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON SOME AREA
RIVERS...WITH THE ANCLOTE RIVER AT ELFERS AGAIN BEING HARD HIT
WITH MAJOR FLOODING EXPECTED. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST TODAY
AFTERNOON AROUND 26.1 FEET.
THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA IS ALSO EXPECTED TO JUST REACH THE FLOOD
STAGE OF 13 FEET ON TUESDAY. MINOR RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO
CONTINUE ON THE LITTLE MANATEE AND MYAKKA RIVERS AS WELL AS CYPRESS
CREEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 89 77 90 78 / 30 10 20 10
FMY 92 76 92 76 / 30 20 50 20
GIF 92 75 93 76 / 40 30 50 30
SRQ 89 75 90 76 / 20 0 20 10
BKV 89 72 91 73 / 40 10 30 10
SPG 89 78 90 78 / 20 10 20 10
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL CITRUS-
COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL PASCO-INLAND CITRUS-INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND
HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND LEVY-INLAND PASCO-PINELLAS.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...25/DAVIS
LONG TERM...69/CLOSE
DECISION SUPPORT...69/CLOSEHazardous weather outlook, Aug 4, 5:40 AM EDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015 FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165- 239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870- 873-876-050200- SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY- COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO- COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA- COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS- INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE- INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS- CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND THESE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS... AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES. ...FLOOD IMPACT... A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF MORE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. HOWEVER... WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT ANY LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN ALREADY FLOODED AREAS WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE SITUATION. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO ANY RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. ...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG A FEW AREA RIVERS. PLEASE VIEW THE LATEST RIVER WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS AND FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES. ...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... RIVER FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG AREA RIVERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. PRC
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 10:42 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TBW | Citrus, Levy | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 11:05 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TBW | Citrus, Levy | 55 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.